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Text: Xu Xu.
Edited by Xu Xu.
The situation in Ukraine has intensified, and the Russian army has captured three important towns in three days, including Olechedyne, Novobakhmutyevka and Soloviove, making the Ukrainian defense line precarious. The wave of impact brought about by the fierce attack of the Russian army not only caused the Ukrainian army to escape from the battle, but even the elite troops refused to carry out the order. The determination of the Ukrainian army to resist stubbornly is being tested like never before, on the verge of a dangerous collapse of the front. This breakthrough of the Russian army is tantamount to a decisive blow to the Ukrainian defense line, and where the follow-up situation will go is destined to control the key to the direction of the entire war.
Ukraine is currently suffering from indiscriminate bombardment by Russia's iron hooves and is facing a serious crisis of the collapse of the front. In just 3 days, the Ukrainian army has lost 3 important towns in a row: Olechedine, Novobakhmutyevka and Soloviove, and the Russian army's offensive is like a rolling tide of rage, unstoppable. What is shocking is that not only did the Ukrainian army have an ugly scene of escaping from the battle, but even the elite troops with first-class equipment and well-trained refused to carry out the orders of their superiors. Could it be that the iron backbone of the Ukrainian soldiers is being tested like never before? Has the Ukrainian army's determination to resist been shaken?
Why is there a rare situation in which the Ukrainian army refuses to carry out orders and elite troops are unable to form an army? Does this mean that the collapse of Ukraine's defense line is already on the verge of collapse? In the face of this thought-provoking doubt, we have to ask the root cause.
In fact, the Russian army showed amazing combat effectiveness in this offensive. The 47th Mechanized Brigade and the 115th Mechanized Brigade of the Ukrainian Army are both well-trained and well-equipped sharp knife units of the United States, but they fled without a fight under the heavy artillery fire of the Russian army and the bombardment of tactical missiles. Although the Ukrainian army has suffered heavy losses and more than half of the casualties, it still fights to the end, but in the face of such a huge firepower suppression, no matter how tenacious the fighting spirit is, it is difficult to support it for too long.
With the full support of Russian artillery and aviation, the 2nd Army of the Russian "Central Army" broke through in the Ohricino area, and the Ukrainian defense line almost collapsed. Subsequently, the Russian army pursued the victory, and in only 3 days, it took 3 cities to conquer, forming a salient and forming a strong threat to the Ukrainian defense line.
The Russian army, well versed in the strategic intention of "waiting for work at ease", began to build fortifications south of Ochrekine, consolidating the conquered positions and clearing the way for the next assembly assault. This tactical deployment exposes the grandeur of the Russian army's offensive, and its determination has been set and unstoppable.
What are the root causes of the frequent occurrence of humiliating phenomena such as the Ukrainian army's refusal to hold its ground and the escape from the battle?
First, the Russian army's firepower is dense and fierce, and the Ukrainian defense line has been heavily damaged. With the continuous escalation of the war, the comparison of firepower between the two sides has been contrasted, and the Ukrainian defense line has been repeatedly damaged under the fire of the Russian army.
Second, it is difficult for the recruits of the Ukrainian army to resist the old division of the Russian army. In the face of the elite units of the Russian army that swept thousands of miles in Suriri, these inexperienced recruits of the Ukrainian army can be said to be exposed, and it is inevitable that they will retreat under pressure.
Third, the Ukrainian army has no material supplies, and it is difficult to support a large-scale war of attrition. Under the superiority of the Russian army's firepower, the front-line troops of the Ukrainian army suffered heavy losses, but it was difficult for personnel and equipment to be replenished in time, resulting in the rapid exhaustion of combat effectiveness.
Fourth, the Ukrainian army's front is on the verge of a break, and the command system has suffered a serious impact. In the face of the approaching Russian army, a gap in the Ukrainian army's defense line is forming, which makes its overall chain of command disordered and panicked.
In the final analysis, all these factors reflect the weakness of Ukraine's military command structure and strategic psychology. Even if the Ukrainian army resists bravely, if the distant water cannot quench the thirst of the near, the defense line will inevitably suffer further tears.
It is still difficult to fully predict the trend of this spreading war for the time being, but the results of the Russian army in this battle have also laid the foundation for the follow-up decisive battle. If the Russian army takes advantage of the victory to pursue, masses the vanguard troops on a large scale, and condenses its concentrated forces into a powerful killer weapon that can determine the outcome of the battle, the fate of the Ukrainian army will be unimaginable. The impact of the effective combination of large-scale mechanized forces and ground firepower will be devastating, and it will be difficult for the Ukrainian army to build the last line of defense.
However, if the Russian army blindly charges and neglects to guard against a possible counterattack by the Ukrainian army and further assistance from NATO countries, there is still a possibility of a reversal of the situation in the future. After the Ukrainian army is exhausted, the will to fight and morale may be reinvigorated. In addition, the addition of follow-up reinforcements or new weapons may also extend the life of the Ukrainian army. At that time, if the Russian army does not cherish the current strategic initiative, it is likely to take the credit for stealing.
The rout of the Ukrainian Front this time has caused a heated discussion on the Internet, and netizens have different opinions:
Some netizens believe that this indicates that the Ukrainian army will eventually be destroyed. The Ukrainian army was losing ground in front of the Russian offensive, exposing serious morale and combat effectiveness problems. The defeat and retreat of the Ukrainian army is tantamount to preparing for a general rout.
Some netizens also analyzed that this is just a tactical adjustment of the Ukrainian army, and in order to avoid unnecessary casualties, it is not impossible to take the initiative to abandon the defensive line. At present, the Ukrainian army is only temporarily retreating, concentrating on the standby counterattack, and has not lost its fighting spirit.
Some netizens believe that the Ukrainian army's defeat this time is to lure the Russian army deeper, make room for the defense of other regions, and wait for it to launch a counteroffensive. On the whole, the tactical deployment of the Ukrainian army is cautious and orderly.
However, some netizens are still pessimistic, believing that the Ukrainian army is so vulnerable, indicating that it is no longer able to resist the onslaught of the Russian army, and it is destined to collapse without help.
Looking at this campaign, it is not difficult to find all kinds of shortcomings exposed by the Ukrainian military, and it is urgent to be vigilant. First of all, under the heavy pressure of the Russian army, the morale and combat effectiveness of the Ukrainian army have been seriously overdrawn, which is the most fatal hidden danger. Secondly, the overall strategic intention of the Ukrainian army is hesitant, the command level lacks foresight, and it also appears to be passive in terms of strategic layout. Moreover, the ammunition and supply capacity of the Ukrainian army is seriously insufficient, resulting in a large loss of troops and equipment. In general, the Ukrainian military's leadership and combat capabilities and overall strength are facing a huge test, and it remains to be seen whether its combat resolve can withstand the heavy grind of a long war.
Such a drastic change in the war situation has brought the Ukrainian front to the brink of collapse. Will the Ukrainian side still be able to concentrate its efforts on opening another front and turn the tide after death? Will Russia be able to seize this opportunity to defeat the Ukrainian army with a decisive blow? How will Ukraine, which is fighting a war on its back, save itself? Where will the follow-up war go? Let us wait and see!