In recent times, affected by the frequent control of the new crown epidemic in some parts of the country, schools and factories in the region have temporarily rested, catering and dine-in consumption have decreased, and the phenomenon of pork leftovers in the market has been more, which has directly constrained the volume of white strip pigs, and at the same time affected by the epidemic control, the transfer and transportation of some pig main sales areas has been blocked, there is a certain difficulty in the production of farmers in the region, the arrival of goods at the slaughter end has decreased significantly, and under the weak pattern of more supply and less demand, pig prices have fallen in a slippery slope.
Can be pig cost side of the feed price, but is still maintained at a high level, and pig prices a comparison can be described as "ice and fire double day", because the domestic sporadic cases are still fermenting, there are rain and snow weather blessing in many places, in the short term, the corn market is likely to oscillate up, some areas of the enterprise is more difficult to load, the supply gap still exists, the corn market will still be shocked stronger, which is not a good thing for farmers, after all, corn accounts for a large proportion of pig costs, affected by this, the mood of pigs at the breeding end has increased, The market supply has further increased, and it is like a falling stone for the sluggish pig market.
In this regard, the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs held a symposium on pig enterprises mentioned that pig prices are in a downward channel, coupled with the continuous rise in the price of bulk feed raw materials, pig food prices have entered the excessive decline of the first-level warning range, and it is expected that the downward pressure on prices in the next two months is still large, in order to stabilize the market pig prices, the National Development and Reform Commission issued a message on March 15 that it will start the third batch of central frozen pork reserves and storage work with relevant departments during the year, and guide all localities to speed up the collection and storage. And will continue to work with relevant departments to do a good job in reserve adjustment, if necessary, further increase the intensity of storage, promote the return of pig prices to a reasonable range, and promote the smooth operation of the pig market.
In addition, the spring temperature is changeable, cold air is not expected, it is understood that a new round of cold air arrives, the domestic Middle East will usher in a round of rain and snow weather, of which, in the north of the rain and snow mixed, in the northeast and Inner Mongolia will have a large to blizzard, and in Jianghuai and most of the Jiangnan region, there will be a wide range of rain, local heavy rain! For the domestic agricultural products market has a certain impact, among them, in the grain market, domestic corn and wheat purchases and sales are restricted, grain prices "rose to the sky", wheat and corn prices rose successively, and in the pig market, although rain and snow also affected the purchase and sale of pigs, but the market continued the trend of weak shocks.
According to industry analysts, a comprehensive view of the inertia of pig production capacity release, superimposed pork consumption demand is not good, and the previous round of pig cycle of the low point appeared around May, the situation of pig prices falling deeply will continue for a period of time, the degree of breeding losses will be further increased, it is expected that the low point of pig prices in 2022 will appear in April to June, but with the decline in pig supply in May and June, pig prices or rebound, the market has improved.
According to the monitoring of the pig price system, in the 26 provinces and cities monitored today, the pig price has 0 up, 17 and 9 flat, and the falling area accounts for 66% of the total monitoring, and the pig market as a whole is in a "stable and more falling" situation.
(Source: Pig Price System)
Overall, today's pig market compared with yesterday further intensified, the decline is further expanded, although, cold air arrived, rain and snow increased, and many places in the north appeared sporadic cases, there are obvious restrictions on the consumption side, the catering market in many places has been seriously affected, the demand for dine-in in some areas has weakened, the market pork consumption is obviously sluggish, which also makes the pork demand that is the consumption off-season even worse, the lack of willingness to raise prices in slaughtering enterprises, and the market pig price shows a weak trend.
According to the wholesale price of white strip pigs in the large cities of Beijing and Shanghai, the price of white strips in the Beijing and Shanghai wholesale markets showed a downward and upward adjustment trend, the beijing market opened pound prices remained stable, and the market trading enthusiasm was general; the average transaction price in the Shanghai market showed a downward adjustment, the average price of some markets was adjusted by 0.65-1.60 yuan / kg, and the price of white strips in the wholesale market showed a downward adjustment trend, and many markets were affected by the new crown epidemic, and the transaction uncertainties were more obvious.
According to the procurement difficulty of slaughtering enterprises, the procurement difficulty of slaughtering enterprises shows a certain differentiation trend, the central region and the northern region usher in rain and snow weather, the enthusiasm of farmers to go out of the barn is weak, the pig procurement of slaughtering enterprises is difficult, the enthusiasm of farmers in areas with better weather is better, the smooth procurement of pigs in slaughtering enterprises is better, and some enterprises have a certain phenomenon of enclosure.
Tomorrow's pig price market trend: Combined with the recent comprehensive factor analysis of the pig market, it is expected that tomorrow's pig prices will show a "stable and weak decline" trend.
The above interpretation of the pig market, for your reference, welcome to exchange views on the pig market and grasp the market dynamics.