Ukraine did not fall, the Russian offensive in Kiev was thwarted, and the Russian army attacking Kharkov was also met with fierce resistance from the Ukrainian army, and the war has been nearly four days, and the russian army still has little success.
The results of the Ukrainian war have changed the attitude of European and American countries, at the beginning of the war, the speculative European and American countries were frightened by Russia, and now they are ready to turn Ukraine into the next Afghanistan, into a Russian graveyard, and now the United Kingdom and the United States and the European Union have decided to sanction Russian banks in SWIFT to cut off the flow of funds between Russia and the Western world, and the military assistance and volunteers of Western countries have also arrived in Ukraine.
The largest war since World War II has begun, and Putin, whether he wants to or not, has engaged half of NATO.
These two days are very informative, and I summarize the information I saw:
Ukrainian and Western camps:
At present, the morale of Ukraine and Western countries is getting higher and higher, the public opinion in support of the war is gradually rising, and military assistance and sanctions are increasing, and Putin is facing more and more challenges.
1. Ukraine's will to resist far exceeds Putin's expectations, the current Ukrainian army has repelled the Russian army in Kiev, the Russian army has also encountered fierce resistance in Kharkov, the current Russian army has not taken a big city, and the performance of the Russian army is far less than expected.
2. The strong resistance of Ukraine has changed the attitude of European and American countries, and at present the British, American, Canadian, and European Union have agreed to propose Russia to the SWIFT system, which will prevent the exchange of funds between Russia and the West, while Western countries have also frozen Russia's overseas assets, and Europe is also ready to get rid of its dependence on Russian gas to break Russia's last lifeline of energy.
3. Military assistance from Europe and the United States to Russia includes equipment and volunteers, including a large number of surface-to-air missiles, anti-tank weapons and other light weapons, Biden has just approved $350 million in military assistance to Ukraine, while European countries have also supported weapons, which will be delivered to Ukraine through the unwarmed western border. At the same time, volunteers from the Poland/Baltic states and Western European countries have reached Ukraine one after another, and the Russian army is actually fighting half of NATO.
4. European and American enterprises and the public have also begun to strengthen attacks on Russia, Intel and AMD banned the export of chips to Russia, Twitter Facebook banned Russian media, Musk announced that he used StarLink to help Ukrainians go online to prevent being disconnected by Russians, while hackers from Europe and the United States also began to attack Russian websites, which are said to have hacked more than 300 Russian official websites.
5. More than 100,000 Ukrainian refugees have fled to Poland and the baltic countries, they have been warmly welcomed by the locals, because they are all Christian and white, Europe is more tolerant of them, they are generally treated preferentially, Ukraine is replicating the Afghan model, when Afghan women and children took refuge in Pakistan and Iran, while men fought in the country.
6. Turkey is also involved in the dispute, Turkey has blocked the strait, and Russian goods cannot be shipped out of the country. Erdogan did not miss this opportunity.
7. Zelenskiy played a very good role, constantly tweeting videos to boost morale and counter Russian fake news, while he called on foreigners to help Ukraine and arm the public in time to engage in people's war, at present, Zelenskiy refuses to negotiate with Putin.
On the Russian side:
The progress of the Russian military is far less than expected, there are many problems, Putin claims to have put the strategic deterrent into a state of combat readiness, indicating that Russia has suffered setbacks in conventional warfare, and Putin is prepared for the worst.
1. The Russian army wanted to force a surrender to Ukraine by means of a limited war, wanted to win without harming civilians, but the initial raid was defeated by Ukraine and failed to occupy Kiev in time. If only a limited war is fought, the Russian army will not be able to take advantage.
2. Putin seriously underestimated Zelenskiy, there was no social mobilization before the war, the number of mobilizations was insufficient, and even sent a lot of conscripts to the front (conscripts are not on the front line in principle), and many soldiers even thought they were going to exercises, which greatly damaged the morale of the Russian army. Zelenskiy and the Ukrainians' will to resist was unexpected.
3. There is a strong anti-war sentiment in Russia, whether it is the older generation or the youngest, Putin has arrested more than 1700 demonstrators, the scale of the anti-war demonstration is second only to the Navalny demonstrations, and Russia is not ready for a protracted war.
4. There are many reasons for the slow march of the Russian army, the British Intelligence Department believes that the logistics and morale of the Russian army have major problems, and even the tanks are out of fuel, the logistics organization of the Russian army is a serious drag on the front-line soldiers, and the recruitment of a large number of conscripts is also the reason for the low morale. British and American professionals generally believe that the Russian military has been underfunded for a long time, resulting in a decline in combat effectiveness.
5. Due to the setbacks in conventional warfare, Putin claims to use strategic deterrence as a last resort, but this also proves that he is no longer sure of victory in conventional warfare.
To put it simply, the current situation is favorable to Ukraine, Ukraine's funds and armaments are supported by the West, as long as Ukraine does not yield, the Russian army's march will be very difficult, and it will be difficult to win victory unless the Russian army tries to capture the big cities and completely cut off western aid to Ukraine.
At present, it is impossible for the Russo-Ukrainian war to win quickly, and the war has entered a protracted war. What is really worrying now is that Putin's claim that if he puts the strategic deterrent into a state of readiness, whether he will eventually use nuclear weapons is a huge question mark, and Russia and Ukraine are already negotiating on the border between Belarus and Ukraine, hoping to negotiate a good outcome. In any case, we will witness history, and there has not been an all-out war of this scale in Europe after the Second World War.
For the real-time situation of the Russo-Ukrainian war, the country can look at caixin, and foreign countries can pay attention to Reuters, both of which are more professional and neutral.