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In a recent blog post, Microsoft co-founder Bill Gates summed up his thoughts on the "road ahead" in 2024. Gates believes that the AI explosion in 2023 is just the beginning of a technological trend that will affect the near future to a greater extent. In his six-page article, the acronym AI appears 28 times.
Gates said that this year is the first time I've used AI for work, not just as a novelty. I suspect a lot of people do. We are now at the beginning of a huge technological transformation. These are exciting and confusing times, and there is uncertainty about how AI will shape the future, but how AI can be used to improve productivity, expand education, mental health care, and more, remains clearer than ever.
In the article, Gates also said that he believes AI can make the world a "fairer place." It can reduce or even eliminate the lag time between rich countries and poor countries. In a high-income country like the United States, I believe we are 18-24 months away from mass adoption of AI by the general public. In African countries, I expect to see a similar level of use in three years or so. It's still a gap, but it's a lot less lag than what we've seen with other innovations
Gates said closing this gap is key to reducing inequality around the world. Even in challenging times, I can't help but feel optimistic about the future when I think about how AI can get game-changing technologies to those who need them faster than ever before.
-- Artificial intelligence is in the third climax of development
Artificial intelligence has a history of more than 60 years, and its concept began in 1956 at the Dartmouth Conference in the United States, and has experienced three waves of development since its birth. At present, artificial intelligence is in the third period of development, thanks to the common progress of algorithms, data and computing power.
- The number of AI unicorns
In recent years, artificial intelligence has become one of the global focuses. All countries are vigorously developing artificial intelligence, and artificial intelligence-related enterprises are growing rapidly. According to the 2020 Hurun Global Unicorn List, there are 63 unicorns in the global AI industry on the list, and only 40 AI-related unicorns in the 2019 unicorn list.
-- Forecast of the prospect of the artificial intelligence industry
Various products based on artificial intelligence technology have replaced humans in various fields to engage in simple and repetitive physical or mental work, greatly improving production efficiency and quality of life, and also promoting the development and transformation of various industries.
PwC data predicts that the global artificial intelligence market will reach US$2 trillion in 2020, and the market is expected to continue to maintain rapid growth in the next few years, and the global market size will reach US$15.7 trillion by 2030, equivalent to about 104 trillion yuan.
Although there is still a certain gap between the current level of Chinese artificial intelligence technology and the United States, the international community is more optimistic about the development of Chinese artificial intelligence industry. According to PwC, China will reap the greatest benefits from AI in the next decade, with AI output reaching 26.1% of GDP in 2030. North America and Western Europe account for 14.5% and 11.5% of GDP, respectively.
Huawei's White Paper on Accelerating Industry Intelligence points out that AI is moving from perception and understanding to cognitive intelligence, driving the seamless integration of the digital and physical worlds. According to forecasts, the global artificial intelligence market will exceed 20 trillion US dollars in 2030, and the scale of Chinese's artificial intelligence core industry will exceed 4 trillion US dollars in 2030, and there is still great potential and space for development. Artificial intelligence is expected to disrupt key industries such as manufacturing, power, energy, and transportation, and leverage unlimitedly valuable economic value.
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