【Hu Yaoyu】How did Shen Zhenchen's "71%" coincidence come from?

For this reason, I specifically went to see the masterpiece and found that the coincidence was not 71%, but 65.8%. As you can see in the picture above, the 71.4% pointed to by the blue arrow is not the coincidence of the whole game of white squares. It is the coincidence of the last 14 rounds (10/14). At 44 o'clock, Shen Zhenchen took 2 minutes, and Ke Jie 9 minutes. Figure 3: The lower right corner was originally the external position of the black chess, but Shen Zhenchen Bai 38 to black 43, by taking advantage of the chess weakness on the black external force, not only dissolved the power of the black foreign force first, but also made the black tight triangle four sons almost unable to move. The indirect chain reaction is that the large white triangle on the right has become thicker. Once the lower right white chunk becomes thicker, in the upcoming right upper battlefield, the white chess will gain the initiative, which is why the white 44 and 46 dare to force and break in. In this process, Ke Jie's response to specific moves is problematic. We can see that since the white chess piece in the right is obviously profitable, the winning rate of the white chess piece has reached 70% at this time. But this seems to be inevitable, after all, your opening move opponents have guessed, prepared in advance, that impromptu duel, loss is a high probability event. But compared to the loss, more important is this pattern (white chess field, and there is no clue of the weak chess), Ke Jie's flexibility and changeability can not be played, which leads to the chess game like a domino, resulting in a chain reaction: Figure 4: This is the situation after the end of the battle on the right, in this battle, Ke Jie lost money again, which of course has the reason that Ke Jie did not go well, but the single battle scene, resulting in its inability to play its characteristics, is also an important reason. When Shen Zhenchen Bai 82 ate the two sons of the black triangle, starting from the white triangle (white 46 hands), the white chess piece harvested a lot in the field on the right, not only taking down the two sons of the black triangle, but also swallowing the four sons of the black circle by the way. Although the black chess piece has an external potential, we can see that because the white A position is eaten first plus the black square five sons are tight, the power of the black external force is to be discounted. Therefore, the chess game has reached this point, and Shen Zhenchen's winning rate has reached 88%. But the winning rate is still a secondary issue, not to mention 88%, 98%, and there are many cases of reversal. The key is that this pattern of obvious deficiencies on the ground, no clue, and having to rely on external forces to support the scene is not what Ke Jie is good at. Compared with the current winning percentage figures, the trend of this pattern is more worrying. Therefore, the formation of such a difficult situation is closely related to the fact that Ke Jie was prepared by Shen Zhen at the prologue stage. However, at this time, although the black chess is difficult to play, but the chess game is still early, and the black chess left triangle formation is promising, if you can cooperate with the upper right foreign force, surround the efficient real space, then the situation is difficult to say. So the focus now is, how can the left side of the black chess game be effectively encircled? Figure 5: I think the point of black 1 recommended by The art can be considered, because due to the pressure of the situation, black chess does not mean to surround the left side, but to try to be as efficient as possible to surround the left side of the air. So after black 1, white chess at least have to weigh it, although there is no risk in the A bit invasion, but so that the black chess game 7 empty, white chess has this cost; and B bit deep, if the black cut off the way home, the black left triangle posture plus the upper right circle outside the situation will form a closed trend against the white chess, can the white chess be sure to easily get out? As far as I have always said in my previous chess review, the inferior side should try to give the opponent a choice, a choice, in order to have the possibility of error. Of course, black chess does not necessarily have to play the black 1 point, but the current black chess selection point must let the opponent choose between invasion and depth and risk consideration. However, Ke Jie's selection of actual combat pressure on Shen Zhenchen was obviously smaller: Figure 6: Black 83 was obviously smaller. There are two reasons: 1: The efficiency of the black 83 itself is not high, because the lower left black chess is an iron type, and the upper left white chess can have the first hand shaping means of A position two-way support (black B, white C, black D, white E) in the future, so in the case of the lower left and upper left black chess pieces are very thick, black 83 looks around the six ways, but the efficiency of the encirclement is not high. 2: Since the black 83 is small all the way, the white chess cannot go deeper, so the white 84 invasion is a normal idea. After the white 84 invaded, the black chess piece was a bit of a headache, followed by the air, the field was not enough; counterattack, everyone took a step back and chose to invade, and then counterattack must be slow. Therefore, in the case that the situation is not optimistic, combined with the above two factors, Ke Jiehei 83 is a great suspicion of slowing down. More critically, Ke Jie does not seem to realize that the chess game is not optimistic: Figure 7: After the white 84 invasion, the black chess piece must not follow the A position, so the black 85 below to the black 91 is an inevitable counterattack, but because it is after the white 84 invasion and then counterattack, the black chess has actually slowed down a beat. This pot should be carried by the previous black 83. Xiao Shenbai 92 