It was another wake-up, and Israel quietly gave Iran a little "little shock". The headlines given by the Western mainstream media are all "Israel hits targets in Iran", and the feeling of trying to save face for Israel overflows the screen. But according to reports from the Fars news agency and Reuters, in fact, Iranian territory was not hit by missile attacks, only 5 drones were shot down, Iranian anti-aircraft missiles opened fire at night, directly lighting up the sky, and several explosions sounded after the drones fell.
In addition, explosions were heard in the early morning of the same day at the Shekari airbase in Iran, Baghdad and Babylon provinces in Iraq, and Suweida province in Syria. A large number of warplanes appeared in the skies over the provinces of Lac Mosul and Albil. This should be all there is to this Israeli attack, which, according to CNN, was known to the United States in advance before the attack. This shows that the intensity and target of the attack were approved by the United States in advance, and it is a bit like an old man and an old lady fighting on the street, and both sides are unwilling to increase the intensity and suppress the fire! However, Israel still left a little caution, and the Isfahan airport where Israel attacked this time is where Iran's Isfahan nuclear facility is located.
In other words, Israel let the drone fly to the airfield near the nuclear facility, which of course is also the focus of Iranian air defense positions, so it was quickly shot down. Then Israel's move may have several purposes, one is to take this opportunity to test the air defense situation of Iran's nuclear facilities, because once the fire is fired, many signals of anti-aircraft fire and intensity will be exposed. The second is to deter Iran and tell the other party that its drones can fly to Isfahan and guide weapon attacks, not to mention the F35I stealth penetration. So we see that Hagtarab, a senior official of the Iranian Guard, said that if Iran attacks a nuclear facility, then Iran will attack a nuclear facility in reciprocity. At the same time, Iran may abandon its commitment not to build nuclear weapons and instead develop nuclear retaliation.
Of course, this is a very long-term deterrent, and in the short term, whether Iran will immediately carry out a second round of counterattack is what Israel and everyone are most concerned about. Shortly after the attack on 19 January, air raid sirens sounded in northern Israel, and it cannot be ruled out that something was happening in Iraq or Lebanon. Recently, the Lebanese Little Pearls released footage showing them using missiles to destroy the Iron Dome air defense system. On the picture it looks like the ELM-3 radar of the "Iron Dome" was supposed to hit the "Iron Dome" with the Almas Almas-2084. I feel that Israel is really dangerous now, and the surrounding feeling is that in addition to eating and sleeping, I am trying to find a way to fight Israel. After all, no weapon is omnipotent, and Israel really doesn't know how long it can carry it without US aid.
There are also reports of a large number of warplanes in the sky over Iraq, not 11, whether it is Israeli warplanes, or drones, or Iraq's own F16s. Because after Iran attacked Israel for the first time, Iraq dragged its air defense weapons to the Jordanian border, I don't know if it has anything to do with it, anyway, the Middle East has been a mess these days, very messy, I feel that if the two sides fight each other for a few rounds, none of these countries in the Middle East can run, and they will have to get involved.
Generally speaking, because of the US factor, Iran and Israel are still a kind of conflict with "restraint", Iran cannot afford a full-scale conflict, the United States cannot afford to be dragged into the water, and Israel cannot afford to be left alone by the United States. The future development may be that everyone is not prepared to expand the conflict, but it must be fought round by round, and this is the rule of the game. Even if Iran starts a new round of counterattack, it will inevitably be within the limits of the previous two games, but then again, is Iran less likely to hit Israel through a third party? Maybe this is the strange way to warm up for the S3 season. In short, we still have to be prepared, because the weak need to follow the rules, and the strong can make the rules.