Although the trend of the market has a certain tendency, it is ultimately determined by the market, because the market is the supply and demand trading place of the consumer terminal, and any estimate is speculated based on a certain phenomenon, but it does not have inevitability.
In another half a month, it will be time for Jingning's apples to take off the bag. At this time of year, most of the apples have put the bag up, but this year due to the summer drought and high temperature weather, inhibiting the normal growth of apples in the bag, from the outside of the bag can already measure the size of the apple, mainly 70 # and 75 # fruit, the current growth to 80 # level of apples are very few. Therefore, the price of apples above 80# this year is definitely higher, and the number of extra large fruits is even more limited. There may be a month before the harvest, and in this month's time, apples above 70# can grow to a maximum of one level, like 65# and below has been fixed.
In previous years, the acquisition model of 70# starting at one price is estimated to have changed, and the grading price is the most compromise, the fruit is sold at a high price, and the fruit is sold at a low price, so that it is not a loss to the fruit farmers in the production area, but also fair to the merchants. In previous years, the apples acquired by merchants to the market are generally sold at a loss of 70 #, 75 # apples are sold with capital preservation, and more than 80 # can make money. If you look away when negotiating the price on the ground, there are fewer fruits above 80# and more fruits than 70#, then you will lose. The hierarchical price acquisition can protect the interests of merchants to the greatest extent, because the merchants will make prices on the ground with reference to the market price, ensuring the profit margin between the place of origin and the market.
According to the overall amount of fruit hanging this year, Jingning is estimated to reduce production by more than 1/3, and the apples in the northwest townships have been frosted during the flowering period. In addition, some townships have implemented the transformation of old orchards, and the area of hanging orchards has been reduced accordingly.
From the current early apple purchase price of 70# starting from 4.5 ~ 5.0 yuan / jin estimated, this year's late ripening red Fuji scale price should be able to reach about 80 # 8.0 yuan / jin, 75 # 6.0 yuan / jin, 70 # 4.0 yuan / jin or so, 65 # 2.0 yuan / jin or so, pink Qinguan may also start at about 6.0 yuan / jin, ordinary Qinguan 80# or more to break through 5.0 yuan / jin.
Acquisition belongs to acquisition, sales belong to sales, and some cold storage will face the situation of no stock in the later stage is already a nail in the coffin.