touched, which was expected to be the textbook when the white 84 was invaded. However, although the black chess piece is slow, but no matter what, this chess piece is finally black and white twisted together, and the left battlefield black chess players are many, as long as you don't let the white chess easily get out, there is a chance to let the opponent make mistakes. So at this time to the key point, black chess here absolutely can not easily let go of white chess: Figure 8: In the face of white 92 (white triangle) touch, black 1 first hit the white one after the weight, and then black 3 paste, is the first thing to consider! Since black A is the absolute first to eat, the next two points of black B and C will be one of them. Of course, this does not mean that black chess is good, but at least one is that there are more clues; the second is to give White Chess the greatest pressure, and also to give Shen Zhenchen the opportunity to choose to make mistakes. And this is also like Ke Jie, who is already good at messing up the chess game at a disadvantage, so as to play his flexible and changeable characteristics in chaotic warfare, and finally reverse success. But the next hand of the actual combat Ke Jie is too different from him: Figure 9: The actual battle Ke Jie Black 93 did not make any counterattack attitude, and very calmly followed a retreat into the air. I think Black 93 is the defeat of this game. First, in the unfavorable situation, Black 93 missed a good opportunity to mess up the chess game. Second, the black 93 perimeter itself has a very low effect, because the lower left black triangle and the upper left black circle are very thick. Regarding the second point, because it also has a reference effect on chess players, I will explain in detail, all of which is related to the stereotyping method of the white A bitto: Figure 10: Because the upper left white chess has the textbook first-hand fixing technique of the white 1 torot, plus the black triangle iron armor in the lower left, we can see that the black 93 (A bit Ichiko) is actually around a repetitive inefficient empty. The situation was unfavorable, and a hand was not efficient, and this chess was not fun. And more crucially, this chess game has to let Shen Zhenchen not have to choose: Figure 11: Since the black 93 has retreated, then the Shen Zhenchen white 94 can only pull out the head, black 95 is long, and the white 96 tiger is also inevitable. On this chess, the black chess pieces are all command-type chess, and the white chess pieces have no choice. But after the white chess had no choice, the situation of the black chess became more and more tense. Both sons of the White Triangle can be looked down upon, while the main force has successfully emerged, and the future is bright. It can be said that shen zhenchen's invasion can easily make a profit. Black 93 is hard to blame for this step. And when we look at the actual battle, we will find that Ke Jie still does not seem to realize that the situation is wrong: Figure 12: In actual combat, Ke Jie did not attack the white triangle block, but black 97 and 103 spent two hands to play the left side of the empty. But the problem is that the efficiency of the left black space is very low, and in the future, there will be a B position under the white space, and there will be a means for the A bit to jump in, which is really suffocating. At the strategic level, because White Chess has the upper hand, when Bai 108 preemptively moves, the defendant of the White Triangle Block is about to become a plaintiff. Because once the white chess piece is thickened, the weakness of the black chess piece's own circle five sons is revealed (the white next hand C position will rush out of the white 106, and the black five will be cut off). The left side of the black chess has a promising position, the black chess moves first, the result is a small and inefficient empty, their own external situation has become a defendant, coupled with the situation is not optimistic, then this chess is too difficult to play. We can see that due to the obvious shortage of black chess pieces in the whole field, if the white central block is easily settled down, the white chess piece has no weak chess, and the black chess pieces have no place to find things. This is euthanasia. The second half of the game became the "garbage time" of basketball games. It doesn't matter if you lose, or die in battle, or be knocked down by someone's clever hand, but this chess game is too different from Ke Jie. It can only be suspected that Ke Jie is likely to have a huge error in the judgment of the situation, and he feels that the second half of this chess game can still end the battle, otherwise it is really impossible to explain his so calm play. So in terms of technical content, I think Ke Jie lost in two places: 1: The most commonly used layout of the game was targeted by Shen Zhenchen, it can be said that Shen Zhenchen designed a routine, and Ke Jie all drilled into it. This not only led to Ke Jie's passive situation, but also entered the pattern that he was not good at. 2: In the unfavorable situation, Ke Jie not only did not look for the clue that the situation would be chaotic (this was his best play), but also slowed down. The key is to make it easy for the opponent to win without a choice. The reason behind this, I suspect is that there is a major deviation in his judgment of the situation, otherwise it is not to say that his master of this rank and style is an ordinary first-line professional chess player, and he will not be tied up like this. Well, the chess chat is over, and then it's time to talk about the coincidence problem that everyone is most concerned about: In this range, the two sides have played a total of two parts, the first part is the upper right corner: We can see that in the black 51-white 82, in 16 rounds, the white chess really needs to think about the place where there is a choice, which is the white 60 and 78 two-hand chess. Other moves can almost be said to be commanded moves.