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In the pig market, although, the market is generally bullish on the prospects at the end of the month, but, due to the delay in consumption, and the mentality of breeding prices is gradually loosened, pig prices are under pressure!
So, what's happening in the market? Today is April 26th, after the price adjustment, the price of pigs, corn, wheat is updated, and the analysis is how:
First, the price of corn continues to fall!
At present, the progress of corn grain sales in the producing areas is relatively fast, but the pessimistic mentality of the channel is spreading, the enthusiasm for further increasing reserves is poor, the supply of corn in the circulation stage is increasing, and the performance of spot corn is poor. In terms of ports, the scale of the northern port in the morning is 30,000 tons, the pressure on port inventory has increased sharply, the market in the southern sales area lacks follow-up performance, the purchase and sale of corn is relatively deserted, and the quotation of some ports in the north has declined slightly!
In terms of production areas, in the northeast region, corn channel inventory is high, limited by warehousing costs, traders are reluctant to sell, however, due to feed and deep processing inventory is also at a high level, some feed enterprises have not yet exhausted the low-cost rice in the early stage, corn procurement demand is poor, the pressure of corn in the northeast exists, Heijiliao and Inner Mongolia, the mainstream deep-processed corn price is 1.075 ~ 1.18 yuan / catty!
North China market, by the corn storage difficulty, the grassroots surplus grain further increased, the channel construction confidence is insufficient, the arrival of the enterprise in front of the loose, the market lacks to undertake the strength, the spot corn is weak, Shandong, Tai'an Xiangrui, Binzhou Ronghai, Shandong Luzhou, Yucheng Bowling Bao and Dezhou Fuyang, corn price range in 0.2 ~ 0.5 points, Weifang Shengtai rose 0.5 points, the mainstream corn price in 1.09 ~ 1.24 yuan / catty!
At present, the downward range of the corn market is slowing down, however, the market rise is far from coming, in particular, the phased production and marketing mismatch is highlighted, the channel inventory is high, and the demand capacity is insufficient, in particular, the North China market is facing the pressure of corn storage, it is expected that the real rise in corn may drive the summer grain harvest!
Second, the wheat market fluctuated lower!
On the one hand, the wheat demand is not followed up well, the sales of flour are not smooth, affected by the weather and consumption habits, the terminal flour purchase and sales are cold, the dealer replenishment demand is cautious, the products of milling enterprises are not smooth, the operating rate is low, the demand for raw grain is poor, in particular, the stage of the breeding industry is sluggish, and the price of corn has fallen sharply, the difficulty of bran shipment has been further increased, the profits of milling enterprises have been further pressured, and some enterprises have stopped work and harvest;
On the other hand, the supply of wheat raw grain is sufficient, although, recently, the level of grain rotation in the reserve has improved, but the rotation is still relatively positive, in particular, the phenomenon of unsold in the early stage is more common, which also causes the risk of wheat pressure in the grain depot is difficult to alleviate, and the supply of wheat is relatively sufficient!
Therefore, under many factors, the wheat market fluctuated lower, however, the wheat price fell too much, the market has a certain price stabilization mentality, some enterprises in front of the grain source to reduce the mentality, the main body of grain reluctant to sell the mentality rebounded, in the short term, the wheat market or a weak and stable situation!
However, due to the approaching new wheat listing cycle, the market surplus grain is still under pressure to concentrate on clearing, although the wheat market has the opportunity to stabilize, but the rise is still facing multiple pressures, and the market will pay attention to the policy wheat purchase and sales rhythm and the expected changes in the new wheat production!
From the latest data, Shandong, Hebei and Henan and other places, some milling enterprises continue to reduce the phenomenon of prices, among them, Shandong, Linyi Qingyuan Food, Qingdao Wudeli, Heze Huarui, Linyi Wudeli and Caoxian Yongming flour quotation fell 1~2 points, Shandong wheat quotation in 1.28~1.36 yuan / catty! Hebei market, Hebei Jinshahe and Daimyo Wudeli wheat price fell 0.5 points, Hebei wheat quotation in 1.29~1.3 yuan/ In the Henan market, Zhengzhou Jinyuan grain and oil fell by 3 points, Hualong Farm, Luohe COFCO, Keming starch, Anyang Yihai Kerry and Suiping Keming starch, the quotation fell by 0.5~2 points, and the mainstream wheat price in Henan was 1.27~1.323 yuan/jin!
Third, pig prices are under pressure and falling!
In the pig market, near the end of the month, the May Day holiday is coming, however, the lack of pig prices is difficult to rise, the market is showing a stable and weak trend, the phased purchase and sale game upgrade, long and short pressure highlighted!
On the one hand, the breeding end of the price mentality is loose, retail investors and group pig enterprises have become stronger, in the north and south regions, the difficulty of slaughtering enterprises in procurement, the supply pattern of the pig market is relatively loose, however, from the perspective of slaughter performance, small and medium-sized pigs slaughter is relatively small, large pigs slaughter is relatively positive, the average weight of pigs slaughter has increased, and the pork supply capacity has been enhanced;
On the other hand, the support of pork consumption is insufficient, the festival consumption is difficult to appear, the purchase and sale of white strips in the downstream market are general, the traders have limited efforts to receive goods, the operating rate of slaughtering enterprises is adjusted at a low level, and the mentality of incremental slaughtering is not high!
Therefore, based on the pressure of the market, the market is under pressure to fall, on April 26, the price of pigs fell narrowly by 0.02 yuan, the price of slaughtering enterprises was quoted at 14.94 yuan / kg, the domestic market pig price decline has increased, many places in the north and East China, Central China, pig prices generally fell 0.05 ~ 0.2 yuan, southwest and South China quotations are stable, South China is affected by precipitation, the purchase and sale is not smooth, the white strip is poor, and the performance of the breeding end is average!
Personally, guided by emotions, the festival is good to cash slowly, it is expected that in the next 1~2 days, pig prices will still be weak and stable, however, close to the holiday, pig prices still have the opportunity to rise, focusing on the change in the operating rate of slaughtering enterprises and the change in the rhythm of the group's pig slaughter!
Pig prices and grain prices "don't stop!" After the price adjustment on April 26, the prices of corn, hogs, and wheat were updated! What do you think of this? The above is the author's personal opinion, and the picture comes from the Internet!