After the sharp rise in A-shares on Friday, I believe that stockholders and investors will have a very comfortable time this weekend! Because of the collective rise of the bull market standard-bearer brokers, we finally see the hope of the stock market rising.
When everyone was looking forward to the future stock market, a major event occurred in the capital market over the weekend, that is, the sharp depreciation of many currencies against the US dollar, especially the sharp depreciation of the yen against the US dollar, hitting a new low in 34 years, causing many countries to worry about the currency.
The fuse that led to the sharp depreciation of many currencies against the US dollar was that the Federal Reserve continued to raise interest rates and the US dollar maintained high interest rates; and the US dollar is a global common currency, which brings certain pressure to the currencies of all countries in the world, so it is normal for many currencies to depreciate sharply against the US dollar on the basis of high US interest rates.
According to the latest currency display, the yen, South Korean won, Indian rupee, Indonesian rupiah and other currencies are still falling and falling against the dollar, of which 158 yen is only 1 dollar and 1,380 won is worth 1 dollar, and the exchange rate war between many countries is still ongoing.
The level of the exchange rate directly determines the appreciation and depreciation of the currency, and at the same time will directly affect the economy of various countries; and the stock market is the barometer of the economy, when the currency depreciates sharply, the stock market is not good, so it is certain that the currency depreciation will definitely have an impact on the stock market, but the impact on A shares is relatively small.
Therefore, investors do not need to worry too much, just follow the independent market of A shares themselves, and the most concerned about the moment is that A shares can rise sharply tomorrow?
Predict that tomorrow A shares will continue to rise, but the probability of wanting to rise is very small, unless the brokerage sector once again ushered in the tide of the limit, otherwise tomorrow A shares can only be bullish, and will not rise sharply, the overall opening of tomorrow A shares is optimistic, there are three reasons.
Reason 1: Promote the head brokerage company to become stronger and better The policy will continue to ferment, stimulate the brokerage sector to continue to rise, and think that the heat of the brokerage sector will further rise tomorrow, and a lot of funds will pile up into the brokerage stocks, as long as the brokerage rises will inevitably drive the rise of A shares.
Reason 2: Although the brokerage will drive the rise of A-shares tomorrow, it will face two major obstacles tomorrow, namely the selling pressure above 3100 points, and the intensification of the differentiation of the plate;
Reason 3: There are only 2 trading days for A-shares next week, and then the May Day holiday will usher in the uncertainty of the news in the holiday securities market, as well as the withdrawal of stock market funds, which will bring certain pressure to A-shares tomorrow and affect the confidence of the bulls.
To sum up the above three reasons, the trend of tomorrow's A-shares is bullish, but will not rise sharply, because the brokerage sector continues to drive the stock market up, but considering the selling pressure above 3100 points, the differentiation of the sector, and the worry of the May Day holiday, etc., the holiday long and short are not easy to shoot, it is recommended that investors still be cautious about the trend of tomorrow's A-shares, remember not to blindly chase higher, and control the risks and opportunities.