The Warriors lost 5 in 8 games, what is the record in the last 13 games, so that they will not be overtaken by the 7-game winning Rocket?

From bringing in Paul in the offseason with a huge luxury tax, trying to compete for the championship again around "Kuchai Tang", to falling into the play-in ranks in the middle of the season due to various unfavorable factors, the Warriors, who have paid $192.5 million in luxury taxes this season and spent nearly $400 million in total, seem to be experiencing an accelerated decline of the dynasty.

After losing to the Pacers, the dark horse of the East, the Warriors have only a 5-3 record in their last eight games, 1.5 wins behind the Lakers, who are ninth in the West, and 2 wins ahead of the Rockets behind them.

Considering that other teams are on a spurt in the regular season, the biggest question for the Warriors is no longer whether they can overtake the Lakers and finish in the top eight.

It's about what kind of record performance you have to play in the remaining 13 games in order not to be overtaken by the Rockets, who have won seven consecutive games behind them, to keep the play-off spot.

The first point: the comparison of the difficulty of the remaining fixtures of the two teams

Both teams have 13 games remaining, with the Rockets ranked 12th in the league and the Warriors ranked 19th in the league, but judging from the specific schedule of the opposing teams, the difficulty ranking of the remaining schedules of the two teams is somewhat deceptive.

The remaining 13 opponents of the Rockets (Rockets home and away in parentheses): Jazz (home), Trail Blazers (home), Thunder (away), Jazz (away), Inside (home), Timberwolves (home), Warriors (home), Heat (home), P (away), Magic (home), Jazz (away), Trail Blazers (away), Clippers (away).

It is not difficult to see from the specific matchup arrangement that the remaining schedule of the Rockets can be summarized as three difficult stages of "loose and loose" according to 4-6-3 games.

In the next four games, only the Thunder are tough to gnaw on, the others are bad teams, and the Rockets will win at least three games.

The last 3 consecutive away games, the same relatively easy, the Jazz and the Trail Blazers will not pose much threat to the Rockets, only the Clippers are more difficult to deal with, the Clippers are currently 1.5 wins ahead of the Pelicans, and the difficulty of the final game depends on the gap between the Clippers and the Pelicans.

The middle 6 games are extremely difficult, the Rockets need to play against 6 playoff teams in the East and West in succession, and it is difficult to play every game, including the key card battle against the Warriors, the Rockets have the home court advantage, and the probability of winning or losing this game will determine the final ranking of the two teams.

The good news is that there are 4 of these 6 games at home, and the Rockets' home and away records this season are hugely different, with a 10-24 record on the road and a 24-11 record at home, and from a big data perspective, the Rockets will get 3-4 wins.

Therefore, judging from the overall matchup analysis, the Rockets are very likely to have a beautiful record of 8-10 wins in the last 13 games.

Based on the Rockets' ideal 10 wins, the Warriors need to win at least eight of their remaining 13 games to take advantage of the two teams this season (the Warriors have already beaten the Rockets twice and will have the advantage regardless of the final head-to-head outcome).

The Warriors have 13 opponents remaining: Timberwolves (a), Heat (a), Magic (a), Hornets (a), Spurs (a), Mavericks (home), Rockets (a), Mavericks (a), Jazz (home), Lakers (a), Trail Blazers (a), Pelicans (home) and Jazz (home).

The Warriors' schedule can also be divided into three sections: 5 consecutive away games + 5 super difficult card battles + 3 easy endings

5 consecutive away games to start against the Timberwolves, Heat and Magic, the overall difficulty is extremely high, coupled with the recent poor form, it is not easy for the Warriors to win, and it will be a good result to win 1 game, or even 2 wins.

The remaining two games against the Hornets and Spurs are likely to win, so the optimistic record of the five consecutive away games is a 3-4 victory.

Next is 5 super difficult card battles, of which only the Jazz are relatively easy opponents, and the Warriors need to fight for the remaining 4 games.

In the last 3 games, the Pelicans are more difficult to play, and we need to see the gap between the Pelicans and the Clippers in the end, if the gap is large, the Warriors are expected to lie down and win in the final stage to get 3 consecutive wins.

Therefore, whether the Warriors can maintain the top eight position depends on the results of the next five consecutive road games and the key five potential card battles.

If the Warriors can only beat 2 fish belly teams in 5 consecutive games, then they need to get at least 3 wins as much as possible in the 5 key card games, and then expect the Pelicans to have a poor record in the closing stage, so that they can lock up 8 wins.

Judging from the offensive and defensive efficiency of the Warriors and the Rockets (4 offense and 6 defense) in the past 10 games, it is unlikely that the Warriors will get good results in 5 consecutive away games.

There is a high probability that you will need to fight for five key positions in the middle of the season, including facing the Rockets, so the opportunity to determine the team's ranking is actually in the hands of the two teams.