What happened in Thailand these two days? In short, "the wolf is coming."
Before, Thailand has always had two official statements about the epidemic - 1. A large wave of epidemic is on the way; 2. But everyone don't have to be afraid, it is not a big deal to come.
By mid-February, the first prediction was being fulfilled and the epidemic in Thailand began to enter an outbreak period.
Whether the second prophecy can be fulfilled depends on the outcome of the first prophecy.
On February 10, Thailand added more than 14,000 new ones, plus ATK self-tests, more than 20,000.
Globally, this number is nothing, even less than Japan (with the unremitting efforts of the U.S. military in Japan, Japan is increasing by 90,000!). ）
However, Thailand has been maintaining a daily increase of 8,000 or 9,000 for most of the month. Although this unusually "stable" figure is a bit peculiar, believe it or not, the epidemic in Thailand is indeed relatively stable overall, and there is no run on medical resources.
Now, with Thailand's confirmed case data soaring, the long-predicted "epidemic wave" looks imminent.
Thailand's Ministry of Health's openness to this wave estimates that the peak of the wave reached a daily increase of 30,000 between the end of February and the beginning of March.
However, probably because Ofikrong is indeed a good nature, although the number of confirmed cases in Thailand has doubled, the death toll has remained below 20.
If this is the case all the time, then there is really nothing to be afraid of, and it is directly coexisted.
However, the new peak of the epidemic in mid-February still shows a worrying situation - the shortage of medical resources has begun again!
On February 9, Associate Professor Nitipa, Director of the Department of Respiratory And Tuberculosis, Department of Medicine, Siriraj School of Medicine, Mahidol University, Thailand, posted on his Facebook account about the COVID-19 epidemic in Thailand.
Netipa said that the number of new confirmed cases of new coronavirus in Thailand soared on the same day, and the number of new confirmed cases in Bangkok, Samut Prakan, Nonthaburi and Pathum Thani alone accounted for about 36% of the country's 77 provinces.
In the past two weeks, many hospitals in Bangkok and other major cities have increased the number of COVID-19 patients, and it has begun to release signals of insufficient beds and tight medical resources.
Netipa said that the severe illness of most hospitalized patients may not be directly caused by the new crown, but by their own chronic diseases. There are also some patients who are not vaccinated or are not fully vaccinated.
This, just a little bit of a concern.
Now, if you ask the old man: What do you think of the Thai "lying flat"? I'm probably going to answer: Lying down is no big deal.
Because, Thailand can not lie down and can not clear zero, plus under the premise of Omicron, lying down has not yet seen any serious consequences such as social collapse.
That being the case, it can be said that Thailand's "coexistence policy" is so far acceptable, even worthy of support.
However, the "coexistence" theory holds that Omilon is widespread, undead, mild, and less important no matter how it erupts.
The "anti-coexistence" theory questions: although Omi kerong is moderate, the larger number of people will also cause a shortage of medical resources, which in turn will lead to more people being unable to seek medical treatment, resulting in casualties.
So now, what does it mean to "release the signal of tight medical resources"? Is it a harbinger of a pessimistic ending?
I can only say that we must also observe and see.
More than 10,000 people infect the undead, and more than a million infect the undead, it is not the same.
If, under the current policy, the peak of the epidemic in Thailand is only more than 30,000 people, the death toll remains at the level of dozens of people per day, and then the epidemic gradually declines after that – then it can be considered that the Thai pandemic is over and coexistence is a great success.
However, if the epidemic in Thailand grows to more than 100,000 people a day, and at the same time there is a hospital full, the seriously ill patients can only be isolated at home, the death toll is more than 100 per day, and a large number of patients have long-term symptoms - then it can be considered that the policy of coexistence with Omicron is a failure in Thailand.
The exam has already begun.
The mystery, within this month, is expected to be revealed.
And this kind of result has great reference value for the world and for China.
Now, living in Bangkok for so long in the midst of the pandemic, you really have to ask us how we feel – I can only tell the truth, as if there really is no feeling.
On February 9, when Thai officials announced the epidemic situation in Bangkok, Thai officials said that the recent new confirmed cases spread throughout All districts of Bangkok, and since January this year, the Omil krong strain has spread, resulting in infections of all ages and younger patients.
Most of the COVID-19 deaths are among the elderly and chronically ill patients who have not completed COVID-19 vaccination.
In addition, the staff also found a decline in mortality, believing that the severity of Theomilon has decreased, most of the patients are mild or asymptomatic patients, and home treatment options are enough, and the spread of the Omiqueron has rarely been found in severe patients so far.
Therefore, although I can't fully agree, I can gradually understand and understand what the so-called "coexistence with the new crown" hopes to achieve.
In our hearts, we should accept the possibility of the theory of "coexistence" being valid, not to deny it categorically – but to remain open to this possibility and to analyze and interpret it through a sober observation of the direction of the epidemic in various countries.
If, if it is truly discovered that Aumechjong does not have to be strictly guarded, then we need to accept this reality after rigorous argumentation and let China move forward on the road of "regaining normal life".
If, if it is found that Aomi Kerong is still not working, and there will be an accident when it is released, then wait.
We must accept all possibilities, maintain an objective, open, and realistic attitude that can accept and recognize all possibilities, and do not spray every time "coexistence" because of political positions.
This is the right attitude when we face the new crown later.
No one is always right; except those who constantly revise the answer sheet according to reality.
Whether people copy homework or not is no longer a problem.
Let the family hand in the papers first, and we will copy them later, which is not bad.
What if people are right?
Text: Thai net Yue Han