Publicly available information suggests that Iran and Israel are making final preparations for the outbreak of a major war, while the latest news is that the differences between United States and Israel on military action to retaliate against Iran are narrowing, and that a full-scale war in the Middle East may even begin before the November 5 United States presidential election vote.
Khamenei presided over the prayer with a rifle
According to Reuters, on October 9, Iran's foreign minister flew to Saudi Arabia to communicate with representatives of Gulf states such as Saudi Crown Prince Salman Jr. about potential retaliation by Israel. Bahrain, Kuwait, Qatar, U.A.E., Saudi Arabia and other Gulf countries have all said they will remain neutral and will not allow Israel and United States to use their airspace to attack Iran, but these Gulf states have United States military bases, and if Israel and United States forcibly use their airspace, they have few countermeasures. During the talks, Iran warned that opening airspace to Israel and United States in retaliation for Iran's military operations would be an "act of war," and that while Iran would not retaliate directly against the Gulf states, Iran could not guarantee that Iran's allies in Iraq and Yemen would not respond.
At the same time, United States and Israel are divided on the issue of retaliatory actions, United States oppose Israel attacks on Iran nuclear facilities and oil, gas and energy infrastructure, while Israel attitude is to do nothing and finish the job and take out the Iran's nuclear facilities, Israel have always regarded the Iran's nuclear program as an existential threat and wants to eliminate it sooner rather than later.
According to Reuters, in the past few days, the security leaders of the United States and Israel have held intensive consultations on these differences.
On October 12, United States (CNN) reported that Israel's security cabinet had not yet agreed on a response to Iran's massive October 1 missile attack on Israel, but the gap between United States' and Israel's positions was narrowing.
According to CNN, United States President Joe Biden said Israel's retaliation should be "symmetrical."
That is, the United States agreed to Israel's reciprocal response to Iran's military bases, because Iran's strike on Israel is a strike at military bases. Israel has not yet fully accepted United States's opinion, but is approaching the United States position.
Data map: Israel launches missiles
If Israel finally accepts United States' views, the United States will have a reason to mobilize its military bases across the Middle East to cooperate with Israel's retaliatory actions and persuade the Gulf states to allow Israel to use its airspace.
Iran has warned that Israel's retaliation against Iran will inevitably bring more damage to itself, that is, if Israel retaliates against Iran, Iran will retaliate against Israel and cause more damage to Israel. Retribution, a vicious circle, endless. The spiral of war in the Middle East will continue to rise.
It is generally believed that in order to prevent the Middle East war from affecting the election of Democratic presidential candidate Harris, United States will do everything in its power to prevent Israel from going to war before the vote in the presidential election on November 5 United States, but given that it is becoming increasingly difficult for United States to control Israel this "little ancestor", as long as Israel accept United States position, United States will have to acquiesce to Israel retaliation against Iran before voting in the United States presidential election.
At the same time, Israel has been attacking the United Nations peacekeeping force in Lebanon for several days. This is not a shock, because the United Nations has always been seen by United States and Israel as a tool to be used. The United Nations, which is regarded as the authority of international rules by third world countries, is nothing more than a night pot in the eyes of United States and Israel.
Iran launched a missile attack on Israel