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China's stock market: a list of "can't buy" stocks, sincere advice to 180 million retail investors

author:Stocks are discussed

The stock market is unpredictable, and no investor can guarantee that they will always be invincible in the stock market. There are many excellent investors in the market, and investment strategies and methods can be used as references, but it is important to understand that even the essence of other people's ideas will always be someone else's, and the most important thing is how to find the most suitable for yourself in the vast sea of theories and transform them into your own investment style, which requires a long time of practice and accumulation. Therefore, after investors enter the actual combat, they must pay attention to the accumulation and integration of knowledge, constantly adjust the investment strategy according to their own preferences, and will definitely form their own investment style over time.

China's stock market: a list of "can't buy" stocks, sincere advice to 180 million retail investors

If you want to survive in this market, you must have your own stock trading ideas! If you want to make money by trading stocks, some stocks firmly believe that you can't touch them.

First: Don't buy stocks that are good for public stock prices but don't rise.

There is a saying in the stock market: the good is all negative, and some stocks are good for the public, and many people know it, but the stock price is volatile or not, and it should be bearish if it does not rise. However, there are many stockholders who still hold on to their so-called value investment and good news, and they just have a tendon on their own, and they also recommend buying to the stockholders around them. As a result, not only did the tickets in his hands fall more and more, but he also dragged the people around him to be trapped!

Second: the stock that has skyrocketed in the early stage and has recently experienced large-scale stagnation is resolutely not bought.

In the early stage, the stock rose sharply, three or even four waves, the stock price tripled or even higher, and the amount of heaven was released at a high level. That means that the dealer has changed his hand and left, and you will be caught when you go in again. When the original main market force withdraws and runs away, the new main market force will not be formed quickly, and it is usually unlikely that there will be large buying orders to take over immediately, and it is difficult for the price to rise in the short term.

Third: do not buy stocks after the ex-rights (pay attention to the stocks that have risen sharply before the ex-rights)

Do not buy stocks after the ex-rights, and the stocks after the ex-rights here refer to the stocks that have risen sharply before the ex-rights, and the stocks that have begun to flee from the main force. Everyone should pay attention to this, because some stocks have just begun to come out of a wave of right-filling market after the big ex-rights, there are very few such stocks, but they still exist, and this kind of stocks can also be detected in advance, as for how to catch the stocks of the right-filling market. Some people think that it is wrong to not be able to buy stocks after the ex-rights, and those people are half a bottle of water!

Fourth: Do not buy stocks that have been falling after the break.

The stock price is in a downward trend, and there are multiple moving averages above to suppress it, and stocks with falling stock prices do not buy. As the saying goes: stocks are not afraid of a plunge or a yin fall, and there must be a strong rebound in the plunge, and there is room for operation to make money. Even if the market rises, there is no room for the falling stocks to rebound, which is also the reason why many shareholders react that the stock market is crazy, how can my stock be lying still!

Fifth: Stocks with big problems with fundamentals are resolutely not bought

Those who are seriously dealt with by the management will not go in first, and wait and see first. If a problem stock rises sharply, it can be safely assumed that the institution is hype. However, these stocks are either facing regulation, or there will be a break in the capital chain, the risk is huge, and it is easy to be trapped, and retail investors cannot control it, so it is not worth taking the risk. In particular, stocks that face ST or delisting due to consecutive years of performance losses, as well as stocks that have been punished for performance fraud, resolutely do not buy. There are many good stocks, so there is no need to take big risks for those small profits!

How to cleverly use dynamic risk control strategies to avoid losses - the lowest point of the long white candlestick that hit a new high

Dynamic risk control is based on the stock price in the small cycle after the completion of the small band rise, according to the small cycle of the rise calculated by the callback range, or through the previous rise in the band in the iconic K-line to determine the pullback to what position will encounter support, if the support level is broken, it is likely to cause a trend reversal, the later will continue to maintain a downward state, so you can choose to temporarily lock in profits. Well, today we will mainly talk about the method of the lowest point of the long white candlestick that is hitting a new high.

The long white candlestick referenced after buying can be either a major period or a small period. After buying stocks, if there is a rising long white candle on the 30-minute trend, the original stop loss level will be adjusted upward to the lowest point of the nearest long white candle. Sometimes the profit margin of a long white candle on the 30-minute trend will be very large, if you wait until it falls below the lowest point of the long white candle and then leave the market, the profit will shrink seriously, so generally after the long white candle appears, it will be confirmed according to the later pattern to confirm what kind of take-profit strategy to execute.

This risk control method will also be combined with the method of reducing positions, so as to achieve a win in the pocket of some positions, and then use the remaining positions to win greater profits.

Case Study: Eaton Electronics (603328)

China's stock market: a list of "can't buy" stocks, sincere advice to 180 million retail investors

Taking the 30-minute trend as an example, the stock price in the early stage has been sorted out by the standard box, and the center of gravity of the stock price has moved up in the later stage of the finishing, and the small white line has broken through the upper track of the long-term finishing platform, which is the best breakthrough buying point at this time, and the lowest point of the corresponding previous small white line is the stop loss level of the operation at this time. In fact, for the starting point of the platform breakthrough type, the stop loss level can also be set at the lower band of the platform.

After the uptrend started, the stock price performed very strongly, and the continuous closing line came out of the obvious trend of small yang pushing big yang. When the long white candlestick comes out, the profit has already exceeded 5%, you can consider moving the stop loss level up to the lowest point of the long white candle. After that, a long white candle came out and the stop loss point was moved up again, and the stop loss price was 25.58 yuan. After that, the stock price inertia rushed upward, rising to a maximum of 27.30 yuan, and the range between the stop loss price of 25.58 yuan at this time is 6.72%, that is, if you wait until the stock price falls to 25.58 yuan and then clear the position, the profit taking will reach 6.72%, which is larger for short-term operations, and a better way to identify that the stock price has peaked.

