There is no trouble in the eighth day of the first month
Edit丨No worries about the eighth day of the first month
Preface
In April 2024, former Taiwanese leader Ma Ying-jeou departed for Shenzhen, Guangdong Province, accompanied by 20 young Taiwanese on an 11-day visit to China.
At the same time that Ma Ying-jeou was actively promoting cross-strait relations, Taiwan actually announced the resumption of live firing, and this time the muzzle of the gun was aimed at the mainland.
Is the resumption of live-fire firing the intention of the current leader Tsai Ing-wen or the intention of the incoming leader Lai Ching-te? In fact, before that, the US side had warned the Taiwan side not to act rashly, and the Chinese side had also warned many times not to provoke.
Ma Ying-jeou and young people visit China
Some people wonder why Taiwan has often provoked the mainland's bottom line again and again with the encouragement of Lai Qingde and Tsai Ing-wen in recent times, so why doesn't it directly dispatch the People's Liberation Army to recover by force?
In fact, this is due to the fact that former leader Ma Ying-jeou was in office, and during Ma Ying-jeou's tenure, cross-strait relations were unprecedentedly stable, and there was no difference between Taiwan and the mainland region at that time and reunification, because of his good intentions for cross-strait reunification, and cross-strait interactions were very frequent.
This time, Ma Ying-jeou and more than 20 young people traveled from Shenzhen to Shaanxi to Beijing, which seems to be promoting exchanges between students on both sides of the strait, but in fact it is to ease the current tense situation between the two sides of the strait.
When visiting the Anti-Japanese Memorial Hall, Ma Ying-jeou and his entourage taught Taiwan's young people to remember the history of the "mainland." It is precisely these patriotic words gathered together that can reflect Ma Ying-jeou's hope for the reunification of the two sides of the strait as soon as possible.
Ma Ying-jeou knows that only young people are the hope for the future, and history must not be allowed to repeat itself; although he has now stepped down, Ma Ying-jeou still plays an irreplaceable role in the issue of peaceful reunification between the two sides of the strait.
Just when Ma Ying-jeou was visiting with young people, the Taiwan side went so far as to announce that it would launch a two-day live-fire training on Dongyin Island on 15 May, but Dongyin Island was only 26 km away from the mainland, and during the live-fire training, the muzzle of the gun was aimed at the mainland.
Live-fire training on Higashihiki Island
A few days before the Taiwan side announced the resumption of live firing, that is, on April 2, it had just announced that the design of the era of six islands, including Kinmen Island, would be suspended, because one of the islands was only 2 kilometers away from Xiamen, and live ammunition would pose a threat to the people in Taiwan.
On 27 March, the mainland warned that if the Taiwan side was determined to pick quarrels and provoke trouble, it would certainly not succeed, and the PLA would always be watching every move of the Taiwan side, and if the PLA really dispatched it, it would only be possible to recover Taiwan some time ahead of schedule.
In addition to the mainland, even the United States has sent people to Taiwan to warn them, although it has been said that the United States has been using Taiwan to sanction China, but they also have a bottom line, that is, they must not provoke the mainland.
Whether it is Tsai Ing-wen or Lai Deqing, who is about to take office, their "Taiwan independence" is more radical than the other, and the United States feels that if the Chinese People's Liberation Army is really dispatched, then Taiwan will be taken back, and what bargaining chips will it have.
Therefore, some people feel that this time Taiwan aimed the live-fire training at Dongyi Island in the hope that the United States would come forward, and they knew that the United States could not abandon itself and would come to the rescue if it was in distress.
Therefore, both Taiwan and the United States are gambling nowadays, but if Taiwan really wants the United States to help them, the probability is still very small, and the whole world knows that the United States is a self-interested country.
However, the live-fire plan for 15 and 16 May has basically been finalized, and it was originally on the main island of Kinmen, which is very close to the mainland, and the provocation is obvious.
According to foreign media reports, three mainland coast guard ships have now entered the "24 nautical miles" and entered the waters east of Taiwan, and these three coast guard ships are warning Taiwan while demonstrating the mainland's strength and determination to the world.
The reunification of the mainland and Taiwan is an inevitable trend in the future, and all those who make trouble in the course of this trend will inevitably be sanctioned by the mainland. So this time the time is set for May 15, is it Lai Qingde's decision or Tsai Ing-wen's decision?
"Taiwan independence" leader
Everyone knows that on May 20, Lai Qingde will take over as Taiwan's leader, and some people think that it is more likely that Tsai Ing-wen will make a decision on May 15.
Maybe she feels that she will step down soon, no matter what the situation is, there will be someone to solve it later, and she feels that she wants to do something big in the last season of her tenure.
Tsai Ing-wen is a "Taiwan independence" element, she has been pursuing independence from beginning to end, and she has often secretly conducted military exchanges with the United States.
But more people feel that this decision was made by Lai Qingde, after all, compared with Tsai Ing-wen, Lai Qingde is more radical, obviously he has not yet taken office, but he has made adjustments to Taiwan's high-level and replaced all the high-level with his own people.
I feel that this will be a better way to do things, get rid of all those who oppose Taiwan independence, and then set the date for the first five days of taking office, so that the people of Taiwan can see what they have done.
However, if both Tsai Ing-wen and Lai Qingde blindly ignore the warning, there will be only one result, that is, the People's Liberation Army will recover Taiwan by force, and there is no way to stop the trend of cross-strait reunification.
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Resources
1. China News Network - "Ma Ying-jeou choked up and wiped tears when he sang "The Ballad of the Great Wall" at the Great Wall"
2. Global Network - "Taiwan Media: 3 Mainland Coast Guard Ships Rarely Appeared in the East of Taiwan on February 27, May Be a "New Model of Surrounding Taiwan" in the Future
3. Huanqiu.com -- "Taiwan Army Still Has to Shoot Live Ammunition on Dongyin Island?" Taiwan's Former "Legislator" Guo Zhengliang Says It's Unbelievable
4. Global Times - "Taiwan's "Golden Defense Department": Suspend the Live-fire Drill on the Sea