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May gradually into the middle and late part, in the domestic livestock and poultry breeding, in recent days, pig and egg price trend "ups and downs", in the pig market, pig prices "wings" rose, the market long and short intertwined, the price will be dominated by a short period of time. In the egg market, after a short rise in egg prices, demand support has deteriorated, egg prices are "booming and declining", and prices will also enter a cycle of rational correction! So, what's happening in the market? The specific analysis is as follows:
First, the price of pigs "wings" rose!
In the pig market, recently, pig prices showed a contrarian upward trend, although, before the price was occasionally lowered, but, due to the market bottom support highlighted, pig prices once again showed a "wings" rising trend, however, due to the market negative factors still exist, pig prices are difficult to form a unilateral trend, the price is still up and down the pressure!
According to data analysis, on May 16, the price of pigs rose by 0.12 yuan, and the price of slaughtering enterprises rose to 15.18 yuan / kg, and the pig prices in the domestic market continued to rise in most of the trend, among them, in the northeast, north China, northwest and east and central China, pig prices generally rose by 0.05 ~ 0.25 yuan, and the southwest and south China were stable and strong, and most of the regions were mainly stable!
Among them, the price in Heilongjiang is 14.75 yuan, Liaoning is 15.15 yuan, Shanxi is 15.35 yuan, Hebei is 15.5 yuan, Shaanxi and Gansu are 14.8~15.3 yuan, Sichuan is 15 yuan, Shandong is 15.65 yuan, Jiangsu and Zhejiang are 15.65~15.95 yuan, Henan is 15.35 yuan, Hunan is 15.2 yuan, and Liangguang is 15~15.95 yuan/kg!
At present, pig prices are showing a situation of volatility and rising, and the sentiment and second breeding support are strong! Among them, in terms of pig slaughter, affected by the reduction of production capacity and the early pig disease factors of pig farms, the pressure on the slaughter of the breeding end of the stage is weak, especially the pace of pig slaughter in the social side has slowed down, and the supply pressure is small. In addition, due to the acceleration of production capacity, the sow herd at the end of March to 39.92 million heads, a total of more than 9.7%, the supply of suitable weight pigs to lighten, the market bullish mentality of the market has become stronger, which also stimulates the entry of the second breeding, in particular, in the north and south of the country, the pig farm vacancy rate is higher, the stage market is optimistic about the prospects for 7~8 months, and the willingness to fill the column pig has increased significantly!
However, there is more support for pig prices, and the bearish pressure still exists! On the one hand, the pressure of the group's pig enterprises to slaughter, this month, the group's pig enterprises plan to slaughter or will increase by more than 5.1% month-on-month, large factories have the sentiment of pulling up the slaughter, in particular, the standard fertilizer price spread narrowed, the average weight of pigs slaughtered increased, and the big fat had the mentality of falling into the bag for slaughter; On the other hand, the consumption is sluggish and insufficient, and the slaughterhouse is under great pressure to lose money.
Therefore, the stage of the pig market is facing a long and short intertwined situation, the price or will be in the fluctuation of the slow recovery, from the trend point of view, by the sow herd to destock, the supply of standard pigs is declining month by month, the prospect of pig prices is still optimistic, however, in the short term by the pressure of consumption and slaughter losses, the price will still be suppressed to a certain extent!
Second, the price of eggs is "booming and declining"!
In the domestic egg market, recently, egg prices have risen sharply, in just a few days, the egg price in the retail market in many places has risen above 4 yuan / catty, the average price of goods in the production area has risen to about 3.84 yuan / catty, and the egg price has risen by as much as 16.7% in the month!
According to the latest news, at present, the price of eggs in the production area has stabilized at 3.84 yuan/jin, while the egg price in the sales area market has remained at 3.68 yuan/jin, and the price has decreased by about 0.06 yuan/jin compared with the previous day!
The price of eggs in the sales area market was the first to be lowered, which also reflected the deterioration of the market's commitment to high-priced eggs, the market entered the stage of inventory consumption, and the enthusiasm of traders to receive goods declined, and the rhythm of purchase and sales gradually weakened!
On the one hand, the price of eggs has risen, the enthusiasm of food companies to buy the bottom has decreased, the wait-and-see mentality has become stronger, the downstream market has also reduced the operation of replenishment, and the mentality of using and picking has become stronger, in particular, the rising temperature is not conducive to channel storage, and the enthusiasm for purchase and sales has weakened;
On the other hand, consumer demand is poor, due to the rise in egg prices, and the prices of seasonal fruits and vegetables and beef and mutton have declined to varying degrees, pork prices have not changed much, and the mentality of residents to purchase eggs has decreased.
However, due to the mentality of a certain price at the breeding end, the quotation in the production area is slightly stable! However, from a rational point of view, in May, the laying hen inventory remained high, the number of new laying hens this month exceeded the number of old chickens eliminated, the egg production capacity remained loose, the market or will return to the fundamentals of strong supply and weak demand, it is expected that in the next 1~3 days, egg prices are likely to fluctuate lower, and the price is "booming and declining"!
Livestock and poultry price change warning! May 16: Pig prices "wings" rose, and egg prices flourished! What's wrong! What do you think about this? The above is the author's personal opinion, the picture comes from the Internet!