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Armenia's chessboard: crossing the periphery between great powers
Whenever the situation becomes fragile, relations between countries become more delicate. For Armenia, the one-country, two-center strategy seems to push it into an unknown abyss.
Looking back at history, there has been a long dispute between Armenia and Azerbaijan, and the Nagorno-Karabakh region has been the focus of contention between the two countries. In the international context, the game of major powers has undoubtedly given this regional dispute a new color. During the last Nagorno-Karabakh conflict, Russia unexpectedly intervened, despite Armenia's gradual bias towards the United States. This move is undoubtedly to safeguard its interests and influence in the region.
But this time, as Armenia's relations with Russia continue to distance themselves, coupled with the internal and external pressure brought to Russia by the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, Armenia may face an unsalvageable situation. Russia seems more inclined to let go and let Azerbaijan exert control over the Nagorno-Karabakh region, which undoubtedly gives Armenia a cold shower.
But this is not just a military conflict. It sheds light on Armenia's dilemma when crossing between great powers: which side to choose as an ally, how to defend its national interests, and how to find a suitable position in the great power game.
And on this complex chessboard, small countries need more wisdom and decision-making to ensure their survival and prosperity. Armenia's future is full of unknowns, but one fact is clear: calmness, wisdom and foresight are more important than ever in the great power game.