If China and the United States start a full-scale war, how many days will China be able to survive the sanctions blockade?

The likelihood of a full-blown hot war between China and the United States has dropped to more than 100 decimal places. But no matter how small the possibility is, it is possible, whether it is a cautious war or a preparation for war. China is a big country, and big countries are all planning and then acting, and children lose their temper, and if we want to fight, we have to settle accounts before. Forget it now.

I am the trunk of the tree, and I detoxify the international current affairs every day.

In case, let's say that in case, China and the United States do not enter a full-scale war without paying attention, then in terms of the national strength of the two countries, this war will be protracted: because neither China nor the United States can accept the defeat of the war, and the resilience and potential of the Chinese are also inclined to long-term wars, such as the most recent one, the 14-year-old war of resistance in the thirties and forties of the last century. Of course, the United States absolutely refuses to admit that the imperial hegemony has completely collapsed, and no matter how long it works, it would rather die than accept it! The great rejuvenation of the Chinese nation has been carried out arduously for more than 70 years, and it is still less allowed to be cut off by the waist. The military hot war is completely different from other economic, political, and cultural wars, and the hot war is a pure game of life and death, and there is no room for mediation in the middle.

Militarily, the United States piggybacks on its servile allies and can no longer directly win against the People's Liberation Army: the PLA is unique in the world in its perennial preparations, its political ideology and military literacy are unique in the world, and the accuracy and firepower of its equipment are complete, both in quantity and quality. Over the past 40 years and more, China has accumulated more than 30 percent of the world's industrial manufacturing capacity, and once a war breaks out, the wartime national defense production capacity will expand rapidly, and the ability to replenish weapons and equipment will surpass the world's production capacity. From a purely military point of view, whether it is tough or attrition, the US empire and its minions will have a large-scale fight with China, which is a sure defeat.

However, of course, the US empire will never give up its hegemony, and the Americans naturally have the means to damage the Americans. The Americans want to package a blockade in all directions to see if they can trap China alive! Using war to initiate the blockade is a method that the US empire has racked its brains to come up with.

And so many slave allies who don't know whether they are alive or dead, can also pull hands and feet on the periphery, through land, sea and air blockades, financial sanctions, technology blockades, energy blockades, and food embargoes, etc., to lock up China's ability to sustain the war on all sides.

So, let's say the question arises: How long will China consume energy under the maximum sanctions?

The first topic: Is the blockade really useful?

Useful, of course useful.

Otherwise, why do you think Hitler wanted to take out Eastern Europe first in World War II? Why did he go to great lengths to attack the Soviet Union? Because during World War I, Germany suffered the loss of Britain, and after a small part of the war, there were no military supplies. Therefore, at the beginning of World War II, Hitler went straight to the "heavy chemical industry, metallurgical industry, and manufacturing industry" on which the war depended. Strategic resources such as iron, copper, aluminum, tungsten, and rubber, which were highly related to these industries, were prioritized in the early stages of the war: iron ore from Sweden, grain from the Soviet Union, oil and gas from the Soviet Union, oil from Hungary, and coal from Italy...... However, as the war progressed, especially the planned large resource pool of the Soviet Union, Germany's war resources became less and less, and finally died on the road of running out of ammunition and food.

Countries that rely heavily on the import of external resources will certainly not be able to hold on to war for a long time. Germany and Japan both suffered from this loss, and these two fascists also used the same strategy: the starting point of the war was to first grab resources frantically and prepare to feed the war with war. Of course, the fascists did not succeed in retribution, but World War II played the essence of a long war: maintaining combat strength and fighting resources.

On the other side of World War II, the Soviet Union also mobilized 78 percent of its industrial capacity for the military industry, and the United States directly mobilized 60 percent of its bomb production for such a large size. War is crazy, so try not to get involved, but if you do, you have to be crazier! Let's take the United States as an example, in order to produce weapons, at its peak, it consumed 80 million tons of steel a year (this number trunk to compare, China's steel production capacity is now about 1 billion tons a year), 5 million tons of aluminum, 1.7 million tons of copper, after 4 years of fighting, a total of 108,400 tanks, 372,000 artillery pieces, 300,000 aircraft, 2,382,300 vehicles, 6,771 warships (more than 100 aircraft carriers) and 5,425 merchant ships, crazy, crazy! And behind the madness, it is all about the need for adequate supply of strategic materials.

