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Philippine politics: The new presidential campaign is fierce
Less than a year later, President Ferdinand Marcos Jr. has just taken office, but heated discussions have begun in the Philippines about who will be the next president. A new poll shows that Sarah Duterte, the daughter of Vice President Rodrigo Sr., tops the list with 28 percent support, far ahead of other candidates, while Marcos Jr. is at the bottom of the list. Such polls, while incorrect, reflect the vacillation of Marcos Jr.'s regime.
Moreover, 41 percent of respondents in the survey said they were unwilling or did not know what to do, suggesting that Marcos Jr.'s regime is not as stable as it seems, and that this is more or less related to his vacillating policies. On the one hand, Marcos Jr. has inherited the Duterte administration's friendly policy toward China, recently visited China and signed a number of cooperation agreements with China, but on the other hand, he has also tried to strengthen diplomatic relations with the United States, such as expanding the scope of military cooperation agreements. This contradictory policy shows that Marcos Jr. is influenced in many ways.
Marcos Jr. has been trying to increase his influence, especially when it comes to military power. He frequently changed key positions in an attempt to secure his voice as president. However, this changing attitude can be risky, as the relationship between the Philippine government and the military is not very close, and the military sometimes interferes with the government's decision-making. Whether it is foreign policy or personnel policy, Marcos Jr.'s capriciousness has shaken the public's confidence in him.
Although the results of the current poll do not fully reflect what was really going on at the time of the election, it is still instructive because it reflects the fierce struggle between political factions in the Philippines. The essence of Philippine politics is a game between political families. Families play an important role in Philippine politics, and politicians often emphasize that they are from such and such a family, which has become one of the criteria for assessing their political strength.
Different political families adopt different strategies, some create political parties, while others choose to ally with other families, as was the case with Marcos Jr. and Sarah. Sarah ran for president in last year's presidential election, but eventually teamed up with Marcos Jr., a coalition that won widespread support.
However, after Marcos Jr. came to power, he seemed to have a bit of an estranged relationship with Sarah. This rivalry is actually split between the interests of the two families, and the differences between the Duterte family and the traditional political family are also evident. The political situation in the Philippines is further complicated by the competition for political influence between different families.
Recent political events have also shown that the intensification of fighting within the Philippine ruling coalition has had an impact on political stability. Sarah's withdrawal from the party and Arroyo's demotion have exposed divisions within the government.
In short, Philippine politics is full of turbulence, and the next presidential election will be a fierce competition, not only a contest of individual ability, but also a complex dispute between families, political parties, and interest groups. Marcos Jr.'s governing foundations are shaky, and he tries to find a balance between China and the United States, but he may find himself in an awkward position. At the same time, his changing policies and personnel adjustments have also raised public concerns, and the future of Philippine politics is full of uncertainty.
Revelation:
From recent political developments and poll results in the Philippines, we can draw some important takeaways. First, political uncertainty is the norm in the Philippines, and alliances and disagreements between politicians are often fast-moving. This has made the political situation in the Philippines unpredictable, and the public's trust in politicians has fluctuated.
Second, family politics has an important position in the Philippines, and family political forces play a key role in elections. A politician's family background and family support are one of the criteria for measuring his political strength. As a result, politicians in the Philippines often need to forge alliances with other families in order to be more electoral competitive.
Third, the political situation in the Philippines is complicated by the fact that the control of the political gate has led to a chaotic political party system and competition for political influence among different families. This also means that political decisions can be influenced by multiple forces, leading to policy instability.
Overall, the pluralism of Philippine politics and family political traditions have made political instability the norm. Politicians need to constantly adapt to the changing political environment and build alliances to strengthen their position, but at the same time they need to be careful about their political relationships to avoid losing support. People need more information and clear policy direction when choosing their leaders in order to make informed electoral decisions.
Summary:
In Philippine politics, the influence of family politics and political gatekeepers is significant. Recent poll results show Sarah Duterte leading in the next presidential election, but political uncertainty remains, as nearly half of those surveyed refuse or don't know how to choose. This reflects the policy instability of the current government and the competition among the leadership.
The Marcos Jr. administration has tried to maintain a balance between its foreign policy toward China and the United States, but such a policy swing could put the Philippines in an awkward position. In addition, Marcos Jr. has tried to consolidate his political position through personnel adjustments, but this also poses risks, as the relationship between the Philippine government and the military is not always subordinate, and policy inconsistencies have affected popular trust.
Family politics is the norm in the Philippines, and politicians need to build coalitions to be more electoral competitive. However, the control of the political gate has led to the chaos of the political party system, and political decision-making has been influenced by various forces, and political turmoil has become the norm. As a result, Filipino politicians need to adapt to the changing political environment, and the public needs more information and policy direction to make informed electoral decisions.
Finally, the uncertainty and complexity of Philippine politics requires more transparency and political stability to achieve better governance and popular trust. Real progress in Philippine politics can only be achieved if politicians are able to set a consistent and clear policy direction and remain stable in the competition of political gatekeepers.
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