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#欧洲危局: The war is imminent and the risks are highlighted#
As the world's attention is focused on the Russia-Ukraine conflict, the shadow of the crisis is gradually hanging over the continent. It is not to be ignored that two regions of Europe, involving four countries, are gradually moving towards possible armed conflicts.
Light the powder keg
A powder keg in Europe, the Kosovo region, is once again gaining momentum. The repression of Serbs by Albanians has made the situation precarious. Serbian President Vučić tried to send police to protect Serbs in Kosovo, but was refused. Kosovo could once again become a battlefield, triggering Serbia's intervention, and the Balkans could once again be engulfed in war.
The crisis in Turkey escalated
Turkey and Greece, two NATO members, have once again clashed, sparking regional tensions. Missiles are deployed on disputed territory, and both sides frequently accuse each other of violating their airspace. Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan has challenged him, claiming that their missiles can reach Athens, detonating a dangerous pattern of war.
The European continent faces a grave situation, but it is noteworthy that the crisis has come at a time when the major Powers have shown unexpected negative gestures.
The low effect of large countries should
For this crisis, the big countries that had high hopes failed to stand up and play their due role. The German Foreign Minister went so far as to warn Serbia not to intervene in Kosovo, which caused dissatisfaction among the Serbian president. Although Kosovo is part of Serbia, Germany cannot exert influence, which underscores its divided domestic situation.
France has also failed to provide active support, with Macron preferring to follow the U.S. These major countries are plagued by domestic problems and are no longer able to deal with external challenges. Europe appears to be facing a leadership vacuum, which makes the situation even more critical.
America's role and concerns
The United States clearly has an important role to play in this crisis. However, America's interests and motives are thought-provoking. On the Kosovo issue, the United States supported the Kosovo government, but this was similar to the bombing of the Federal Republic of Yugoslavia, which made Serbia resentful of the United States. At the same time, the United States is also trying to intervene in Turkey's internal affairs, which makes it more likely that the Turkish-Greek crisis will escalate.
A crisis in Europe will have the potential to be an opportunity for the United States to exert influence, but it could also turn into a full-scale war. However, the ultimate impact of the crisis goes far beyond that.
The profound impact of the crisis
If Europe is caught in a dogfight, it will not only reduce Russia's pressure in Ukraine, but also allow Russia to solve the Ukrainian problem more quickly. The Kosovo issue may trigger international intervention, but Serbia and Turkey may gain some support. However, this state of crisis will plunge the whole of Europe into disintegration, and the ethnic contradictions between countries will escalate rapidly, with far-reaching consequences for the entire continent.
Awakened alertness
Perhaps under the crisis, some countries are gradually waking up. Germany and France may have realized that it is not necessarily in their interest to follow the United States. Germany began to seek trade cooperation with China in an attempt to ease tensions with the United States. This may be a sign that the great powers are seeking their way out in the face of the crisis.
Challenges and preparations for the future
If a crisis does erupt, it could lead to the spread of war and even the risk of world war. The nuclear confrontation between Russia and the United States should not be underestimated, and the United States may take this opportunity to solve the problem of adversaries. Therefore, European countries need to pay close attention to the movements of the United States and prepare countermeasures.
At this turbulent time, the European continent is experiencing unprecedented challenges. We can only hope that reason and calmness will overcome impulses and avoid greater disasters.
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