This week there was a sea change in Russia, it felt like a dream, doubt, shock, incredulity, written all over the world. Why did it happen like this, why did it happen, almost everyone who pays attention to the situation in Russia and Ukraine is analyzing it with their own way of thinking, but after all, they are not the parties, and no one can know what the parties think in their hearts.
Fighting a war is a strategy not a favor, Prigozhin has been in the battlefield for a long time, is an old quack, he has loyalty to the leader, he also loves the country, Wagner killed and wounded more than 20,000 people in Bakhmut, how tragic, from this point of view he is a hero of the country, and the troops in Rostov are also watched and praised by the citizens. Will such an armed rebellion?
Looking at the route regardless of the reason, the Wagnerian corps made a big detour from Rostov back to Belarus and topped the back of the NATO member Poland and Lithuania, this is a fact, everything else is false. For whatever reason, no matter how dramatic the process, the end is that Prigozhin appears here with his troops, a NATO armed vacuum, Lithuania has only 1.8 vulnerable troops, let alone Poland, vulnerable. It is also a step away from Kyiv.
More importantly, legally speaking, Wagner no longer exists, Prigozhin has no relationship with Russia, what will this kind of force do in the future, NATO will not be able to find Russia, everyone is watching, it was he who rebelled first, I fired him, who he hit, you look for him. In this way, the entire strategic pattern will be reshaped, Ukraine can no longer concentrate all its forces and resources for a counteroffensive, and the north is not safe. NATO will also deploy in the northeast according to the new changes to prevent a Wagner raid.
Then the final result is that the Russian-Ukrainian conflict in fact remains in its current state, the two sides have tacit mutual ceasefires, long-term confrontation, this war will most likely end in this way, not very decent, but there is no way.