Without supplies, there can be no war. Especially in a full-scale war like China and the United States, which directly connects fire externally (there will never be the tragic scene of the War of Resistance Against Japanese Aggression again, there will be no more wars in China itself), guns are fighting, and materials are fighting.

Therefore, the calculation of the US empire is that if China blockades China's supplies, will China not be able to continue this war? Yes, it is such a battle.

In order to maintain hegemony and control over the world, the Americans have military bases on the choke points of shipping in various places, and there are more than 800 bases around the world. These throat bases have grasped the global economic channel. In China's periphery, of course, none of these minions dare to follow in and do it directly, but it is still no problem to intercept China's huge merchant fleet from all sides, far away from China's mainland in the Atlantic, Indian Ocean, and Mediterranean. This means that 75% of China's oil and 45% of its natural gas have been intercepted.

Of course, the biggest gap is still in Russia. As long as Russia and China are back-to-back, they are simply invincible. You can now see clearly what is the fundamental purpose of this nonsensical war in Ukraine, and why Biden is ignoring China and must kill Russia first. Biden has calculated this account: it can't be beaten, it can only be locked, and to blockade China, it is necessary to tear down Russia, the back door of China, and dismantle Russia first, so that the United States is qualified to enter the long-term attrition of the war against China. This is also why a certain part of the well-known traitors in China shout "Ukrainian Patriotic War" when they have nothing to do, desperately trying to cripple Russia in public opinion, this kind of person is either extremely stupid or extremely bad. Once Russia is dealt with, the US empire will have the confidence to blockade China globally, and it will be difficult to avoid the extreme war that China will face. Wake up, intellectuals.

The second topic is, how much can China make (is China afraid or not)?

Say a few numbers, and don't be scared. The world's largest industrial country, with more than 30% of the world's production capacity, is not casually manipulated.

In 2020 (the latest data, the trunk was not retrieved, and the one from 4 years ago was used first), China produced a total of 7.78 trillion kilowatt-hours of electricity (the United States is 4.29 trillion, China accounts for more than 29% of the world), 798 million tons of steel (the United States is 72.7 million tons, China has surpassed the United States by 10,000 times), and others, as well as 57.79 million tons of aluminum, 4.57 million tons of copper, 67.406 million tons of fertilizer (this Mengha, which can be converted into explosives), 3.24 billion tons of coal, 813,200 tons of natural rubber (extremely important military strategic materials), 7.398 million tons of synthetic rubber, 6.138 million tons of cotton, 55.5 million tons of plastics, 30.9 million tons of chemical fiber, 630 million tons of glass (the bullets are exhausted, take this thing to cut the throat of the American devil), 27.17 million tons of yarn, 80 billion meters of cloth, 202 million tons of crude oil (this is troublesome, the United States has 710 million tons, it is really a resource-rich country), 998 million mobile phones, 65.6 million tons of ships (dumplings, the United States is basically equivalent to 1% of China, hehe), 28 million cars, 246 million computers, 118 million color TVs (other countries have almost been emptied), 109 million air conditioners, 82 million digital cameras, 68 million microwave ovens (this is for soldiers to make hot meals), 261.26 billion chips......

The above figures are only the output of 400,000 major industrial enterprises in 2020, which is still closed, and the start of construction is insufficient (because China's production capacity is already seriously overcapacity), at most only half of all production capacity, which basically accounts for 40%-90% of the world's total output. Behind such a large output is a myriad of infrastructure: plant, machinery, transportation, storage, electricity, water supply, raw materials and other basic conditions, as well as a huge number of management personnel, engineers and skilled workers. With such a large volume, even if China only hooks its fingers and uses 10 percent of it, this year's weapons output is equivalent to the total weapons output of all the participating countries in World War II for four years! How can we fight with China for military production capacity? What do those speculative monsters have to say about this?

Once China mobilizes into a state of war, there is only one word to describe it: terror. Never before in the history of mankind has there been a war machine of this caliber (if China must be forced into a giant of war).

That's it, not counting the more terrifying human resources!