After two consecutive long white candles, the amplitude of the K-line body begins to decrease, and the black candlesticks begin to increase, which is an obvious signal of weakness to rise. In the chart, there is a false white candle after two consecutive falling black candles, so it is out of the pattern of 3 consecutive negatives, and the top of the band has been confirmed, and you need to leave the market immediately. At this time, the price is $26.65, and the selling price is much higher than the stop loss level of $25.58.

When an uptrend market reverses to a sideways (close below the indicated support point) and when a downtrend market reverses to a sideways (close above the indicated resistance point). For each horizontal finishing disk, you have to find the following things:

(1) Above and below the consolidation area.

(2) From the closing price, where the price level (market operation point) changes from sideways to upward (upward breakout) or from sideways to downward (downward breakout) from the closing price.

The stop-loss point indicates that the contrarian position should be cleared and the home-trending position should be established, which is outside the sideways consolidation range. The stop loss to exit a short contrarian position is above the trading range. The Sell Stop level to exit a contrarian long position is below the trading range.

When setting a stop-loss point, you must first consider how much loss you are willing to bear on the position you are opening, and then depending on where your entry point is, the stop-loss point is set in case of a loss, and the amount of loss is equal to the total loss you are willing to bear.

Not only does the stop loss point be used as a liquidation point, but it also operates in reverse. If the market closes at my buy or sell stop, I will open a trending position instead.

The stop loss and position opening points are divided into half at the margin of the trading range.

Although trading against the trend, once the market reaches your stop loss level, you must stop trading with the trend instead. Again, do this only when the closing price reaches the stop loss level.

As for how to exit a trending position?

Or take advantage of the stop loss point, whether you make money or lose money, and exit as soon as you reach the stop loss point. The initial stop loss of a trending position is set at a loss that you are comfortable with.

If the market moves in your favour, you still have to face the problem of exiting profitable positions. Experience has shown that you will never find a viable and reliable way to sell to the highest point and buy to the bottom. Set an "efficient" stop loss and wait for the market to automatically take you out. As the market moves in your favour, move forward into your stop loss until you finally come out of the stop.

When the stop-loss exit of the homeopathic position (what we are talking about is that the stop loss point is touched during the day, not the stop loss exit after closing), it does not necessarily mean that the trend has reversed, it is likely to just mean that you have reached the limit of pain, and it is best to break the wrist of the strong man, admit losses and exit, and save part of the profits. It is best to use a simple liquidation stop, and do not learn from others what to use to reverse the stop. If the general trend does not change, you must have the opportunity to re-enter the market at a favorable time. Note: Reduce the size of the opened position and the number of trades so often, and be sure not to buy high and sell low in a wide sideways.

If small losses are not reduced, the losses will become even larger. Small losses at the beginning, if your decision-making is slow, it can get bigger and harder to deal with. The problem with accepting loss is that it forces people to admit that they are wrong, and humans are inherently unwilling to admit that they are wrong.

Finally, in the stock market, looking at right or wrong is not the key to winning or losing, only the loser will bet on success or failure in one or two trades, and weigh on one or two wins or losses. Try to control your maximum losses and never make an exception in any situation. You don't have to show off a certain profit to yourself or others, because the method used to earn 100 times is the same as that used to earn 1 time.

Don't be like a defeated rooster because of one or two losses, losses are "part of the trade" and will always follow you. In the market, it is common to see some people who make money and speak loudly to let the world know; When losing money, these people don't say a word, and their brows are deeply locked. Such an attitude will only allow you to slowly fall into the abyss of the loser!

It is often said that you should not fall twice in the same place. But for those who do stocks, this sentence is basically a joke: who hasn't lost money in the same place repeatedly? Westerners have a similar saying: a fox cannot fall into the same trap twice, and a donkey cannot fall in the same place twice. But in the world of stock investing, for most traders, learning from their mistakes in time and ensuring that they don't happen again is something that basically no one can do. If the above proverb is taken as the standard, everyone in the stock market is a "habitual offender" who knows and makes mistakes, a stupid person who can't wake up even after a thousand slaps, and a fox and a donkey who make two mistakes in the same place, just as the ancients said: "Knowing it, but committing it." I know who it is and who it is. ”

Most successful traders have been slapped by the market countless times, and the way of slapping is not only to lose money, but often to blow up. To avoid repeat offenses, some people even write the precepts on the back of their hands, which they see every time they place an order. Despite this, as soon as they enter the trading state, they will relapse into the old ways, so many people have a sense of self-blame, and even think that they are stupider than donkeys, and they are not the material for trading. In fact, investors really don't have to be too themselves, because being able to understand everything but not being able to control themselves is basically the norm for speculative traders.

The same is repeated mistakes, but people with a heart can find that the probability of making mistakes is slowly decreasing, and the "harvest" of making mistakes is slowly increasing, and these people will eventually understand: successful traders need careful thinking, strict constraints, inner strength, and the cost of making mistakes.

Therefore, many excellent traders have experienced vicissitudes, and it should be reasonable for Warren Buffett to say that he only knows how to invest at the age of 60. There is a saying on Wall Street that the average age of 50 years old is a small achievement in the speculative industry, 60 years old may be famous, and 70 years old may be a great success. Being young has to pay a price, but fortunately, youth is the biggest capital, they can exchange time for space and tuition for experience, but this school has high tuition fees, and top students who can't afford to pay tuition abound, so we must cherish every trading opportunity and cherish every wrong list, which are the cornerstones of increasing their cultivation and improving their realm.

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