Among the countries of the Middle East, Iran and Syria are the enemies of the United States and Israel.
Today, Syria has lost its power to threaten both the United States and Israel; In the end, Iran remains. It can be said that the United States and Israel regard Iran as a thorn in the side and can't wait to get rid of it quickly.
So, can the United States and Israel work together to reproduce the results of the Iraq War and take Iran?
This will need to be known through further analysis.
First: The situation in the Middle East today is very different from that of the Iraq war.
Today, the situation in the Middle East can be said to be unpredictable, and basically the top countries in the ranking are on the opposite side of Israel.
Such as: Saudi Arabia, UAE, Egypt, Iran, Turkey. In other words, if the United States and Israel attack Iran, then neighboring countries will certainly not lease military bases to them, especially Saudi Arabia and other countries.
During the Iraq War, countries in the Middle East were looking forward to the United States sending troops. Iraq's relations with Iran, Saudi Arabia and Kuwait are not very good, and even somewhat hostile. It also only has better relations with Turkey, Jordan and Syria.
In contrast, Iran and Syria face very different international environments. After all, in the Middle East today, except for Israel, other countries are basically twisted into a rope.
At this time, if the United States and Israel launch a military strike on Iran, will the neighboring countries stand on the side of the United States and Israel? If you turn a blind eye to the US-Israeli attack on Iran, you may not be the next country to be taken by the United States and Israel.
However, before the Iraq war, Iraq invaded Kuwait on its own initiative, and neighboring countries joined the international community in condemning Iraq. At this time, the United States is launching a war, just to obtain the support of neighboring countries, if it does not solve Iraq, the next person to be attacked by Iraq may be itself.
In short, the attitudes of neighboring countries in Iran today and Iraq today are very different. Once the forward base of the Middle East countries is lost, then the United States will not be able to rely on the navy alone, maybe the US navy dares to approach the Persian Gulf or not.
Second: Iran's geographical characteristics are not comparable to Iraq's.
Compared with Iraq's Mesopotamian plain, most of the area is less than 100 meters above sea level, and combines desert, mountain and other topographic features.
Iran can be said to be a basin because it is bounded by the Alborz Mountains to the north, the Kopet Mountains to the northeast, the Gaon Mountains and the Sahad Plateau to the east, the Mokran Coast Mountains to the south, and the Zagros Mountains to the west.
It can be seen that the Iranian border is blocked by plateaus and mountains, and the central area is naturally a basin. Such mountainous terrain characteristics are extremely unfavorable to the deployment of army armored units.
And the U.S. Army's armored forces want to play a role, either by airdrops or landing operations.
First of all, there is no need to think about the airdrop, to airdrop so many troops into Iran, not only is it time-consuming and labor-intensive, but the loss will certainly not be small.
In addition, there is only landing operations.
The eastern part of the Strait of Hormuz is a narrow plain that can be used for landing operations, the key is that the Strait of Hormuz is a strategic place for Iran, which must be heavily guarded, and air defense, anti-ship and other firepower are relatively sufficient.
In addition, there is the Khuzestan plain bordering the Persian Gulf, and the Caspian coastal plain backed by the Caspian Sea.
These two plains are also not easy to land, and the US Navy is bound to go deep into the Persian Gulf and the Caspian Sea, so Iran's anti-ship missiles will come into play.
Therefore, it is unwise to fight a land war based on the geographical characteristics of Iran. But the navy and air force alone could not force Iran to surrender, as the Kosovo war of 1999 did.
In this case, war will not be the best option.
It can be seen that it is not easy for the United States and Israel to defeat Iran, at least not to take Iran with lightning speed like the Iraq war.
Third: Iran's military strength today is not comparable to that of Iraq.
It must be known that during the Iraq War, the Iraqi army only had a monkey version of the T-72 main battle tank. The Air Force was nothing more than anything, it was wiped out back during the Gulf War.
Such a situation, for multinational forces, is almost a dimensionality reduction strike, and the air force and naval aviation enter Iraq as if it were no man's land.
When encountering the armored units of the Iraqi army, they can fire and strike at will, and basically do not encounter any obstacles. This is a tailwind situation, as long as you master air supremacy, then the follow-up will be easy to say.
Today's Iranian army is equipped with a large number of ballistic missiles, anti-aircraft missiles. Although the quality of equipment of the navy and air force is not good, it is still much stronger than Iraq's loss of air force!
If the United States and Israel want to win the Iranian navy and air force, it will have to take some tricks and feet. In addition, so many ballistic missiles are enough to cause greater damage to the US and Israeli forces, and it is conceivable what kind of casualties the US and Israeli armies will have in the end.
The most important thing is the determination to resist, and during the Iraq War, the Iraqi army surrendered to the multinational force in formation, which would not have happened here in Iran.
In summary, under the resistance of the Iranian army, the United States and Israel will not be able to achieve their wishes.
Fourth: Iran is backed by major powers.
You know, during the Iraq War, basically no country supported it.
At that time, Russia also eased up, and furthermore, Iraq's strategic location was not too important.
Therefore, during the Iraq War, Russia did not give it support, and Iraq can be described as a lone battle, naturally invincible to the multinational force led by the United States.
Today, Iran faces a very different international environment.
In addition to détente with Saudi Arabia, a military base has also been set up in Syria. More importantly, Russia and the Eastern powers are supporting Iran.
But one is in the light and the other is in the dark. This is unmatched by the original Iraq.
And the military equipment of Russia and the eastern powers, that can destroy the equipment owned by the United States and Israel, even if it is exported technology, it does not hurt.
Otherwise, how could the US Navy's USS Ford aircraft carrier strike group dare not approach Iran within 1400 kilometers, not taking into account the anti-ship ballistic missiles equipped by Iran. As for where the technology comes from, everyone who is discerning knows it.
It can be seen that with the support of technology, Iran can mass-produce more equipment, and it has more confidence and strength in the confrontation with the US-Israel coalition.
Fifth: Today's United States is not willing to start another war in the Middle East.
Today's world is not the world of 20 years ago, and if 20 years ago the world was the only one in the United States, then today it is different.
With the strong rise of Eastern powers, the pressure on the United States in Asia is also increasing.
Originally, things in Asia were more tricky, and the United States could not take care of it, how dare to look for trouble in the Middle East, this is not just to give the eastern powers the time and opportunity to solve a certain island.
Therefore, the United States is now extremely reluctant to go to war with Iran, and a small fight has no effect. A big fight is not in the interest.
Based on the above five factors, we can see that the United States and Israel cannot replicate the Iraq war on Iran, and they do not have the courage to do so.
After all, today's United States is not the original United States, and today's Iran is not the Iraq of that time. (Image source network, invasion and deletion)