A new situation has emerged in the election situation on the island of Taiwan, the overall situation of the DPP has been decided, and it is difficult for the KMT to turn itself around. Such a situation may be unexpected by the Kuomintang, and it also disappoints the Blue and White Union and the non-green alliance, and the chaos in this is difficult to describe. It can only be said that the people of Taiwan Island have gone further and further down the wrong path and deviated from the correct course.
The "Taiwan Public Opinion Foundation" even released the latest poll results, showing the current vote rate. Lai Qingde won 43.4%, ranking first. He Wenzhe ranked second with 26.6%. The worst was Hou Youyi, a candidate pinned high hopes by the Kuomintang, with only 13.6% of the vote.
This result shows that Hou Youyi will be kicked out early, and there is no hope of winning the election. Is this information true or false, and can it represent the final result? If the survey is true, who will get the remaining 16.4% of the vote? Hou Youyi lost the election early, who will take the majority of his votes? And what is going on with the Kuomintang?
Ben has an advantage, but he uses the wrong person
This poll has a certain degree of authenticity, because his survey method is to use 70% of telephone surveys, and 30% of mobile phone surveys, which can be regarded as covering middle-aged and elderly people and young people, and the truth rate and objectivity are more accurate. If this is the case, Hou Youyi's 13.6% vote share can be said to be the lowest percentage of votes in the KMT's previous elections, and it is a foregone conclusion that he will be kicked out.
It stands to reason that there should be no such situation, and the Kuomintang is also an old political party. The foundation and strength are still there, and the basic plate is also stable. Even if you lose the election, the results will not be so bad, not to mention that the popularity of public opinion is so low, which in itself indicates that there is a problem. The first is the reason for Zhu Lilun, the current chairman of the Kuomintang, that it is taboo to choose the wrong person.
He believes that Hou Youyi is a non-green and non-blue camp, and can win the middle vote, as well as other additional votes. In addition, the Kuomintang's basic vote count problem is not big, and it can even go to a higher level. As a result, things changed drastically, and Hou Youyi not only did not win the middle vote, but also lost most of the basic bills of his camp, almost becoming internally unstable.
This shows that Hou Youyi not only has problems with ability, but also lacks seniority, political views, and courage, which has caused dissatisfaction within the party and began to choose another path. It's just that the selection fails. In addition, in dealing with the Taiwan Strait crisis, Lai Qingde's transit through the United States and the PLA's exercise around the island have no practical significance. It is better for Gou to take a stand and attack the DPP, so that he can gain supporters even when he is already at a disadvantage.
From this point of view, Hou Youyi is not as good as Gou. At the same time, Hou Youyi will not solicit votes, and his position has only the influence of Taipei, and it is also divided by other forces. He also spoke bluntly, and had to give in favor of political propaganda and agitation, which made him inferior to other candidates as a whole, and he was the most unsuccessful candidate for the Kuomintang.
Internal crises and contradictions continue
This allowed the Kuomintang to support it with all its strength, and it could not change Hou Youyi's disadvantage. It can only be said that the mud could not support the wall, and the Kuomintang failed again. This is just a crisis of candidate defeat, and the most dangerous crisis is an internal problem of the Kuomintang. At present, the Kuomintang is facing a wave of internal withdrawal and splitting. This is a dangerous political signal and the final endpoint of factional struggle.
First, Xu Yaochang quit the Kuomintang, attacked the politics of the secret room, and wanted to remove the Kuomintang. Later, Chiang Wan-an wanted to change the "Chiang Kai-shek Memorial Hall" of his great-grandfather Chiang Kai-shek into a memorial hall for the construction of Taiwan. This is the foundation for overthrowing the Kuomintang, and once it causes a chain reaction, the problem can be great.
At this critical moment, a sensitive period, the general election is no longer important. How to stabilize the internal is the biggest problem and task, otherwise the Kuomintang will split or collapse again in an instant.
The demise of the party is instantaneous
The problem of the Kuomintang has always existed, but in the past, the family did not care about the great cause, or it was a ruling party for several consecutive terms, and it has a deep root. They think they can control the situation, and they have not suppressed the opposition parties. During the reign of Chiang Lao, he ruled the island of Taiwan with an iron fist, and the Kuomintang was the first ruling party. When Chiang Ching-kuo succeeded to the throne, it was the Kuomintang telling the development period. It's just that no one expected that after that, problems continued, other parties attacked, and the Kuomintang was knocked down from the altar and became an opposition party.
Since then, the main body of the Kuomintang's pan-blue camp has reduced its new forces, and it has been suppressed by the local new forces, which is why it has its current predicament. If it is divided again, the decline and demise of the party will only be a moment. Jiang Wan'an betrayed his ancestors, that is, to break the foundation and national faith of the Kuomintang. Xu Yaochang removed his party, that is, he wanted to rebel. The situation is already serious and has to be handled with caution.
epilogue
The KMT not only lost the election, but also faced serious internal problems. It is not for nothing that it has to be said that the defeat of the Kuomintang is not unreasonable. Failure to choose someone is not terrible, it's a big deal to fight again next time. But if something goes wrong within the party, it's a big deal. The basic market is unstable, it is easy to lose all the games, and it is difficult to turn over.
Compared with the election defeat, stabilizing the internal and dealing with unstable elements, controlling the situation is an urgent task. Otherwise, it is only a matter of time before the base camp splits and the party dies. This defeat of the Kuomintang internal factional competition is related to splitting civil strife, and it has not been able to make full preparations for war, how can it win. If you are not awake, you will die, and stability overrides everything.
- Author: Haiko
- Editor: Shanhai