The situation in the Middle East in the past two days may have surprised many people.
The day after Israel counterattacked Iranian proper, Iranian Foreign Minister Abdollahian, not only denied the Israeli attack, but also stressed that Iran does not intend to respond unless Israel launches a major strike.
As soon as Iran's statement came out, public opinion on the Internet exploded, and I see many people saying that Iran was cowardly. More people don't understand and can't understand the current situation in the Middle East. Why is Iran's attitude so strange, Israel has attacked the mainland, why doesn't Iran fight back?
In fact, I made a prediction in the last episode that Iran will most likely not fight back. Moreover, before Israel officially took action to strike at Iran itself, the United States and Iran had already reached some kind of agreement in advance. To put it simply, through the United States, Iran has drawn a scope for Israel to fight at it, and the two sides will carry out a wave of "political show-style military attacks", and the matter will be over.
It may sound a bit outrageous, but that's politics. And if I'm not mistaken, during the years of confrontation between the United States and Iran, something similar has not happened before. For example, the United States has drawn a regional scope, let Iran make a show, strike back, and give both sides a step down to prevent the situation from further escalating.
Why should this be so? Because both Israel and Iran, no matter how harsh they say, they can't actually accept it, and the situation is completely out of control. The United States is even more unacceptable. And from a practical point of view, both Israel and Iran lack realistic preparations to support a full-scale conflict. In fact, to put it bluntly, the two sides simply do not have the ability to fight a frontal war and trigger a large-scale conflict in the Middle East, so everyone tacitly understands that it will be over if they perform a wave of each other.
Okay, as for the matter itself, that's it, if there is progress in the follow-up situation, I will follow up. With that, I actually want to talk about something related to China. First of all, there is a part of the disappointment that Iran has instigated, and the disappointment is that the large-scale conflict that is close at hand has not been fought. It seems that the more chaotic the situation in the Middle East and the more intense the conflict, the better it will be for us and for China.
This idea is actually wrong. If you think about it, could it be that China mediated the Saudi-Iranian reconciliation in the first place for the sake of today's chaos in the Middle East? It was for this dish of vinegar and this dumpling? No matter how you think about it, this is completely contrary to China's core values. Even if we don't start from this level, will it be beneficial for us if Iran and Israel start fighting? Will we be able to sit back and enjoy the results and sit firmly in the Diaoyutai platform?
At the end of the day, let's be clear. What is really beneficial to us is not who fights with whom again, not the outbreak of a full-scale conflict in the Middle East. The current chaotic situation in the Middle East is the real best strategic window for China. The fact that the United States has hit a wall everywhere in the Middle East is actually a microcosm of the global situation. Times have changed, and the days of hegemonism dominating the world are gone, replaced by the "post-hegemonic era".
The hegemonic countries, represented by the United States, are no longer able to control the regional and global situation. In order to sit at the table, rather than become a menu, all forces are doing whatever it takes to share the cake and grab profits. In this situation, China has a lot to do. The United States is inevitably in recession, and in all its aspects. The most important thing is how China can take advantage of this "bonus period" to strive for a higher level of development and expand a broader diplomatic space.