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As the United States continues to exert multi-layered pressure on China and the relationship between the United States continues to deteriorate, the risk of conflict between the United States and China cannot be ignored if this trend continues. So, once a conflict breaks out between China and the United States, what will be the consequences for the world? Singapore's Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong, who spoke at the Aspen Security Conference, was cautionary.
Lee Hsien Loong pointed out: "The reality is that neither side can easily defeat the other. This statement highlights the enormous power of the two powers, suggesting that a fierce conflict will be a lose-lose outcome. He further stressed that China will not disappear like the Soviet Union, which means that China not only plays an important role in the international arena, but also has a solid internal and external economic foundation. In terms of U.S. pressure on China, he questioned whether the United States really realized how powerful an adversary it would have to face once it regarded China as an "enemy."
Regarding the consequences of a potential Sino-US conflict, Lee Hsien Loong's attitude can be described as extremely pessimistic. He argued that conflict is never wise and stressed the importance of seeking engagement between the United States and China to avoid a conflict that would have catastrophic consequences for both sides and the world. In addition, he pointed out that the current problems in Sino-US relations are difficult to reverse, but many countries expect to see the two countries restrain the deterioration of relations. He made it clear that despite the Biden administration's desire to compete with China in areas such as technology, there are still huge differences between China and the United States. In addition, he also warned about the Taiwan issue, pointing out that the Taiwan Strait region faces the risk of miscalculation and miscalculation.
From Lee Hsien Loong's point of view, his analysis is reasonable, and there are indeed some deep-rooted problems between China and the United States. As Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi said: "As two countries with different social systems, differences and contradictions between China and the United States are inevitable." The key is to effectively manage these issues through open communication, prevent strategic miscalculations, and avoid conflict and confrontation. This shows that within normal limits, it is reasonable to have some differences between China and the United States, but the current Sino-US relationship is developing in a dangerous direction. China has always advocated the principle of "peace is win-win, and fighting is hurtful" and is willing to dialogue with the United States on an equal footing, but the United States seems to prefer competition to win rather than cooperation.
In July this year, former US Assistant Secretary of State Daniel Russell's speech also reflected the thinking of the US top level on Sino-US relations. He said that the two countries can maintain a so-called "stable" relationship only when the national power of the United States far exceeds that of China, and once China rises to become a power rival the United States, the "good days" of the United States will end. Russell's rhetoric reflects U.S. concerns about China's rise, which are rooted in America's long-standing hegemonic policies. The United States seems to fear that China's rise will threaten its hegemonic status, which is one of the reasons why Sino-US relations have reached the current stalemate. To change the current U.S.-China relationship, it is necessary to start from within the United States, and the U.S. government should review its own policies and realize that blindly pressing China will not produce the desired results. The United States should take steps to accommodate China's rise, which is expected to make Sino-US relations develop in a healthy direction. In addition, as a major country, the United States should shoulder its due international responsibilities and respect the positions and views of other countries in Sino-US relations.
To sum up, the direction of Sino-US relations has indeed raised widespread concerns. Lee Hsien Loong's views remind us that differences and tensions between China and the United States can not only cause huge losses on both sides, but can also have unpredictable consequences for the world. In order to achieve peace and stability, it is necessary to adopt a pragmatic approach and strengthen dialogue and cooperation rather than hostile competition. It is hoped that the US government will assess the situation, push China-US relations back to a constructive track, and contribute to global peace and prosperity. It takes wisdom, courage, and leadership, but it's also a goal worth pursuing.
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