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From the market feedback, on April 26, the average price of three-yuan lean pigs outside the country was 14.94 yuan / kg, down 0.02 yuan from yesterday, and the pig price showed "3 consecutive declines" The trend of the price is weak, the decline in the northern part of the domestic market increases, the sporadic quotations in the south are slightly stronger, and the market fundamentals are weak!
From the zoning point of view, in the country's 7 pig producing areas, in the key monitoring of 28 regions, Northeast, North China, Northwest, East China and Central China, pig prices fell narrowly, the southwest and South China markets are stable, and the quotation in sporadic areas has a slightly strong trend! Among them, the average price of live pigs slaughtered in the country is similar to 14.95 yuan/kg in Guangxi, among them, the price of live pigs in various provinces and cities in the country is 14~15.95 yuan, the lowest price in Xinjiang, and the highest price in Guangdong!
In the north and south of the country, in the traditional high and low markets, Heijiliao area, the price of live pigs slaughtered is 14.35 ~ 14.75 yuan / kg, in Shanxi and Hebei is 15.05 ~ 15.1 yuan / kg, and Shaanxi and Gansu are quoted at 14.7 ~ 14.9 yuan / kg. In the southern market, the southwest region, Sichuan and Chongqing are quoted at 14.7~14.75 yuan, Shandong and Anhui are quoted at 15.15~15.3 yuan, Jiangsu and Zhejiang are quoted at 15.4~15.7 yuan, Henan is quoted at 15.1 yuan, Lianghu is quoted at 15~15.1 yuan, and live pigs in Liangguang are quoted at 14.95~15.95 yuan/kg!
At present, the pig market is showing a stable and weak trend, the market is long and short, the market is under pressure, and the price is weak!
On the one hand, the festival is difficult to cash, the downstream white strip purchase and sales performance is average, the slaughterhouse order increment is small, the operating rate is weak, the current stage of the sample slaughtering enterprise operating rate is only about 27.38%, an increase of 0.12 percentage points from yesterday, the slaughterhouse pre-holiday stocking demand is not smooth, pig prices are not enough to support! It is difficult to increase the operating rate of slaughtering enterprises, not only by the sluggish follow-up of phased consumption, the change of residents' eating habits and the lack of increment in the demand for dine-in, but also by the high level of frozen pork inventory, some slaughtering enterprises lose money on fresh white strips, reduce the delivery of fresh products, and accelerate the mentality of frozen products, which also inhibits the increase in the operating rate of slaughtering enterprises!
On the other hand, the breeding end of the fence mentality is loose! Although, the market is generally bullish on the prospect of the end of the month, however, the pig price is difficult to rise, and the fat pig consumption capacity is poor, the breeding end of the fence sentiment has been loosened, retail investors and group pig enterprises have a certain mentality of selling, in particular, the large pig slaughter is relatively positive, the slaughterhouse smoothly purchases pigs lack difficulty, and the price reduction mentality still exists!
Therefore, based on the poor cashing of the festival, the lack of substantial demand, the low operating rate of slaughtering enterprises, and the bullish confidence of the breeding end is loose, the market is actively subscribed to pigs, pig prices are under pressure, and the market continues to be weak and stable!
Personally, I believe that although the pre-holiday slaughtering rate is poor, however, the market still has a short-term demand for stocking, therefore, the lack of support for pig prices to fall significantly, after the short-term weak market operation, by the downstream market orders increased, slaughtering enterprises to collect pig demand rebound, pig prices still have the opportunity to stop falling and rebound, however, due to the holiday consumption increment or will be limited, and the breeding end lacks the mentality of pressing the fence, pig prices may be extremely limited!
Now, April is coming to an end, pig prices continue to be weak, and according to the level of sow inventory changes, the pace of sow inventory in August ~ September last year is accelerating, it is expected that the current round of pig cycle downward or will enter the end, pig price "inflection point" as early as mid to late May cash!
On April 26th, the pig price: 3 consecutive drops! The pig price "wants to rise and fall", and the "inflection point" of the pig cycle is coming?