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(1) The consumption of the Zhejiang team is too large, and the Xinjiang team waits for work
(2) The line-ups of the two teams will determine the trend of the entire semi-finals
(3) Du Feng is self-aware
(4) Zhou Qi went out on the expedition, and there was no grass
(5) Yang Ming eats Du Feng's "loss"
(6) The updated CBA championship handicap data of European actuarial companies has been released
(7) Qiu Biao is a "primary school student" in front of Du Feng
Text/Writing on Red Dust
On the evening of April 29, with the whistle at the home of the Zhejiang team, the quarterfinals also officially came to an end, and the top four teams were born. The two teams in the top half are Liaoning and Guangdong, and the two teams in the bottom half are Xinjiang and Zhejiang, which two of these four teams will go to the top stage of the CBA and compete for the championship. Let's take a closer look, and then decide the title of this season's championship based on the handicap data.
The second half: Xinjiang and Zhejiang showdown, suspense
The consumption of the Zhejiang team is too great, and the Xinjiang team is waiting for work
Let's first analyze the matchup between the Xinjiang team and the Zhejiang team.
A group of matchups in the lower half of the region is a matchup between the Xinjiang team and the Zhejiang team, although this group of duels is not as strong as Liaoyue's, but it is not a "running" role. Xinjiang and Zhejiang have played each other four times in the regular season this season, and judging from the results of these four meetings, the two teams are evenly matched, winning two games each, and they can't tell the ugly ones. However, the number of wins and losses in the regular season does not have much reference value, and the various data in it do not say anything, because the intensity of confrontation and error tolerance between the playoffs and the regular season are different.
Let's talk about the Zhejiang team first, the Zhejiang team and the Shanghai team played five games in the quarterfinals, and finally decided the winner in the tie-break five battles, which shows that these five games are too much for the Zhejiang team. The fifth game had just ended, and then he went straight to the northwest non-stop, and went to the home stadium of the Xinjiang team to play the game, which was a game and a tiring journey, which consumed a lot of players. The Xinjiang team is different, on April 26, it has already ended the game against the Guangzhou team, defeated the Guangzhou team 3:1, and advanced to the semi-finals strongly, with an interval of nearly a week from the game on May 2. This week's free time has given the players a chance to breathe, their tired bodies have been greatly relieved, and the physical and mental aspects have also been greatly adjusted after the intense schedule.
Therefore, the Xinjiang team is indeed recuperating, waiting for the Zhejiang team from afar, from this aspect, the Xinjiang team has been guaranteed in terms of the physical strength of the players, and has reserved physical fitness for the first game of the semi-finals, on May 2, the first match between the Zhejiang team and the Xinjiang team, the Zhejiang team is more auspicious and less auspicious, and is optimistic that the Xinjiang team will win the first victory in the semifinals.
The line-ups of both teams will determine the trend of the entire semi-finals
From the perspective of the lineups of the two teams, in terms of the inner line, the Zhejiang team has Yu Jiahao, and the Xinjiang team has Wu Guanxi and Li Yanzhe. It is estimated that the Xinjiang team will use Wu Guanxi and Li Yanzhe to consume Yu Jiahao in turn, because the Xinjiang team relies on the personal ability of Wu Guanxi and Li Yanzhe alone, and it is difficult for Yu Jiahao to compete with each other, so the Xinjiang team must use Wu Guanxi and Li Yanzhe to consume Yu Jiahao in turn.
From the perspective of defenders, although Xinjiang team defender Huang Rongqi was banned in the second round of the quarterfinals due to a "conflict" with the players of the Guangzhou team, and the first game of the semifinals could not play for the Xinjiang team, Zhao Rui came back in time, and from the fourth game of Zhao Rui against the Guangzhou team in the quarterfinals, the state is getting better and better. After the first game of the semifinals, Huang Rongqi can play, which means that the three domestic defenders of the Xinjiang team, plus foreign aid Jones, are really enough for the Zhejiang team to drink a pot. The state of the defenders Wu Qian and Lu Wenbo of the Zhejiang team is unstable, high and low, Cheng Shuaipeng is quite stable, but the three of them are still in the fatigue period, and whether they can have a stable hit rate when they are not physically fit is one thing.
Let's see what fans think of this matchup between Zhejiang and Xinjiang.
Through the messages of this group of fans, we can see that these fans are more optimistic that the Xinjiang team can win the first victory in the semifinals.
That is to say, the Zhejiang team went to Xinjiang, and it was an away game, the two major inside lines of the Xinjiang team took turns to correspond to Yu Jiahao, and there was a defensive pioneer Yu Dehao on the outside, if Qi Lin's 3-point goal was opened, the Zhejiang team was really difficult to defend, so it was optimistic that the Xinjiang team would win the first victory in the semifinals.
In addition to winning the first game of the semifinals, the Xinjiang team can basically win both games at home, and then go to the home court of the Zhejiang team with a score of 2:0.
The first half: Liaoyue showdown, staged in advance
Du Feng is self-aware
Let's analyze the Liaoyue duel in the first half of the district, this group of duels is called the "Spring Festival Gala" by fans, because this group of duels is too lively, the games on the field are lively, the audience off the field is also lively, and the fans of the two teams are even more lively.
