More than 20 days have passed since the Palestinian-Israeli conflict, and at present it seems that there is no possibility of a ceasefire in this round of the Palestinian-Israeli conflict for the time being.
Why?
There are three reasons for this.
On the one hand, the current international environment has undergone very profound changes compared with the past.
If a decade or twenty years ago, the United States would have had a much larger say in the world than it does now, and its military strength relative to developing countries would have exceeded much.
This is especially true when it comes to high-tech weapons.
With a strong US military, Israel has a backing, and they can do whatever they want, and a small land has been made into a small bully in the Middle East by the United States.
However, with the rapid rise of China and Russia's courageous performance on the battlefield of Russia and Ukraine, the global discourse of the United States has declined a lot.
Now it seems that the proxy war in Ukraine, which the United States has so vigorously unleashed, is very likely to be as anticlimactic as the last war in Afghanistan.
Eventually, the gray slipped away.
This kind of comprehensive game situation will make the Americans have great constraints in the process of global layout.
Whether it is the proxy war in Ukraine or the current Palestinian-Israeli conflict, the United States does not want to end, but is worried that once it ends, it is very likely to be dragged into the quagmire, and then China will sit firmly in the Diaoyutai and surpass the United States in an instant.
This is something that the U.S. government cannot accept under any circumstances, so they have always hesitated to consider these two wars.
But there is a reality that the role played by Israel in the system of global hegemony of the United States is far from being comparable to that of Ukraine.
It is located at the intersection of the three continents of Asia, Africa and Europe, and to the northwest is Europe, the most important backyard of the United States, and to the east is the rich Middle East, which is the two most crucial cornerstones of the hegemonic system established by the United States.
The former is about the military, politics and economics, the latter is about the petrodollar system and finance.
There is no room for error in both.
Therefore, from the perspective of the United States, Israel must be protected, otherwise their global hegemony will collapse in an instant.
This is where the power behind Palestine comes in!
To explain it in the classic rule of Sun Tzu's Art of War is to attack it and save it, thus completely disrupting the global layout of the United States.
On the other hand, inspired by the concept of a community with a shared future for mankind in Chinese, a general trend of reconciliation has emerged in the entire Middle East.
They have more ideas.
As we all know, China and the United States are fundamentally different in terms of the concept of global governance.
The United States uses a hegemonic system, and is best at inciting contradictions and hatred between different countries in the Middle East with all kinds of unseemly conspiracies and tricks, and will plot all kinds of color revolutions at every turn to artificially create chaos, and in the process always pull one step on one point and rule another, so as to control the entire Middle East region.
China promotes a community with a shared future for mankind, and sincerely hopes to work with friends from different countries and nationalities to develop together, share each other's development opportunities, and never interfere in the internal and foreign affairs of other countries.
These two completely different ideas are sure to have a very profound impact on this part of the Middle East.
Therefore, China was able to successfully mediate the millennium grievances between Saudi Arabia and Iran, two leading big brothers in the Middle East, and let them join hands in the BRICS platform.
Just after the success of this incident in March this year, former US Secretary of State Henry Kissinger asserted that this is a major event that will affect thousands of years, and can even be compared with the historical significance of the resumption of diplomatic relations between China and the United States, which he participated in back then.
Now it seems that at least in the context of the Sino-US game and the great changes in the world unseen in a century, the significance of this event is being magnified, and it also shows its special role.
As you have seen, after the outbreak of the Palestinian-Israeli conflict, Saudi Arabia and Iran quickly conducted several rounds of communication, and the Saudi side at least verbally expressed support for Iran, which stands behind the Palestinian Hamas organization.
In addition, Turkey, another major Middle Eastern country, although they are within NATO, on the surface they look more like a Western country, but after this round of Palestinian-Israeli conflict, they have clearly supported Palestine against Israel.
The three leading brothers in the Middle East are now willing to put aside historical grievances, coordinate their positions as much as possible, and unify their foreign policies.
This comprehensive general situation has made the world clearly feel that the Middle East region is inevitably turbulent.
Musk, the owner of the famous American social platform X, made a post on his social media in the past two days.
There are very few words in this social dynamic.
But the connotation is very deep.
Let's take a look, friends who understand English can better understand Musk's deep meaning.
In his news, Musk jokingly complained that Iran does not know the times, and insists on stuffing his country into the US military bases and sending it to the door for the US military to make dumplings.
But what Musk really means is clear to everyone, he is satirizing the extreme bullying policy of the US military-industrial complex government.
The Middle Eastern countries are living a good life, but the United States wants to create all kinds of big troubles for them, and the US military, which is flaunting its military might, is deployed everywhere.
If this is the case on the periphery of Iran, what about the rest of the Middle East?
Therefore, in the case of the proximal war in Ukraine, and in the situation that the Americans have no way to attack Russia, these countries in the Middle East see an opportunity.
What chances?
It is to work together to push out the influence of the United States in the Middle East and uproot these military bases that the US military smashed in the Middle East region one by one.
Or at least make the United States pay the price.
You can't do whatever you want anymore.
From this point of view, Israel plays exactly the same role as Ukraine, they are both different agents of the US hegemonic system!
The logic behind the U.S. support for Israel to intervene in Palestine and other countries in the Middle East is the same as supporting Ukraine to squeeze Russia's living space, that is, it does not want to see that regional powers such as Russia, Iran, Saudi Arabia, and Turkey have enough say in it.