Let me give you a random chestnut to taste: China's top ten military enterprises, 1.7 million employees are waiting day and night to work overtime. China North Industries Group alone has 750,000 employees, 107 armored weapons factories and more than 300,000 manufacturing machinery. In terms of manufacturing and manpower, China really doesn't want to look up at others anymore.

Hey, the question is, with such a powerful and overwhelming manufacturing capacity, why does the US empire dare to provoke?

What exactly are the Americans that have nothing to fear? What are the resources behind the manufacturing capacity? This can be recalculated.

The third topic is, what is the situation of China's mineral resource reserves?

Manufacturing requires materials and energy, and China's dependence on demand for foreign resources is high, high.

The first is the lack of energy, which can be really fatal once it enters a state of war.

In 2021, coal accounted for 55% of China's total energy consumption, 19% for oil, 9% for natural gas, 16.6% for hydropower, nuclear power, and wind power, and a total of 4.23 billion tons of coal, 720 million tons of crude oil, and 369 billion cubic meters of natural gas were consumed, of which 560 million tons of crude oil, 300 million tons of coal, and 119.97 million tons of natural gas were imported, and the total energy consumption of all energy was roughly equivalent to 5.24 billion tons of standard coal. Of course, coal is not a substitute for oil.

Here comes the key oil account.

China's crude oil imports are mainly from the following sources (very scattered, which is exactly what China's strategic layout needs): Saudi Arabia (87.5683 million tons), Russia (79.6424 million tons), Iraq (54.0794 million tons, Oman (44.8162 million tons), the United Arab Emirates (31.9393 million tons), Brazil (30.2987 million tons), Kuwait (30.1636 million tons), and a small number from Iran (how much is this, secret), Libya, Sudan, Peru, Tunisia, Azerbaijan, Nigeria, Venezuela, Algeria, Uzbekistan and Mauritania. The deadliest of these is that 85 percent of crude oil is transported by sea, mainly through the Strait of Malacca. Calculate that the voyage from Tianjin, China to the Gulf region is 12,000 kilometers, and a 14-knots oil tanker takes a total of 920 hours to make a round trip, and the fuel consumption is 3,900 tons, plus 148 hours of loading and unloading time. At this time and this passage, it was basically completely exposed to the field of vision of the warships and aircraft of the US Empire, and in the early stage of the war, of course, it was easily cut off by the United States. It's just that because this passage is around China, the US empire may face greater risks if it wants to do it.

Of course, China has also calculated this trick, so it has simultaneously built more than 5,000 kilometers of onshore energy pipelines, and now it is still increasing, it is estimated that at least 9,000 kilometers, the most important land route is to go directly to Russia, with a daily transportation guarantee of 600,000 barrels, followed by Kazakhstan 200,000 barrels, and then Myanmar 200,000 barrels. These are not things that the US empire can or dare to move, because once it wants to attack China itself, or attack the borders of other countries, then the US mainland will not be too peaceful. The biggest trouble with fighting with China is that you really don't dare to directly move countries that have a relationship with China, because China is too strong, and it is easy to help China create a bunch of alliances.

China's own crude oil reserves are as high as 700 billion barrels, but only 24 billion barrels can be recovered on an economic scale (real shortage), in addition to 141 million barrels of strategic oil reserves, 207.885 billion tons of coal reserves, and 7.2 trillion cubic meters of natural gas reserves. You can assume that these strategic stockpiles in China are safe, because neither China nor China will be stupid enough to attack the other's homeland. The revenge that followed was too tragic.

In terms of other raw materials, China's performance is a little worse than the above, once it can't keep the source of imports and shipping routes, the bottleneck phenomenon will appear frequently.

