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Time flies, in the blink of an eye April is about to enter the middle of the year, in the domestic pig and grain, the market shows a downward trend, among them, in the pig market, pig prices turned "bear", the market ended the situation, the price rushed up and down. In the grain market, grain prices have "fallen miserably," and corn and wheat have fallen hand in hand! The specific analysis is as follows:
Pig prices turned "bears", and inertia fell after the holiday!
In terms of live pigs, after the Qingming holiday, the consumer market gradually cooled down, the breeding end was slaughtered, the market purchase and sales pattern reversed again, the cautious mentality of the second breeding increased, and the pig price showed a high and low fall. According to data analysis, on April 9, the price of pigs fell to 15.2 yuan / kg, down 0.05 yuan from yesterday, pig prices are mainly stable and weak, and the range of decline has increased significantly.
At present, to support the downward trend of pig prices, on the one hand, by the breeding end of the subscription mentality to become stronger, the social pig slaughter increment, the group pig enterprises sell pigs at high prices, the level of pig supply has improved significantly, the pace of market slaughter has accelerated, however, the second breeding sentiment has weakened, and the performance of the diversion of pig sources has decreased; ！
Therefore, under the adjustment of purchase and sales, pig prices inertia fell, the market turned into a "bear potential", theoretically, due to the mid-April stage, the consumption is not good enough, the breeding end of the slaughter is relatively positive, and the market two breeds further entry mentality is more cautious, it is expected that pig prices are mainly shocking downward, however, due to the breeding end still shrinking the volume of the rising sentiment, the market is difficult to form a unilateral downward trend, the price is dominated by weak fluctuations!
Corn price trend divergence!
At present, the corn market is long and short, the bonded area restricts the import of corn, the directional low-price rice out of the warehouse is postponed and the grain storage in the Northeast has a certain bottom support, however, due to the stage of the grassroots surplus grain is sufficient, the demand is insufficient, the corn spot is slightly deviated, and the quotation trend in the producing area is different!
Among them, in the northeast region, at present, the grassroots surplus grain is further reduced, the supply of tide grain is gradually tightened, the risk of corn selling pressure is reduced, the grain source is concentrated in traders, traders are supported by the policy, the sentiment of reluctance to sell is strong, and the supply of corn in circulation links is general, however, due to the lack of demand support, feed and deep-processed raw grain inventories are high, enterprise procurement is relatively cautious, corn quotations are mainly weak and stable, and sporadic enterprises are subject to inventory changes and have the phenomenon of rising and falling grain!
Specifically, in Heijiliao and Inner Mongolia, the mainstream corn quotation for deep processing stabilized, among them, in Heilongjiang Longjiang Fufeng, Suihua Haotian and Jilin Cargill Biochemical, fuel ethanol and Hailun State Investment, corn rose 10~20 yuan/ton, the mainstream corn price in Northeast China was 1.075~1.185 yuan/jin, and the mainstream price in Heilongjiang was about 1.075~1.14 yuan/jin!
In the North China market, due to the lack of market grain sources, enterprises are mainly based on rolling procurement, and the grassroots grain sources are more sufficient, farmers are affected by weather factors to sell grain mentality is stronger, channel inventory increases, and further warehousing mentality is weakened.
Among them, in Shandong, deep processing to the factory in the morning more than 1,200 cars, local deep processing enterprises increased prices, mainstream enterprises fell 0.2 ~ 0.8 yuan / jin, Shandong corn quotation fell to 1.14 ~ 1.27 yuan / jin, most enterprises quoted at 1.16 ~ 1.2 yuan / jin!
Wheat prices are falling!
In the wheat market, wheat spot under pressure, the market continues to fall more than the trend, in the short term, due to the lack of demand follow-up, the grain supply pattern is sufficient, the spot quotation will still be weak!
At present, in terms of wheat circulation, farmers' surplus grain bottomed out, traders' inventories were gradually consumed, affected by price inversion, some traders had a wait-and-see mentality, however, due to local policies and local grain depots increased the rhythm of wheat bidding out of the warehouse, wheat supply is relatively sufficient, from the market feedback, in recent days, Henan, Anhui and Shandong in many places, the grain storage wheat round out of the auction has increased significantly, the market bidding is poor, and the trend of strong supply and weak demand is more prominent!
According to the analysis of the institution, due to the gradual rise in temperature in the domestic producing areas, the difficulty of flour storage has increased significantly, which also inhibits the terminal traders from receiving goods and the start of milling enterprises, flour mills maintain a low operating rate, the level of raw grain consumption is low, mainstream enterprises maintain the status quo of low inventory, on-demand procurement, wheat consumption capacity is poor, and the market lacks obvious opportunities!
Therefore, under the long and short game, the wheat market fluctuated lower, in Shandong, Hebei and Henan and other places, the mainstream milling enterprises, the price of wheat fell in 0.2 ~ 1 cents / catty, the mainstream wheat listing price fell back to about 1.35 ~ 1.38 yuan / catty, and the listed price of some enterprises fell below 1.35 yuan / catty!