You will experience a great industrial revolution, the era of manned autonomous flight, and electric vehicles are obsolete at birth

　　The Age of Flight

　　Our society may be about to undergo a revolution.

　　I'm not talking about World War III. The second is a similar industrial revolution, let's call it the flying revolution. Humanity will enter the age of flight from the digital age.

　　There is only one battery in between.

　　At present, the popularity of electric vehicles has shown a trend of fire, and fuel vehicles have been heroic and late. Maybe the era of electric vehicles is coming. Yes, the era of electric vehicles is coming.

　　Most of today's electric vehicles use lithium batteries or lithium iron phosphate batteries. The energy density ranges from 160 Wh to 260 Wh. For better battery life and lighter self-weight, the whole human society is fighting for batteries.

　　It can be said that in the current human society, the two most hot scientific research frontiers are to overcome cancer and develop batteries.

　　What will happen if the battery is developed? What if the epoch-making battery was developed? This is an interesting topic. Because what will be involved behind this may be even greater, broader, and deeper than we think.

　　1. Origin of manned aerial vehicles

　　If the epoch-making battery is developed, then the first electric vehicle must be installed first. Driven by digitalization, autonomous driving will inevitably be greatly improved.

　　Perhaps 80% of the private cars on the street are electric vehicles.

　　But problems will also follow, and the demand for large trucks, large vehicles, will become extremely urgent. Even if there is no mileage anxiety, daily charging is not ideal, so the research and development of batteries will not stop, only more fierce competition.

　　On the other hand, drones are also one of the biggest beneficiaries of batteries. Longer endurance, greater load, will continue to move forward under the pressure of commercial competition.

　　Autonomous driving is becoming more and more mature, but there are also more and more problems. With the great spread of usage, the absolute number of accidents caused by autonomous driving is bound to increase. People's ethical demands on autonomous driving will naturally be higher than that of human driving. Drivers like autonomous driving on the one hand, and on the other hand, they will have an inherent dislike for autonomous vehicles on the road. As long as there is an accident, all the spearheads must be directed at the developers of automatic driving.

　　The logic has become clearer and clearer, as long as the size of the UAV is enlarged, as long as the battery capacity is large enough, the manned vertical take-off and landing automatic aircraft will become an inevitable option for human society. Because autonomous flight is actually several dimensions simpler than autonomous driving.

　　Once the automatic aircraft enters the field of vision of the general public, this society will be completely changed, irreversible, and everything is almost predestined and inevitable. Since it is about to happen, it is necessary to be able to be forward-looking and prepared in advance.

　　I can't predict when that day will come, maybe next year, maybe another 50 or even 100 years, because I don't know when the battery will finally break through. But according to the historical law of science and technology, breakthroughs are certain, so the arrival of this day is also certain.

　　2. Why Auto Flight was chosen

　　I don't want to discuss it from a technical point of view, just talk about the social aspect, facing the popularity of automatic flight.

　(1) Military needs

　　In many current wars, the role of drones in the battlefield is obvious. Then the UAV carrying a larger amount of ammunition, or even a manned aircraft, because the cost is much lower than the military UAV, can take off and land vertically, regardless of the take-off and landing site, the military use is unimaginable.

　(2) Government needs

　　Whether it is disaster relief, police enforcement, patrols, expeditions, etc. or even various natural resource management departments, the convenience and efficiency of manned vertical take-off and landing autonomous vehicles are irresistible.

　　Large cities with traffic congestion are cheering and embracing this thing that naturally does not need road resources.

　　The maintenance and construction of highways by the state requires a lot of money and energy. With such a flying machine, the benefits to the national treasury are also irresistible.

　　More importantly, the national level will also be doomed to desperate development, because once you recognize this problem, you do not develop, it means that you are subject to people in the next round of social change, and you are in the logic of being backward and being beaten.

　　So once this era opens, it will go all out.

　(3) Public needs

　　All kinds of enterprises, residents for this convenient and efficient tool, can not resist its superiority.

　　3. Lifestyle changes dramatically

　　 By not relying on roads, urban work and fresh landscapes can be combined with fish and bear paws. Due to the extremely fast speed of flight, various concerns such as health care have become less obvious. So it may appear in large areas, work in the city, and within an hour of flight distance, that is, within a straight-line distance of 200 kilometers, you can choose a place of residence at will. Note that even places where there is no access to the road can be chosen.

　　4. Urban upheaval

　　As the city's residential status is significantly reduced, the city will become more dispersed. There will be more settlements on the outskirts of the city, and commercial and office space in the city center will be more obvious.

　　5. Transportation has changed dramatically

　　Existing roads are probably larger to be left for the transport of goods, for close passage. And it becomes extremely smooth. However, many roads may be abandoned, and the main roads can be better maintained.

　　6. Architectural changes

　　Because of the need for parking and convenient travel, it is estimated that the roof of the building will evolve into a tarmac, and the balcony will also evolve into a parking position. If it is not safe enough, the city may develop a large number of three-dimensional shutdown buildings.

　　7. Waterway management

　　Different altitudes, different needs, may divide a lot of air traffic rules, or waterways. These will be built into the automatic flight system.

　　8. Highly developed automatic flight technology and internet of all machines

　　All aircraft should have the function of interconnection with the flight traffic management center and accept flight data monitoring, so the aircraft have interconnection, information handshake, negotiation avoidance mechanism, and the ability to exchange flight data, which greatly improves safety. Due to the wideness of space and the perfection of automatic avoidance, it is almost impossible to collide with each other in the air. Even with a very small probability of colliding with each other, the post-Syrian flight airbags can be preemptively bounced off at the technical level, and the risk of the consequences after the collision is greatly reduced.

　　9. Flying airbags and parasols

　　It is possible to develop a whole or a specific part of the fuselage airbag, when the aircraft has a huge safety accident, or even fall, the airbag automatically bounces off, the safety parachute automatically opens, and even the active fall deceleration system is activated to ensure that after the fall, it falls at a safe speed, falling in any area, whether it is on a tree, a cliff, a water surface, a building, can ensure the safety of personnel and even the fuselage does not receive particularly serious damage. This is not particularly difficult technically.

　　10. Changes to the War

　　After the popularization of aircraft, due to the superiority of air strikes, it was decided that future military firefights may become pure unmanned air combat. The demand for warriors is reduced, and the security of a country depends more on the ability to build machines, the ability to equip, and the level of industry and the intensity of industry. The future military factories are more equivalent to the front line, more in need of protection and more to be protected.