Recent remarks about former US President Trump fighting again in 2024 are getting stronger and stronger. Questions about whether the maverick and highly individual former U.S. president will run for the presidential election again in 2024 have aroused widespread concern in the U.S. media and even the world media. After all, Trump has brought great changes to the United States and even the world in his 4 years in power.
In fact, since the End of the Electoral College's confirmation vote on the presidential election in December 2020, some of Trump's associates have begun to persuade Trump to acknowledge the results of the 2020 US presidential election and make a comeback in 2024. And as recently as March 2021, Senator Graham of South Carolina, Trump's political ally, said in a televised interview that he had suggested that Trump make a comeback in 2024. In the history of the United States, there is a precedent for a president who has been elected twice and has a discontinuous term, that is, Cleveland, the 22nd and 24th presidents of the United States, who won the first presidential term in 1885, but in the 1889 US presidential election, Cleveland narrowly defeated the Republican Harrison; in 1892, Cleveland, who returned to civilian life, made a comeback again, winning the Democratic national nomination and once again against his old rival Harrison. In the 1892 U.S. presidential election, Cleveland was disgraced, defeated his old rival Harrison, returned to the White House, and began a second term.
However, as of now, there is only one exception in Cleveland, but according to Trump's recent statements, it is clear that he is planning to return to the White House and become the "second Cleveland" in the history of the United States president. At this year's conservative conference in the United States on February 27, Trump showed a strong desire to fight again in 2024. Given the current situation, there are three reasons that lend a good case to trump's motivation to run for 2024 is very large:
1. Trump himself is unwilling. Trump does not recognize the results of the 2020 presidential election, accusing the election of fraud, just shows that Trump is not willing to lose to Biden, in Trump's view, he fulfilled most of the promises made in the 2016 campaign, such as withdrawing from the Paris Agreement, supporting traditional energy companies, large-scale tax cuts for enterprises, etc., and the US employment environment in the Trump era is very good, so I am afraid that Trump still thinks that the 2020 US presidential election is full of fraud.
2. Trump's base plate is very strong. In the 2020 US presidential election, Trump won 74 million popular votes in one fell swoop, which can be called the largest number of popular votes for failed candidates in the history of the United States, although Biden received 81 million universal votes, far more than Trump, but the 74 million votes supporting Trump are Trump's hardcore supporters, and Biden's 81 million votes are different, and all the people who do not like Trump almost all vote for Biden, and Biden himself has little to do with it. And since Trump left the White House, Trump's approval rating within the Republican Party has been very high, and several polls have shown that Trump's support within the Republican Party has been at the top of the list, far exceeding other candidates.
3. Biden has been in power for more than a year, his political achievements are obvious to all, and can be described as "very bad", excessive political correctness, serious inflation, high energy prices, and ongoing supply chain crises are constantly eroding Biden's basic disk, and the 81 million votes cast for Biden in 2020 have begun to show great loosening, in this context, Trump's willingness to run in 2024 is even greater.
It is worth noting that although Trump's desire to run for 2024 is very large, and it is likely to win the Republican presidential nomination, for Trump, there is still one winning weapon, that is, social media. As we all know, social media is an important label for Trump, and it is through social media that he has gained tens of millions of fans and many supporters, and finally sent Trump to the White House in 2016 and has a high popularity. But after the January 2021 congressional riots, all of Trump's social media accounts were banned and have not been lifted.
After Trump left the White House, he tried to unblock his social media accounts through legal channels, and after failing, he began to prepare to form his own social software, and in February 2022, the Trump Group launched its own social media APP - "Truth Social", after the news came out, "Truth Social" once ranked first in the Google Store, due to the huge number of user registrations, resulting in the "Truth Social" backstage server crash. But while American voters were expecting Trump to make a comeback on social media, "Truth Social" had no follow-up.
According to CNN in the United States, "Truth Social" may face failure before it is officially launched. According to former California Rep. Devon Nunes, the chief executive of its parent company, Truth Social was supposed to be "fully operational" by the end of March, but now it is plagued by lack of content, technical issues and executive resignations. According to data released by Sensor Tower, a mobile app data analytics company, "Truth Social" downloads in the app store have fallen to a frustrating 35th place. It was previously reported that two senior executives in charge of "Truth Social" technology and product development had left the company. Some users who have tried to register say their application for registration has not been approved so far.
However, according to CNN, trump's social media app faces failure in the expected. Any social network built by a polarized figure like Trump is almost doomed to fail. According to a March 2022 Marquette Law School poll, 61 percent of U.S. adults have a negative view of the former president, and they may not consider it an attractive social media app. At the same time, trump's previous inflammatory remarks have been controversial, coupled with the lack of innovation in technology and content, it is difficult to attract more Internet users by relying on the Trump effect alone. It's worth noting that the value of a social network to users depends heavily on how many other people are using it. If users can't communicate with other people or groups on the platform, then the appeal of this social media app becomes weaker and weaker.
Although Trump's self-created social media app has failed, a recent news has provided an opportunity for Trump to return to social media, that is, Musk has become the largest shareholder of Twitter. On April 5, local time, Musk acquired a 9.2% stake in Twitter and joined the company's board of directors, becoming the largest shareholder. Musk has long been considered both a fan and a strong critic of the social media software, writing on social media that he hopes to make major changes to the social media in the coming months. It's not entirely clear what Musk's thinking is. In recent weeks, Musk has been posting suggesting that the platform does not allow enough free speech, and Musk has always presented himself as a staunch advocate of free speech.
According to the Global Network report: After Musk announced that he was the largest shareholder of Twitter, some conservatives began to call on Musk to allow Trump to return to social media platforms, and Republican Congresswoman Lauren Bobert posted on social media: It is time to lift political censorship and then bring Trump back! But Musk himself did not respond, after a Twitter spokesperson had said it was management and employees, not the board, who made the policy decisions. It is unclear whether Musk will make changes to existing decision-making procedures and systems after joining the well-known social media group, or whether Trump will be allowed to return to social media. But based on Musk's previous strenuous advocacy of free speech, the possibility of Trump returning to social media is increasing.
Trump's return to social media could have a major impact on the 2024 Republican primary or even the 2024 U.S. presidential election. Social media is an integral part of Trump's political success, and if his account is restored, he will have enormous influence to secure the Republican presidential nomination and improve his position in the general election. Some political commentators in the United States say that if Trump is to make a comeback in 2024, social media will still be his key winning technology magic weapon. Without access to social media, it will be difficult for him to develop a strategy to propel him into the White House in 2016. So given the importance of social media to Trump's future campaign, Musk is becoming a key figure influencing Trump's 2024 presidential election.