For example, China imports two-thirds of global iron ore imports, with 1.2 billion tonnes of imports in 2023, as well as 21.77 million tonnes of copper, 125.47 million tonnes of bauxite and 10.58 million tonnes of chrome. Among them, the largest amount of iron ore is also the most troublesome, the main trouble comes from Australia, which has repeatedly jumped horizontally, and the other Iran, Indonesia, North Korea, Vietnam, and Chile add up to less than 30 million tons; while the other strategic mineral resource copper ore mainly comes from distant Chile and Zambia, China's own copper ore reserves are 77 million tons, but the recoverable ones do not exceed 18 million tons, which is too far, and this line is almost under the nose of the US empire; bauxite mainly comes from Guinea, Australia (Australia is really a good place), Indonesia, China's total bauxite reserves are 2.658 billion, chrome ore mainly from Kazakhstan and South Africa, China's chromium reserves are only 10 million tons, mining only 200,000 tons per year, imports almost 100% China's lithium reserves are 3.2 million tons (think about how big the current lithium battery does); China's titanium ore reserves are 965 million tons, and the annual output of titanium sponge is 97,000 tons; China's tungsten ore resources are too good, reserves, production and exports are the world's first, with reserves of 1.9 million tons, accounting for 66% of the world's total reserves, which can be the neck of the United States; China's molybdenum reserves are also good, 4.3 million tons, accounting for 40% of the world's total reserves China also owns 15 of the 19 cobalt mines in the Democratic Republic of Congo, and China dominates many of Africa's mineral extraction sectors.

Basically, some minerals are China's soft underbelly, especially iron ore, copper ore, bauxite and chrome ore. In peacetime, everyone makes money, it is easy to say and do, turn a blind eye, and it is more expensive at most; but in wartime, all parties are red-eyed, and China's distant sources of minerals directly restrict China's military manufacturing, which is why China must have a huge ocean-going fleet, aircraft carriers, 055 is simply the more the better (no kidding), because it is really necessary to fight a war to protect the long and distant energy lifeline.

The fourth topic, food, how long can China's food resources last?

You have to eat enough to get on the rack.

The US empire has been laying out grain for the longest time, and it has been extremely effective, and the Americans have long used grain as a weapon of war. China has suffered a great loss in this area, and the Americans have taken advantage of it before, and now it can only make up for it. The United States is a typical country with a large land and abundant resources, a very high degree of agricultural mechanization, and a far ahead in the scientific and technological level of seeds, so it has always been the largest grain exporter. From the perspective of belly, Americans can even fight with China for the rest of their lives without starvation, but China is not very good, and some varieties are heavily dependent on imports, not to mention, strategic resources such as soybeans and vegetables and other "seeds" can be monopolized by the grain giants of the United States and the West.

Compared with energy, food is actually more difficult.

Think about it, the United States has 2.27 billion mu of arable land, while the population is only 329.5 million, while compared with the same period last year, China's arable land on the other side of the world is only 1.79 billion mu, accounting for only 7% to 9% of the world, and the per capita is only 0.08 hectares, but it has to feed nearly 20% of the world's population, of which 19.4% of the agricultural land is still polluted by industrial water, pesticides and fertilizers in the early years, China has long drawn a minimum arable land "red line" of 1.8 billion mu to ensure 95% of self-sufficiency in food production, but this red line became a dotted line in 2010. As a result of large amounts of arable land being used for housing and industry (an inevitable consequence of urbanization), China's arable land decreased by 6% in 2020 compared to 2009. Scary enough, the industrialized urbanization that everyone talks about has hit the gurgling stomachs of the Chinese people head-on.

With the increase of China's urban population from 37.09% in 2001 to 64.72% now, China's diet has begun to change to animal protein in an all-round way. Over the past 40 years, Chinese have eaten nearly twice as much meat, and although they are frugal, they are already the world's largest importers of pork, poultry, lamb, beef and dairy products. In the link of "eating", the complex food culture of the Chinese nation has indeed eaten the highest level of human beings.

Let's start with pork. Pork is the main source of animal protein for Chinese and has dominated for many years. The status of pigs in the Chinese diet is unquestionable. China currently has a stock of 428 million pigs, with an annual output of 36 million tons, China's plan is to produce 95% of pork, 100% of poultry and 70% of dairy products, and the biggest problem comes: the production of pork, poultry eggs, mutton, beef and dairy products, a large number of "soybeans" as feed, but this key strategic material, was almost robbed by the United States and the West. Looking at the figures, in 2021, China's own soybean output will only be 16.4 million tons, and the amount that needs to be reimported is as high as 96.51 million tons! China has already stuck the neck of soybeans, and it is no exaggeration to say that if soybeans are stuck, they will be stuck in the back of pig breeding, and the US empire is not poisonous? Because of the lack of soybeans, China has no choice but to use 9.4 million tons of sorghum and 28 million tons of corn as supplements.

