The hog market faced a mismatch between production and sales at the end of August, which led to a decline in pig prices. Although the consumer market is gradually recovering, the acceleration of pork consumer demand is slower. The northern region began to cool down, residents began to buy pork to put on autumn fat, and after the summer vacation, catering and tourism spending gradually recovered. However, the recovery rate of slaughterhouses is weak, the downstream benefits cannot be fully realized, and the performance of pork shipments is average.
Changes in residents' consumption habits have had an impact on pork consumption, and many people no longer have the same strong demand for pork as before. In particular, the cycle time of domestic pig farming is short, and a large amount of feed and additives are used, resulting in a change in the taste of pork. With the change of residents' living habits and the prevalence of light luxury, many residents prefer light and healthy dietary needs, and their willingness to consume pork has decreased significantly. Coupled with the slump in the construction industry in recent years, the main force of traditional pork consumption has also reduced the demand for pork.
The poor increase in pork consumption is one of the reasons for the pressure on the periodic pig price increase.
From the perspective of pig supply, the southern region accelerated the pace of pork denaturalization due to the emergence of African swine fever at the end of July and early August, while the pig farms in the northern region suffered from diseases, and piglet losses increased, resulting in tight supply of suitable standard pigs and pen large pigs, and the inversion of standard fertilizer price spreads supported the previous sharp increase in pig prices. However, due to the high sow inventory and sufficient supply of medium and low standard pigs, after mid-to-late August, the pace of pig slaughter slowed down, the phenomenon of pig pen pressing increased, and the average weight of slaughter increased. Especially before the end of the month, the domestic mainstream pig enterprises only completed about 70% of the slaughter plan, the progress of slaughter is slow, which also leads to the end of the month large-scale pig enterprises face greater pressure out of slaughter, while the group pig enterprises have a high enthusiasm for incremental slaughter. Under the dual influence of pig supply and slow growth of downstream consumer demand, the staged pig market is facing the pressure of "mismatch of production and marketing", and pig prices are under pressure to decline. According to institutional analysis, on August 30, the average price of foreign ternary pigs dropped to 17.05 yuan / kg, the center of gravity of pig prices slowly shifted, and the market sentiment was slightly pessimistic.
So, can pig prices still go up? I personally believe that it is more difficult for pig prices to rise at the end of this month, and the price may consolidate around 17 yuan / kg. However, in September, the center of gravity of pig prices still has an upward trend. On the one hand, the weather has further cooled, the consumption demand of households has continued to improve, coupled with the gradual recovery of the catering industry, the enthusiasm of group consumption has become stronger; On the other hand, the Mid-Autumn Festival and National Day are approaching, and breeding enterprises hope that pig prices will rise, while the consumer market is supported by the favorable festival, and demand is gradually picking up. Therefore, in September, the pig price outlook is still showing a volatile upward trend. However, due to the relatively loose pig production capacity, the positive situation may be limited, and the rebound in pig prices may be less than expected. Some agencies expect that the high point of pig prices in September may appear at the end of the month, and the price may be difficult to break above 18 yuan/kg.
Pigs are raised in this way, the monthly income doubles, and the breeding cost is successfully reduced by 80%!
When it comes to pig farming, everyone's first impression may be a complex scene: feed feeding, vaccination, disease prevention and control, pig house management and so on. However, an innovative farmer from the countryside is transforming the industry in a unique way, not only doubling his monthly income, but also successfully reducing farming costs by 80%!
The farmer's name is Li Ming, and his daily work is not different from other traditional farmers, but he has adopted a new farming method - indoor manure ecological recycling treatment. The core concept of this method is to convert the manure in the pig house into organic fertilizer, so as to realize the recycling of pig breeding resources.
Li Ming set up a special separation equipment in the pig house to collect pig manure and urine separately. In this way, not only can odors in the barn be reduced, but nutrients from the manure can be efficiently recovered.
Next, Li Ming processed the collected pig manure through deep fermentation and composting to achieve the effect of sterilization and deodorization. Compared with the traditional open-air treatment of manure, this method can not only greatly reduce the risk of disease transmission, but also improve soil quality and increase crop yields using fermented organic fertilizers.
It is worth mentioning that Li Ming further combined the treated organic fertilizer with crop planting, realizing the dual benefits of pig breeding and crop planting. This cycle model can not only save a lot of breeding costs, but also effectively reduce the dependence on fertilizer and feed, thus doubling Li Ming's monthly income.
Li Ming also carried out meticulous research and improvement of manure treatment technology to further optimize the effect. He monitored the temperature, humidity and other environmental factors of the breeding house, and combined with modern science and technology, so that the manure treatment achieved a more ideal effect. It is precisely because of this refined management that Li Ming has been able to successfully reduce breeding costs and improve the efficiency of pig farming.
Li Ming's farm has become a local benchmark, attracting many other farmers to come to learn and visit. His success story not only proves the importance of innovative thinking, but also brings new hope to the entire farming industry.
By raising pigs in this way, Li Ming not only doubled his monthly income, but also successfully reduced his breeding costs by 80%! The replication of this innovative model will not only help increase farmers' incomes, but also help promote sustainable agriculture. Let us look forward to the emergence of more innovative farmers like Li Ming, injecting more vitality and creativity into the agricultural industry!
To sum up, the settlement price of pigs collected by slaughterhouses in various provinces and cities across the country at the end of August indicates that pig prices are under pressure and falling. The outlook for pig prices in September is still a volatile upward trend, but due to the relatively loose pig production capacity, the rebound in pig prices may be limited. The above content is the author's personal opinion, and the picture comes from the Internet.