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How unusual is a 20°C drop in two days?

author:Poster News

A number of cities in China have entered the "quick-freezing mode" this week!

According to China Weather Network, from December 13th to December 16th, the strongest cold wave since this winter will sweep through most parts of the country, and the southernmost will reach Hainan Island.

The Central Meteorological Observatory issued the first orange warning of the highest level of cold wave this winter at 10 o'clock on December 14. Affected by the strong cold wave, it is expected that from 14 o'clock on December 14 to 08 o'clock on December 17, most parts of the country will cool down by 8~12 °C from west to east and from north to south, among them, central and northern Shaanxi, northern and western Shanxi, central Inner Mongolia, northern Hebei, western Beijing, eastern Liaoning, southeastern Jilin, eastern Henan and eastern and southern Jiangnan, southeastern southwest China, most of South China and other places will cool down by 14~16 °C, central Inner Mongolia, northern Shaanxi, southeastern Jilin, Some parts of eastern Liaoning have cooled by more than 20°C.

The surging news reporter counted the weather forecast data of 31 provincial capitals and municipalities directly under the central government, and found that some southern cities, including Hangzhou and Guiyang, will usher in a big jump in temperature, and the maximum temperature will drop by about 20 °C in just 48 hours.

How unusual is a 20°C drop in two days?

In a quarter of major cities, the temperature has cooled beyond the average of previous years

The Paper reporters sorted out the daily temperature data for a total of 72 years from 1951 to 2022, and calculated the maximum 48-hour cooling range in each year, so as to obtain the average annual maximum decline in each city.

By comparing with this week's expected decline, it is found that among the 31 provincial capitals and municipalities directly under the central government, 8 cities, including Hangzhou, Shanghai, Nanjing, and Guangzhou, have declined, exceeding the average of the largest decline in previous years. In other words, these eight cities will experience an extraordinary temperature drop this week.

How unusual is a 20°C drop in two days?

'72 temperature data: Winter in Chinese cities is delayed

"It's already the middle of December, how can I still wear short sleeves?"

On December 14, the day before the cold wave hit, many Shanghai netizens found that the maximum temperature of the day could be as high as 22°C. A short-sleeved jacket with a light jacket can easily go out on a "winter" day, which subverts the public's perception of the year-end temperature.

In fact, judging by the temperature data, we are indeed delayed going into winter due to climate change.

According to the meteorological definition, the sliding average temperature must be below 10°C for 5 consecutive days in winter. If we look at the days when the average temperature is below 10°C for five consecutive days, the date of reaching this standard is generally postponed in 31 provincial capitals and municipalities.

How unusual is a 20°C drop in two days?

In 1953, Kunming "entered winter" on November 23, and in 2022, the date was postponed to December 21. For 70 years, 5 consecutive days with an average temperature below 10°C have been postponed for almost a month.

Why is it still so cold this winter after global warming?

In January 2021, Song Lianchun, then director of the National Climate Center, said in an interview with Xinhua News Agency that if the climate does not warm, there will be no cold wave.

In fact, he said, climate warming has led to a more unstable climate, with frequent extreme weather and climate events such as heavy rains and floods, high temperatures and heat waves. Among them, a cold wave is also an extreme weather and climate event. Therefore, the average winter temperature is higher than normal, and the extreme cold wave weather process is the typical response to climate change.

"We need to take the climate risks of warming very seriously. Song Lianchun said.

Winter is late. The cold wave has arrived, and everyone should also pay attention to the cold and keep warm. It is recommended to mainly carry out activities indoors, maintain a suitable temperature and humidity indoors, and ventilate in a timely manner. If you need to go out, pay attention to the warmth and buffer, and do not go hot and cold. Pay attention to avoid accidents when going out, pay attention to non-slip when going out in rain and snow, and try to avoid walking or riding on the ice. Infants, children, pregnant women, the elderly and other key groups should not go out for a long time, should not carry out strenuous outdoor sports, if you need to go out, you can choose a warmer time of the day.