On April 12, Beijing time, the 21-22 season will start the play-off journey tomorrow, and 8 teams will compete for the last 4 playoff tickets. Well-known data website FiveThirtyEight gave the probability of eight teams advancing to the playoffs, with the Timberwolves leading the way at 90 percent and the Spurs at the lowest at just 9 percent.
As you can see from the picture, the Timberwolves are at the top of the 8 teams with 90%, followed by the Nets with 89%, followed by the Clippers 83%, the Cavaliers 64%, the Hawks 36%, the Pelicans 18%, the Hornets 10% and the Spurs 9%.
It can be seen that the teams ranked 7th and 8th in the East and West are still more optimistic about entering the playoffs than they are. After all, the 7th and 8th teams themselves have a fault tolerance rate, losing the first game also has the opportunity to impact the playoffs, falling into the second half of the zone still has home advantage. On the contrary, the 9th and 10th ranked teams need to face a backwater battle from the beginning of the battle in the case of a single defeat.
Five ThirtyEight also gives the probability of winning 4 matches in the next two days, as follows:
Cavaliers (29 percent) vs Nets (71 percent); Clippers (35 percent) vs Timberwolves (65 percent); Hornets (27 percent) vs Hawks (73 percent); Spurs (37 percent) vs Pelicans (63 percent).
The Nets have faced the Cavaliers four times this season and achieved a record of 3 wins and 1 loss, which is also the main reason why the Nets are optimistic and have a 71% chance of eliminating the Cavaliers. It was only last Saturday that the two sides had a head-on duel. The Cavaliers equalized at one point after trailing by 18 points in the first half. But thanks to durant and Irving's excellent performance, the Nets still won the game smoothly, successfully raised their ranking from 10th in the East to 7th in the East, and had absolute home advantage in the playoffs.
On the Cavaliers side, although the team performed well in the early days, after The All-Star Weekend, the team gradually suffered from injuries and ups and downs, falling from the former top 4 in the East to the playoff area. With the main center Jarrett Allen unable to play in the playoff match against the Nets due to injury, the Cavaliers' internal line is not guaranteed, which is quite unfavorable to them.
The Clippers are credited as the most likely of the four teams to complete the "following gram" achievement first, and won the playoff ticket as the 7th in the West. The Clippers, who have been sidelined by Leonard's injury all season and George have missed 51 games, are still 8th in the West with a record of 42 wins and 40 losses, and they are six wins ahead of the Pelicans, showing great strength.
The Clippers have gone 3-1 in four meetings with the Timberwolves this season, winning both games with Minnesota. With George returning from injury at the end of the season, the Clippers are absolutely competitive. If the Timberwolves want to get the playoff tickets first and return to the playoffs after 4 years, it may not be so easy.
I wonder which team you are most optimistic about advancing to the playoffs for the upcoming playoffs?
(Text/Yuwen Basketball)