When will the two-year-old Russia-Ukraine war end? A: If Trump is re-elected president of the United States, then the Russia-Ukraine war will end within 24 hours! This is not what I said, it was Trump himself!
(Donald Trump, former President of the United States)
On April 7, local time, the Washington Post reported that former U.S. President Trump claimed that if he is elected, he will put pressure on Ukraine to end the war between Russia and Ukraine within 24 hours by giving up part of its territory. According to people who have discussed the plan with Trump or his advisers, Trump's plan includes pushing Ukraine to hand over Crimea and the Donbas border region to Russia in exchange for a truce.
(Destroyed M1A2 tank)
After all, the Russian-Ukrainian war has lasted for two years, and if the war is stopped by losing part of the territory at this time, then the Zelensky government will lose all legal status, and he himself may not be able to escape the anger of the Ukrainian people, and the only way to keep Zelensky's status and security is to continue the war.
(More than half of the current Ukrainian soldiers on the battlefield are women, which already hints that Ukraine's human resources are about to be exhausted)
But for the current Ukraine, without Western assistance, the war will not last a day. According to statistics, in the past two years, NATO's economic and military assistance to Ukraine has accounted for almost half of Ukraine's GDP! It can be said that NATO's aid has become the root cause of Ukraine's existence in a certain sense, and once NATO terminates its aid to Ukraine, Ukraine will immediately fall apart, and may even be completely annexed by Russia.
(NATO aid has become the main source of equipment for Ukraine)
For the United States, the aid funds for Ukraine have been spent at the end of November last year, and the Republican-controlled Congress of the United States has refused to adopt a new aid package for Ukraine, but in this case, Europe has been insisting on aiding Ukraine. This is mainly because many European countries have historically had a disagreement with Russia, so they instinctively see aid to Ukraine as a way to resist Russia's invasion.
(Stoutenberg proposed a "100 billion aid to Ukraine" plan)
According to reports, on April 3~4, NATO held a meeting of foreign ministers in Brussels to discuss the issue of aid to Ukraine. One of the proposals made by NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg at the meeting was to set up a five-year military aid fund of 100 billion euros. Another proposal is to transfer the U.S.-led Ukraine Defense Liaison Organization to NATO. It can be seen that Europe is trying to replace the United States and lead the aid to Ukraine, but at present, the "100 billion aid to Ukraine" plan proposed by Steultenberg is still in a state of discussion, which can also be seen that although NATO is currently the world's largest military alliance, once it leaves the United States, it is difficult for NATO itself to form a strong joint force, and it is even more difficult to do things.
(Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban and former U.S. President Donald Trump have a close personal relationship)
And as far as Europe is concerned, not all countries are inclined to support Ukraine, among which Hungary has always been an "alternative" in NATO. Not long ago, Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban visited the United States, but instead of meeting with US President Joe Biden, he met with former President Donald Trump. Orban can be called an alternative politician in Europe, he has always insisted on opposing NATO's aid to Ukraine, and at the same time taking the initiative to decouple from Russia with "political correctness" in the whole of Europe, Hungary has always maintained close relations with Russia, Orban even visited Moscow in the two years of the Russian-Ukrainian war, which was condemned by other European leaders, Orban himself is also known as the "Trump of Central Europe".
(Deindustrialization has led to a serious shortage of industrial capacity in Europe, and 100 billion funds can be taken out, but where to buy shells, this is the biggest dilemma)
Taking a step back, even if the "100 billion aid to Ukraine" plan proposed by Stoltenberg is passed, and European countries really have enough 100 billion euros to support Ukraine, the problem is that what is needed to fight a war is enough troops, as well as sufficient weapons, ammunition and logistics materials, although European countries can give Ukraine money, but if these money can't buy enough weapons and materials, then how can this war be fought?
(Now France, Germany and other countries produce artillery shells a year, which is only enough for the Ukrainian army to fight on the front line for one day)
In the past few decades, European countries have fallen into a serious industrial hollowing, and at present, even European powers such as Britain, France and Germany are facing huge problems in the production of weapons and equipment. It is not difficult to imagine that Europe cannot guarantee the production of such a simple industrial raw material as nitrocellulose, and even if Ukraine receives 100 billion European aid, it still has to face the problem of how to turn money into materials and put it into the battlefield. Not to mention...... How many people can still be put into the battlefield in today's Ukraine?
(The Russian army hit the center of Chasov Yar in less than half a day, which was unthinkable in the past)
It can be seen from the recent Chasov Yar offensive battle that it took the Russian army nearly 5 months to attack Bakhmut, and when attacking Chasov Yar, which is basically the same as Bakhmut, the Russian army advanced to the city center in less than half a day, which shows that the morale of the Ukrainian army has completely collapsed. So in a sense, Trump's 24-hour plan to end the war may be the most beneficial for Ukraine!