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Recently, the world has once again focused on the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict. Azerbaijan issued a strong circular to Armenia demanding the immediate surrender of Armenian forces in the Nagorno-Karabakh region, which is not a request, but an order. Azerbaijan used artillery, drones and other weapons to carry out large-scale shelling aimed at clearing the Nagorno-Karabakh region of the remnants of the Armenian armed forces. The Armenian prime minister rushed to Russia for help, asking Russia to intervene to stop Azerbaijan's military operations. However, Russia's choice to reject Armenia's request leaves numerous doubts. What are the reasons behind this decision?
The Nagorno-Karabakh region, a land that once belonged to Armenia, was transferred to Azerbaijan during the Soviet Union and became an autonomous region of Azerbaijan. However, the fact that 80 per cent of Nagorno-Karabakh residents were Armenians made Nagorno-Karabakh a de facto state within a state. After the collapse of the Soviet Union, this dispute broke out, leading to the first Nagorno-Karabakh War in 1994. Armenia received the Nagorno-Karabakh region as a victor and gained 9% of its additional territory. However, the Azerbaijanis have not forgotten this shame, and they have vowed to take revenge and enrich the country and strengthen the army on the path of revenge.
Azerbaijan's rich oil resources became the cornerstone of the road to revenge. After years of development, Azerbaijan has become an oil powerhouse, its per capita GDP has increased 50 times in 25 years, and the domestic economy is booming. In terms of diplomacy, Azerbaijan has also adopted a balanced diplomatic strategy, maintaining friendly relations with a number of major powers and independently ensuring national security. When Armenia betrayed Russia, Azerbaijan saw an opportunity for revenge. The Second Nagorno-Karabakh War broke out, and this time Azerbaijan had a stronger military.
The resurgence of the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict has once again revealed the complexity of this long-standing dispute. In fact, when one small country tries to force another small country to submit by force, the international landscape and complex historical context make it more difficult to resolve. The gap in national power between the two sides is getting wider and wider, and Armenia is burdened with huge war reparations. When the excitement of victory passes, so does the challenge and uncertainty of the future. Two small nations play complex and worrisome roles in the chess game.
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