US President Joe Biden still has nine months left in his term, but he has been informed in advance by the think tank team that it is impossible to realize his plan to visit China during his term of office.
This year is an election year in the United States, and the winning president will be inaugurated on January 20, 2025, that is, Biden has 9 months left in his term, which is not a short time, but he has been informed in advance by the think tank team that it is impossible to realize the plan to visit China during his tenure. In an interview with the Washington bureau chief of NHK at the White House a few days ago, US National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan made it clear that Biden has no plans to visit China.
You must know that U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen has just finished her visit to China, and Secretary of State Antony Blinken is preparing to leave for China, and it is widely expected that one of their tasks is to promote Biden's visit to China. Why did Biden's team come to the conclusion that "it is impossible to visit China" at this juncture? A reasonable inference is that Yellen's visit to China did not get the results that the United States wanted, or Yellen was rejected when she tried the possibility of Biden's visit to China from the Chinese side.
(Biden's Air Force One has never landed in China)
After Biden took office more than three years ago, he listed China as the most important adversary of the United States in terms of national strategy, and his diplomatic goal naturally put containing China at the top of all tasks.
In the face of China's growing economic and military power, as well as its expanding political influence, the United States has realized that it can no longer achieve the goal of containing China on its own, so Biden has adopted a policy of "forming partners and resisting China together", trying to build an anti-China circle of friends around the world, in addition to trying to form a military alliance to jointly confront China, but also trying to stifle China's economic growth and exclude China from the global industrial chain.
Militarily, the Biden administration has organized the "Aukus" group, which is jointly attended by Japan, Australia, and India, and the "Aukus" group, which is jointly participated by Britain and Australia; last year it held a Camp David summit with Japan and South Korea in an attempt to establish an "Asian mini-NATO," and in the last two days it has organized a summit of leaders with the participation of the Philippines and Japan in an attempt to form an anti-China military alliance in the South China Sea.
Economically, the Biden administration has established the IPEF, the "Indo-Pacific Economic Framework" that excludes China, but because the Biden administration is unwilling to sign any free trade agreement that has a tendency to make concessions to allies, the Indo-Pacific Economic Framework has existed in name only.
In terms of regional influence, in order to counter China's Belt and Road Initiative, the Biden administration has continuously organized and participated in a large number of summits, such as the NATO summit, the U.S.-EU summit, the G7 summit, the Americas summit, the US-Central Asia summit, the Pacific Islands summit, the Summit for Democracy, the U.S.-ASEAN summit, etc., but with little success, China's diplomatic and economic expansion is still firmly moving towards the world.
(Sullivan confirmed a few days ago that Biden has no plans to visit China, and his term is running out)
It is precisely because the Biden administration has always stubbornly adhered to the policy of containing and suppressing China, and has not created any suitable atmosphere for the US head of state to visit China, that Biden may become the first US president to fail to visit China during his term of office.
Even Trump, who started the trade war with China that year, made the highest-level state visit to China within a year of taking office. In this contrast, it can only show the major failure of Biden's foreign policy, especially his China policy.
(Trump made a state visit to China in 2017)
Starting with Nixon, who promoted the establishment of diplomatic relations between China and the United States, successive US presidents, such as Gerard Ford, Jimmy Carter, Reagan, George H.W. Bush, Clinton Sr., George W. Bush, Obama and Biden's predecessor Trump, all completed visits to China during their term of office, and some of them more than once, which fully illustrates China's important position in the world.
The direct reason is that China's rise has caused the US government to gradually shift its strategy to all-out confrontation with China.
As we all know, there were signs of containing China during the administration of George W. Bush, but the 911 terrorist attacks plunged the United States into a 20-year war on terror, allowing China to avoid becoming the number one target of the United States, but Obama still put forward the strategy of "returning to Asia", and the "Indo-Pacific strategy" has been developed during the Trump era, and Biden has only begun to fully implement the "Indo-Pacific strategy" during his tenure.
But it was too late, and China's power had grown to the point that the United States could not contain it, as evidenced by the fact that neither the trade nor the technology war that Trump had launched against China had played a role.
(I'm afraid Biden won't have a chance to board a plane to China)
China's dollar-denominated GDP ratio to the U.S. GDP peaked at 80% around 2020, a height that no country has reached since World War II, nor did the former Soviet Union and Japan reach it in their heyday.
Although the depreciation of the renminbi against the U.S. dollar has led to a decline in the proportion of U.S. dollar-denominated GDP to about 70% in recent years, China's local currency-denominated GDP is still growing at a higher rate than that of the United States.
And this process is bound to come with the Fed cutting interest rates that will begin soon. The United States believes that its global interests are likely to be in jeopardy in the face of China's rise, so most of the American political circles have fallen into irrational confrontational thinking, and Sino-US relations have deteriorated. This is the main reason why Biden will not be able to visit China during his tenure.
For China, it doesn't matter if the president of the United States comes or not, our rise has nothing to do with you, we have friends all over the world, and there is no shortage of you.