After a short wait, the playoff semifinals officially began, and on the first matchday of the semifinals, the east and west sides ushered in a focus showdown.
The second-place Grizzlies in the West are at home to face the Warriors, as is the Green Army in the second place in the regular season division to meet the Bucks.
In the end, the Bucks and warriors won separately, and the two sets of big scores reached 1-0, and the remaining two groups were still 0-0.
Although only two matches were played, these two matches also completely changed the situation in the semi-finals, allowing the outside world to re-measure the four groups of confrontations.
To this end, the US media "fivethirtyeight" announced the latest probability of winning the championship, of which the Warriors rose to 13%, the Green Army fell by 14 points, and the top of the list was replaced.
Both teams have less than a 5 percent chance of winning the title: The Lone Rangers (2 percent) and the Grizzlies (3 percent).
Such a probability is not surprising, although the Grizzlies are the big dark horses in the regular season stage of this season, the playoffs and the regular season are completely two levels, two systems of confrontation.
Especially in the stage of entering the semi-finals of the division, the rotation advantage of the lineup is no longer reflected, and it is more of a confrontation between the absolute star and the core lineup.
The Grizzlies' shortcomings are very obvious, the core lineup is inexperienced, and the star Morant does not have the ability to end the game, there is a projection shortcoming, and it is completely crushed by Curry at the level of personal ability.
Although the series was only played once, and the Warriors still narrowly won by 1 point, the suspense of the entire series was already very small, and it was difficult for the Grizzlies to pose a threat to the Warriors.
Therefore, the probability of the US media winning the championship for the Grizzlies is only 3%, and the probability of advancing to the next round is only 27%, and the Warriors have an absolute advantage.
The Lone Rangers have a lower probability of winning the title, only 2 percent, and the probability of advancing to the division finals is only 21 percent, but judging by the quality of the Suns' core players and the ability the Suns showed in the first round, Doncic and the Lone Rangers are obviously underestimated, and the trouble they can cause is obviously much greater than that of the Grizzlies.
Both teams have a 5 percent chance of winning the title, less than 10 percent: The Heat (7 percent) and the 76ers (7 percent).
The probability of both teams winning the championship is also not surprising, compared to the previous period, the Heat have improved.
The reason is that the original division's overlord Green Army has exposed a lot of problems, so the probability of the Heat winning the championship has increased.
In terms of probabilities of advancing to the next round, the Heat also improved to 55%, 10 percentage points ahead of the 76ers, as Embiid decided to miss the G1 vs. G2.
But for the 76ers, this is not the end of the world, according to the team's color, Harden is still the best star in this series.
In Embiid's absence, he was given the opportunity to prove his best, and if he could win a game on the road, the 76ers and Harden would be able to complete the task successfully.
The higher star ceiling is also the main reason why the 76ers are able to compete with the Heat in terms of the probability of competing for the championship even if they are 10 percentage points behind in the probability of advancing to the next round.
4 teams have a 10% chance of competing for the title: Warriors (13%), Bucks (15%), Green Army (22%) and Suns (30%)
Such a probability ranking, more based on the regular season results, allows the Suns and Greens to obtain higher positions.
Judging from the performance of the first round so far, the Bucks and warriors are obviously the better teams, and they are also the biggest championship favorites in the East and West this season.
In the semi-final g1 game, the Warriors and Bucks also proved this, taking a big 1-0 lead on the road, which also increased the probability of winning the championship for both teams, the Warriors improved by 3 percentage points and the Bucks by 7 percentage points.
The Green Army was originally the most promising team in the East, because the defending champion Bucks suffered an injury problem, and as a result, the team played at home in G1, the manager was obviously large, and the second boss Brown's performance was sluggish, and the team missed a good opportunity.
Coupled with certain injury hazards, it is already difficult for the Green Army to turn the series over again, because the duel between the masters often depends on a certain section in a game, or even on the performance and adjustment of certain rounds, and the ability of the Green Army has obviously not yet arrived at home.
This has also led to the start of the playoffs so far, the Green Army has lost the top position for the first time, and the probability of the Suns winning the championship has been further improved, directly with a 30% probability of winning the championship to get the top spot.
However, from the perspective of the core players and the first round of matchups, the situation of the Suns is not optimistic, because in terms of the ability of the stars, the Suns are still far from the Warriors' configuration.
As a result, the US media gave the Suns a 55% chance of advancing to the Finals, far more than the Warriors' 29% and the Green Army's 35%, and it is clear that the Warriors in the next city are once again underestimated.