Let's talk about a bold prediction, but it is also supported by certain data and logic, not nonsense!
Under the policy of "steady growth", there will often be a large release of water, so the "steady growth" market will basically not be bad;
Moreover, from the historical experience of M1-M2 scissors difference of more than -10%, it is often a large-level bottom-building counter-attack signal;
Combining these two points, the index tends to have at least 100% more room to rise, such as the market in 2009 and 14 years. So, now that it is the third time, calculated by the lowest point of 3312 points in Q3 of 2021, does it mean that the Shanghai Composite Index will break through 6124 points? We'll verify it when the time comes!
In addition, every round of bull market (regardless of size) the Shanghai Composite Index bottomed out and rose more than 100%.
For example, 325 to 2245 points;
For example, 998~ 6124 points; (big bull)
For example, 1664~3478 points; (Mavericks)
For example, 1849~5178 points;
Well, the start of this big bull market is 2440 points, that is to say, at least above 4880 points!
Finally, with the view previously published by the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences: "The Shanghai Composite Index is expected to exceed 5,000 points in the 14th Five-Year Plan (2021~2025)"! So, the prejudgment I give is:
The probability of the Shanghai Composite Index breaking through 5178 points before the end of this bull market is more than 80%;
The probability of the Shanghai Composite Index breaking through 6124 points before the end of this bull market is more than 55%;
That's my personal opinion!