In 2022, the United States, which has not completely torn its face, exported $36 billion of soybeans, corn, beef, chicken, nuts and sorghum to China, and China is the largest importer of agricultural products in the United States, of which this dazzling "soybean" accounts for half of it! If China and the United States go to war today, and the United States brazenly imposes sanctions and completely stops exporting soybeans, grains, and meat to China, then those allies of the United States are also expected to follow up with the embargo, and China can only import soybeans to Brazil and Argentina (Argentina is also unreliable). Grain and meat, but the two countries are right on the doorstep of the United States, thousands of miles away from China, and they have to pass through the entire Atlantic Ocean and half of the Pacific Ocean controlled by the US Navy, and several straits in between are coveted by US military bases. Therefore, the biggest problem is here: soybeans are stuck in the neck, so that China's meat supply will be in short supply immediately, and the Chinese do not have so much pork to eat. Oh, don't eat pork?!No meat is as fragrant as pork. For the sake of war, I had to endure it.

Of course, eat less pork, there are cattle, sheep, fish, poultry, etc. in China that do not need to be raised with soybeans.

In terms of China's most important grain supply, except for soybeans, which are really painful, the self-sufficiency rate in other grains has exceeded 95% after many years. In 2021, the grain output increased to 682.9 million tons compared with 650 million tons in 2020, with an average grain yield of 5,621 kg per hectare, the per capita share of cereals reached 470 kg (enough to eat), the yield of rice per hectare was 6,916.9 kg, the yield of wheat per hectare was 5,481.2 kg, and the yield of corn per hectare was 6,110.3 kg.

Since cereals have remained stable at more than 650 million tons for four consecutive years, China has a large amount of surplus grain for grain reserves. In 2018, grain reserves exceeded 910 million tons, and there were an additional 28 million tons of edible oil reserves, which alone was enough for the people of the whole country to eat openly for two years; in addition, large and medium-sized cities have 10-15 days of emergency finished grain reserves; at the same time, China is also doing everything possible to expand the area of cultivated land, increase investment in the construction of agriculture, rural areas, and rural areas, constantly stabilize high-yield high-standard farmland, promote soil improvement and high-yield grain technology, control the use of chemical fertilizers and pesticides, and gradually eliminate pollution; and establish large-scale grain production areas according to regional characteristics, such as the main rice production in Northeast China, corn and soybeans, North China mainly produces wheat, special corn and high-protein soybeans, Northwest China mainly produces wheat, corn and potatoes, Southwest China mainly produces rice, wheat, corn and potatoes, Southeast and South China mainly produce high-quality rice and potatoes. Agriculture itself is the product of the state's macroeconomic industrial adjustment.

In general, except for the "soybeans", which are more disturbing, except for a few days when you can't eat fragrant pork, other meat varieties, even if they fight for another hundred years, the Chinese people don't have to worry too much about hunger. It's a little harder, but China is unlikely to be fatally affected.

Finally, to sum up, long-term combat, basically, it is the Americans who are going to tremble.

Judging from the effect of the war in Ukraine, Russia, which has been heavily sanctioned, is completely self-sufficient in basic materials such as grain, oil, natural gas, coal, and industrial products, and can fight high-intensity operations almost indefinitely for years on end, and the extreme sanctions of the United States and the West are almost completely ineffective.

It can be inferred from this that once China and the United States start a full-scale firefight, the blockade between the United States and the West will be immediately activated, and China's own strategic reserves will also be activated immediately, and China will hardly need a period of chaos to directly enter a state of wartime mobilization, and once China's wartime production is fully launched, China's military power will quickly overwhelm the United States under equal attrition, including, of course, the most critical ocean-going fleet. Under the drastic and massive consumption, China's equipment replenishment speed is 100 times faster than that of the United States, and the United States, which has lost a lot of blood, is still unable to blockade and destroy China's shipping on such a long front in the world.

It is more likely that as soon as the huge attrition of a full-scale war begins, China can begin to pull out the bases and strongholds of the US military one by one, and the global supply chain of the Americans will really have to be weighed.

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