Text | Zhang Youhua
Recently, within the Kuomintang, including Zheng Liwen, they began to hope to "change the marquis", and then find someone who could condense the combat strength of the Kuomintang. Of course, Zheng Liwen believes that since Gou Taiming is not a member of the Kuomintang, he hopes that after the "change of marquis", a Kuomintang person will represent the Kuomintang to fight, and they thought of Han Yu.
That is to say, some people in the Kuomintang have this idea. Frankly speaking, the Hou Youyi camp is very dissatisfied with this formulation, why is it not satisfied with this formulation? There are two reasons, although Hou Youyi's poll came down, the Kuomintang has never done a poll by Han Yu.
If you want to "change the marquis", at least you have to change to be more convinced. That is, Han Yu's poll is more than twice that of Hou Youyi, which everyone is convinced. After everyone is convinced, there will be a "change of marquis" later. If Han Yu's poll is lower than Hou Youyi's, will he be convinced at this time?
Second, is the so-called ready, the so-called will there be three kills? I can tell you that whether you are ready or not, whether you will kill three times, if you involve Han Yu at this time, the problem is more complicated. On the one hand, there is the problem of Hou Youyi, and on the other hand, the problem of Gou Taiming and Ke Wenzhe.
So the Kuomintang will make a very simple thing so complicated, just as after the Kuomintang won on November 26, 2022, they said, the strongest two, one is Gou Taiming and the other is Hou Youyi, you choose me or not, I choose you don't choose, and so on. At that time, the Kuomintang began to talk empty, he thought that the regime could be obtained.
So why have I been criticizing the Kuomintang since the New Year? Because I have seen a lot of problems, because elections, absolutely not whoever speaks loudly, who can win. Elections are based on strength, how voters are moved, and so on. From these actions, we can know that the strongest time at that time was Hou Youyi and Gou Taiming two people.
But from March to May 17, I don't know how many times I said that the Kuomintang would lose, and I was the first in Taiwan. When I saw that the problem was changing, the Kuomintang was still intoxicated on the battlefield of the past, talking about the battlefield years and scenery.
But today, when Zheng Liwen discussed these things, she also ignored four important points. First, can Han Yu replace Hou Youyi? Where is your data? Has the Kuomintang made any data on this? Second, after replacing Hou, how do you place Gou Taiming and Ke Wenzhe?
The most important thing is the principle of strength, unless Guo Heke thinks that Han's strength exceeds them by 5 times, this is metaphorical, otherwise why should I accompany you to the Kuomintang to act in this scene? Gou Taiming is interested in participating in the "change of marquis" drama, but the result of his participation is to change himself. However, Ke Wenzhe is completely uninterested in the Kuomintang, how to deal with this?
The third is Han Yu's own wishes. Han Yu didn't want to come out to choose this time, otherwise, Han Yu said very early that not only did he not come out to choose, but he also did not let his daughter choose. On the surface, he respects his daughter, but in fact, he doesn't want to be cannon fodder anymore.
Because Han Yu had enough in 2019 and can't say that he is the Kuomintang, he is fed up with political cynicism. Because many people can't see him well, they are pulling him back everywhere. At this time, he came out again, whether others will pull him back, it remains to be witnessed. Fourth, will the Kuomintang let Han Yu participate at this time?
If Han Yu really said that he was going to come out and choose, or if Zheng Liwen said that he was choosing Han Yu, would he enter a cycle of black box operation again? These questions are very simple to say, but you know, once it is Han Yu again, then I don't recognize this primary, why don't I recognize this primary?
You are a black box operation, as long as the person who lost is not convinced, why should Han Yu lose his political reputation to play this game with you? Therefore, it can be said that all today's problems can be said to be caused by the Kuomintang itself. You take an election model from simple to complex.
This shows that the KMT also has no confidence in the 2024 election, and it is because of the lack of confidence that there are so many problems today. Like the one that included Ma Ying-jeou in 2008, when everyone was confident, would they discuss changing horses? Absolutely not.
It is because you do not have confidence, so from Zhu Lilun's "changing columns", to Han Yu's battle, and now to Hou Youyi, it is because you do not have the belief to overcome and the confidence to overcome. Therefore, anyone who comes out to engage in it now may not be able to put an end to the Kuomintang's nest fight, let alone face Gou Taiming and Ke Wenzhe.
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