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Russia launched an attack from the northern front to avoid real attacks, and Ukraine lost Ochredino and Karinovo by misjudgment

author:Shandong veteran

After I previously proposed that the Russian army might attack on the northern front and it would be easier to realize its intentions, the Russian army suddenly exerted its strength from the northern front and captured more than 60 square kilometers of territory on the northern front in April, far exceeding the largest amount of territory recovered by the Ukrainian army in one year of the major counteroffensive.

Russia launched an attack from the northern front to avoid real attacks, and Ukraine lost Ochredino and Karinovo by misjudgment

But the matter is not over, once the Russian army connects several important towns together and captures the weak ones, this area will jump to 200 square kilometers - and then the Russian army will make a lot of money.

It is estimated that the Ukrainian army was deceived by the Russian army's strategy and misjudged the direction of the Russian army's main attack. The Ukrainian army believes that the Russian army will break through the small Uman defense line and enter the river basin for a decisive battle.

Russia launched an attack from the northern front to avoid real attacks, and Ukraine lost Ochredino and Karinovo by misjudgment

And the Russian army is fighting extremely fiercely on this battlefield, and it is almost determined to attack from here, which creates an illusion for the Ukrainian army, and also causes the Ukrainian army to transfer the main force of the defense on the northern front to the Uman battlefield one after another, resulting in the emptiness of troops on the northern front.

Moreover, the Ukrainian army has also built a second line of defense along the river area behind Uman, and is ready to meet the onslaught of the Russian army in unfavorable terrain. It was also because of this miscalculation that the Ukrainian army neglected to build a second line of defense on the northern front.

Russia launched an attack from the northern front to avoid real attacks, and Ukraine lost Ochredino and Karinovo by misjudgment

With such unfavorable terrain, the Russian army may not give in, and it is likely to avoid the real and attack the weak and launch the main attack from the northern front.

And the subsequent evolution is very much in line with my prediction, the Russian army really suddenly pulled out the main force in the Uman direction, unknowingly put it on the battlefield on the northern front, and adopted a surprise attack strategy to capture Ochretino and Karinovo, which are battlegrounds for soldiers in one fell swoop.

Russia launched an attack from the northern front to avoid real attacks, and Ukraine lost Ochredino and Karinovo by misjudgment

In this way, the second line of defense of the Avdeyevkasi-North Ukrainian army no longer exists, and the Russian army's envelope circle from south to north of the Konstantinovka urban agglomeration has been initially formed, and it is only necessary to reduce this envelope in the future, and a large amount of land will be seized in the process.

Perhaps, progress in this direction will also help to solve the Chasov Yar problem. Once it cooperates to solve Chasov Yar, then Konstantinovka may be in a state of being sandwiched by the Russian army, which will be extremely unfavorable to the Ukrainian army. #头条创作挑战赛#