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After nearly three months, domestic gasoline and diesel prices will once again usher in a "price reduction", the price adjustment time has been determined, and the price will be adjusted at 24 o'clock in the evening of April 29 (next Monday), at that time, the cost of residents' May Day driving may be reduced......
As we all know, due to international geopolitical tensions and OPEC+ cut the average daily production capacity of 2.2 million barrels in the first and second quarters, international oil prices have strengthened against the trend, and the price of cloth oil has hovered at 90 US dollars / barrel, which has even risen to 91.17 US dollars, WTI crude oil rose to a high of 86.91 US dollars / barrel, domestic oil prices have risen, and the national 92 gasoline price has risen into the "8 yuan era", from the market feedback, on April 26, the mainstream areas of domestic provinces and cities, the price of 92 gasoline was 8.2~8.4 yuan / rise, sporadic quotations even rose into the "9 yuan era......
Oil prices remain high, logistics costs continue to rise, and the pressure on people to travel by car is gradually increasing.
According to the data, this round of pricing cycle, international oil prices show a trend of rising and falling, the center of gravity of U.S. oil and cloth oil prices moved down slightly, which also provides support for the decline in oil prices, from market feedback to understand, in this round of pricing cycle 10 working days, in the first 7 working days, the rate of change of crude oil is -1.96%, gasoline and diesel prices are estimated to fall by 90 yuan / ton, equivalent to 92 gasoline is estimated to fall by about 0.07 ~ 0.08 yuan / liter, oil prices are about to be lowered, remind everyone to tell each other, at the end of the month to refuel to spend less......
At the same time, in the domestic pig and egg market, close to May Day, due to the slow follow-up of demand, the market supply pattern is loose, pig prices, egg prices are not rising, and the price is mainly weak and stable!
In terms of live pigs, from the analysis of institutional data, on April 26, the price of pigs in the outer three yuan was 14.94 yuan / kg, down 0.02 yuan, the market showed a stable and weak trend, most of the domestic market stabilized, and many places in the north fell under pressure, only Hunan, Guizhou and Gansu rose, and the rise and fall was generally only 0.05 ~ 0.1 yuan!
At present, the rebound of pig prices is not smooth, mainly due to the poor follow-up of demand, although, according to the experience of previous years, the week before May Day, slaughtering enterprises or will stock up in advance, pig prices have a strong rise in support!
However, due to the domestic frozen pork inventory this year, the downstream stocking enthusiasm is poor, and the standard fertilizer price spread is upside down, the pre-holiday market price confidence is general, some farmers in the pig slaughter is relatively positive, therefore, the pig market is still facing the pressure of strong supply and weak demand, especially, South China, the traditional pork sales market, affected by the previous precipitation, consumer demand is sluggish, the breeding end of the slaughter is not smooth, and there is a certain "blister pig" phenomenon in some areas, which also exacerbates the mentality of panic at the breeding end!
Personally, I believe that in the short term, the bottom support of pig prices still exists, the breeding end of the pig subscription mentality is general, superimposed, there is still a demand for stocking in the pre-holiday market, and there is a lack of space for pig prices to fall, however, due to the lack of goodness, it is difficult to cash in the slaughtering enterprises, and the pig price will still be dominated by shocks.
In the egg market, at present, the domestic egg price continues to "grind the bottom" performance, among them, the average price of eggs in the production area is 3.33 yuan / catty, and the average price of eggs in the sales area market is 3.28 yuan / catty, down 0.03 yuan!
On the one hand, the number of domestic laying hens is at a high level, the number of new laying hens is more, the number of old chickens eliminated is limited, the egg production capacity has increased steadily, the pressure on egg inventory in all aspects of production and marketing has increased significantly, the number of egg inventory days in each link is larger, and the market is facing severe supply pressure, in particular, the temperature rises and precipitation increases, and the risk of mildew in egg storage increases, which also exacerbates the pressure on the market;
On the other hand, the demand for follow-up is insufficient, the downstream market before May Day is relatively restrained, in particular, the egg storage is difficult, the market is still dominated by the consumption of inventory, traders and food enterprises are not highly motivated, residents and households are mainly to buy less often, and the pressure of loose inventory is difficult to alleviate!
Therefore, by the small long holiday short-term good cash, egg prices or a slight rebound is expected, however, after the holiday market by consumer demand deterioration, the supply pattern is sufficient, the price or will once again enter the trend of grinding the bottom!
April 26: After the adjustment of the price of No. 92 gasoline, what is the price of pigs and eggs? What do you think of this? The above is the author's personal opinion, the picture comes from the Internet!