On May 18, Beijing time, the East Final G1 officially started, the final score was 123-116, the Heat went down first, the process was very intense, most of the time the Heat were behind, but the second half began to exert strength, and the final quarter was finally staged under Butler's leadership. After this battle, the latest probability of winning the championship is also released, let's take a look at the specific ranking.
Two teams have a championship probability of more than 30%, the Nuggets at 38% and the Green Army at 37%.
The Nuggets are indeed strong, and they are the most championship for now, they easily eliminated the Timberwolves in the first round, and faced the Suns with Durant + Booker in the second round, the Nuggets gave us the feeling that they have not yet played their full strength. And the Western Final G1, the Nuggets once led the Lakers by 21 points, although the second half of the point difference was narrowed, but the Nuggets are still not to be underestimated, Jokic is still in full evolution, his control of the game is too strong, coupled with Murray + Porter + Gordon + Pope and other generals, the Nuggets are undoubtedly the closest team to the championship, the Western Final G2 is quite critical, looking forward to the Nuggets and the Lakers to face off again.
The Celtics, who lost the G1 in the East, still have a 37% probability of winning the championship, which shows that compared to the Heat, the Green Army is still optimistic about the outside world. Looking at the performance of the playoffs so far, the main problem of the Green Army is that it is not stable enough, like Tatum, he has outbreaks, but there are many cases of dropping the chain, like the East Final G1, Tatum made 3 mistakes in key moments and became the loser of the Green Army. But facing the 76ers in the second round, Tatum scored another 51 points in G7 and 15 points in the final G6, so it's really hard to conclude whether Tatum is a superstar or not.
No. 3 is the Heat, with an 18% chance of winning the championship, and today they beat the Green Army, Butler went on a miraculous walk, finishing with 35 points, 5 rebounds, 7 assists, 6 steals and 3 turnovers on 12-of-25 shooting. After the game, Butler made 6 steals in a single game in the divisional finals, and Butler became the first player to do so since Curry in 2017.
In addition, Butler has recorded at least 30 points, 5 rebounds, 5 assists and 5 steals on the road several times (twice) in his playoff career, making him the second player in NBA history (the league has counted steals since the 1973-74 season), the first being Michael Jordan (2). Not only that, Butler is also the first player in Heat history to record 35 points and six steals in a single playoff game.
The bottom probability of winning the championship is the Lakers, only 7% of the probability, and the Heat have a large gap, it can be seen that after losing the G1 in the Western Finals, the Lakers have been generally looked down on. G2 is quite critical, the Lakers can no longer lose, otherwise the series will basically hang, looking back at G1, the Lakers lost because Hamm started with three guards, resulting in explosive rebounds, and the offensive end can not exert power, because the premise of playing a small lineup is that you must be accurate outside, the Lakers obviously do not have such conditions, their biggest shortcoming is outside firepower.
However, in the fourth quarter, Hamm let Hachimura defend Jokic, thick eyebrows under the basket to assist defense, the Lakers have actually begun to have the upper hand on the field, if to G2, Hamm continues to use such a defensive strategy, plus James may break out, then the probability of the Lakers winning is still very high, so although the probability of the Lakers winning the championship is low, the Lakers are full of too many variables, do not rule out that they will have the possibility of a turnover.