The United States and Israel want to continue to maintain their hegemony in the Middle East, while Middle Eastern powers such as Saudi Arabia and Iran hope to follow Russia's example and push out the influence of the United States in the region and dominate the affairs of the Middle East themselves.
This collision of different ideas determines that this round of the Palestinian-Israeli conflict is far from over, and will even evolve into a scale like the proxy war in Ukraine.
The above two points are of course the decisive factors for the prospects of the Palestinian-Israeli conflict from the perspective of the overall global situation and the changes in the situation in the Middle East.
The most important reason why I personally assert that this war will not end in the short term lies in the overall planning of the United States and Israel in this matter.
Let's focus on this now.
The third reason is that Israel and the United States are serious this time.
They don't rest on their laurels.
Some time ago, Israeli Defense Minister Gallant gave Israel a battle plan for this Palestinian-Israeli conflict.
They have a very detailed plan.
The whole plan is basically a three-step process.
The first phase is a top priority.
This stage is divided into two parts.
The first is to use the Israeli Air Force to carry out targeted killings of targets and structures that they consider to be dangerous, and to pull out the nails that they consider dangerous in Gaza.
The second half of the first phase is a ground operation that has now begun, involving tanks and bulldozers pushing Palestinians in Gaza from north to south to the Palestinian-Egyptian border.
In this process, there is a lot of article.
Why?
We'll talk about it later, but I'll tell you about the three-step battle plan given by Defense Minister Gallant.
Gallant's second-step plan of action is to wait for the airstrikes and ground operations to be over, and then carry out a sweep of the Palestinian Gaza Strip to catch all the fish they believe have slipped through the net.
The task of the third phase is relatively simple: they want to transform the Palestinian Gaza Strip into Israeli territory, as they have been doing for more than half a century, gradually encroaching on Palestinian territory until it is completely controlled.
The above is the battle plan given by the Israeli government and the Ministry of Defense for this round of Palestinian-Israeli conflict.
But there are three things in this.
1. Many friends already know that Israel has made a bloody effort to promote this big operation, and they knew in advance that the Palestinian Hamas organization was going to launch an attack on Israel, but they pretended not to know and deliberately let the Palestinian Hamas organization take hostages from Israel.
There are about 1,000 of them.
Then they want to use this to confirm the responsibility of the Palestinians and immediately launch bloody revenge.
In other words, although the top of the Israeli government criticizes the Palestinian Hamas organization all day long, as the country's leadership, they do not take the ordinary people of Israel seriously at all, but only use them as bait.
This is really not to wronging the Netanyahu government.
There are more fierce materials in the back!
2. Two days ago, the legendary American journalist Simon Hersh broke a story in the media.
Hersh said that the second half of the first phase of the operation, which has begun on the Israeli side, is the ground operation, the core of which the Israeli military calls "Operation Submersion."
What is Operation Submersion?
I believe that many people have understood the actual situation in the Palestinian Gaza region, and in order to carry out a long-term struggle with Israel in recent years, Hamas in Gaza has organized tunnel warfare similar to that of China's War of Resistance Against Japanese Aggression.
Dig a lot of tunnel nets.
Communicate with the outside world and avoid Israeli attacks.
According to the detailed information obtained by Simon Hersh, the total length of tunnels in Gaza in Palestine exceeds 500 kilometers, and there are even many tunnels leading to Egypt.
That's a lot of flexibility.
This is one of the main reasons why the Palestinian Gaza region, which is under siege by Israel, has been able to survive tenaciously.
The Hamas organization in Gaza is not completely cut off from the outside world.
So the submersion that Israel is talking about is aimed at these tunnels.
Certainly not with water.
The drainage system is relatively easy to do!
However, there must be ventilation openings in the tunnel, and as long as the power is cut off, there will be no oxygen inside, and it will be difficult for people hiding in the tunnel to survive for a long time.
Then the Israeli army can wait for the rabbit!
What's even more terrifying is that, according to foreign media reports, Israel is really moving and ruthless this time.
They are now preparing for the massive use of chemical weapons against tunnel warfare in Gaza.
It's so inhuman.
Because the use of chemical weapons itself is a violation of international conventions, the former US Secretary of State Abalone Balls held a small tube of laundry detergent in his hand and claimed that Iraq had chemical weapons, and used this as a reason to wipe out Iraq, but no evidence was found later.
Now that they themselves want to support the Israelis in doing this, it's too speechless.
Then this is the United States and the West, their double standards and shamelessness, we have already seen it, and it is not strange.
And the most ruthless thing is that, according to Simon Hersh's revelations, the Israeli side's planned submersion offensive will also target Israeli hostages taken by the Palestinian Hamas organization.
Those hostages don't just become bait!
And in the Israeli military's plan, it will be killed by the Israelis themselves.
Interesting, isn't it?
All in all, we can see from the above analysis that this round of the Palestinian-Israeli conflict is destined to make even greater moves, and the big drama is still to come, after all, with the Americans adding fuel to the fire and Israel's unilateral bullying policy, the conflict cannot be stopped at all.
We'll see where we go from here!
I am Yiping, accompany friends to witness the evolution of the world's great changes that have not been seen in a century, if you like such topics, please click to follow, and agree with Yiping's views of the trouble to like, forward or comment,
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