The Liaoyue duel is different from the duel between Zhejiang and Xinjiang in the second half of the region, and this group of duels is the most suspenseful, because there are many uncertain factors. There are too many uncertain factors, such as the referee's misjudgment caused by a player's "fake fall"! and "fraudulent injury"! However, from the perspective of the overall strength of the two teams, the integrity of the Liaoning team is stronger, which does not refer to the overall strength, but to the age structure of the team.
There are more young players in the Guangdong team, and they are slightly lacking in experience, and they may not grasp the details as well as the Liaoning team, but one advantage is that they are physically energetic and dare to fight. The team's head coach Du Feng also mentioned this in an interview with media reporters before the game, Du Feng said: "Liaoning has a strong inner line, the forward line is relatively mature, and the defenders have experienced many international competitions. Zhou Qi and Ren Junfei can't play in G1, I think it's even more difficult for us inside, we have to fight the opponent. Liaoning is the defending champion, and the strength is above us. ”
Head coach Du Feng is still very wise, Liaoning defenders Zhao Jiwei and Guo Allen have experienced many international competitions, and may be much better than Hu Mingxuan and Xu Jie in terms of experience. In the case that Zhou Qi and Ren Junfei did not play in the first game, it must be very difficult for the Guangdong team to win the first victory in the semifinals.
Zhou Qi went on the expedition, and there was no grass
In the second semi-final of the Liaoning team's home stadium, Zhou Qi can play, "Zhou Qi goes out, not a single grass grows!" To tell the truth, in the second game of the semifinals, the Liaoning team has little chance of winning, and the Guangdong team has Zhou Qi to dominate the basket, and the inside line of the Liaoning team will be tested. Whether Moreland can restrain Zhou Qi is a question worth thinking about, it is estimated that it is not easy for Moreland to restrain Zhou Qi after all, don't look at the pre-game Moreland posted that he wanted to compete with Zhou Qi, and claimed: "To compete with the best players!" It is estimated that Moreland and Zhou Qi will not take advantage of each other.
In the second semi-final of the home stadium of the Liaoning team, it is still optimistic that the Guangdong team will win, so that the Guangdong team can return to their home stadium with an equal score of 1:1, and win the two semi-finals in the two games at home, and defeat the Liaoning team with a big score of 3:1.
Yang Ming wants to eat Du Feng's "loss"
To tell the truth, the semi-finals of Liaoning and Guangdong are not only a competition of player strength, but also a competition of the wisdom of the head coach, from the wisdom of the head coach of the Liaoning team Yang Ming and the head coach of the Guangdong team Du Feng, the head coach Yang Ming is still inferior to the head coach Du Feng, especially from the "bad idea" aspect, Yang Ming is definitely not as much as Du Feng's "bad idea". At this time, we will not talk about martial arts, and no matter what "good ideas" are, as long as they can win the game, they are all "good ideas"! That is to say, "no matter whether the black cat is a white cat, catching a mouse is a good cat"! In this regard, Yang Ming, the head coach of the Liaoning team, will definitely suffer a loss, so he is optimistic that the Guangdong team will defeat the Liaoning team 3:1 and advance to the finals.
The European actuarial company's updated CBA championship handicap data has been released
The Guangdong team that won in the first half of the region and the Xinjiang team that won the second half of the region walked on the stage of the finals, which is also the result of the big data analysis of European actuarial companies, and the Guangdong team and the Xinjiang team finally appeared on the stage of the finals.
According to the well-known sports blogger "Director, Where Do I Lie _basketball":
It can be seen from the analysis of the handicap data of the European actuarial company that the probability of the Guangdong team winning the championship is close to 60%, while the probability of the Xinjiang team winning the championship is only about 20%, which will also say that the probability gap between the two teams winning the championship is too big, and it is still optimistic that the Guangdong team will eventually reach the top and win the championship.
The Guangdong team not only has a strong psychological advantage on the stage of the finals, but more importantly, the players of the Guangdong team are full of confidence, they are not afraid of the Xinjiang team at all, because there are no "prickly" players in the Xinjiang team, and they are easier to bully, which gives the Guangdong team full confidence to defeat the Xinjiang team.
Let's take a look at the fans' reactions:
Everyone is still more optimistic that the Guangdong team will finally reach the top and win the championship!
Qiu Biao is a "primary school student" in front of Du Feng
From the perspective of head coaches, Qiu Biao, the head coach of the Xinjiang team, is still a little more tender than Du Feng, whether it is the experience of the competition or the stage of the finals, Qiu Biao is relatively unfamiliar and still needs to learn.
From the point of view of "bad ideas", Qiu Biao is not the opponent of head coach Du Feng, Qiu Biao is too upright and does not have too many fancy intestines, so it is easiest to eat Du Feng's "loss"!
Through big data analysis, the handicap data given by European actuarial companies is still relatively reliable, and it is optimistic that the Guangdong team will defeat the Xinjiang team 4:2 and win the championship.