There is a news today that there is a sharp increase in the price limit of real estate in Guangzhou.
The name of the building is Huijingtai, the area of 172-238, before the plate was generally limited to 100,000, and now the filing price has reached 140,000-150,000 yuan, an increase of nearly 50%.
Of course, the news was immediately denied. However, last year, Guangzhou did not sell 100,000 is true, this year's Huijingtai filing price of 140,000-150,000 is also true, the denial is only "relax the limit price" four words, the official said that each period of the record price will fluctuate, and did not relax the limit price...
Since everything is official, we will not speculate more and study another economic problem today.
Guangzhou was not an accident this time, because there have been rumors there that a graded filing may be carried out. That is to say, according to different real estate for different price limit treatment, some high limit price, some low limit price, rather than a simple one-size-fits-all, and may even open the limit price for luxury houses.
Just need the house price limit, luxury house unlimited price, this practice has been called for, rough look, but also has great benefits.
First, it can still ensure the interests of the people and make the just-needed people afford to buy a house;
Second, no price limit means that the rich can also buy a house without a lottery;
Third, unlimited land can be auctioned at a higher price, which is also good for finances.
In the end, the best of three things, take what you need.
In fact, such a practice is similar to taxation, which is essentially that the rich spend more money to pay for the housing of the poor, which is more market-oriented than the simple price limit.
In contrast, now, the price limit system has shown its drawbacks, after all, when the luxury house and just need to limit the price together, the luxury house upside down is more, and eventually becomes the game of the rich, equivalent to the low land price, and the low money is the upside down of the mansion, and finally entered the pocket of the rich.
This is why many people have called for the relaxation of luxury housing price limits and even restrictions on sales and purchases.
However, things are not so simple, and the lightweight "luxury house unlimited price" is actually risky and difficult to land, because it is difficult for you to define the standard of luxury house and just needed.
If 200 square meters is regarded as a mansion, then what is 190 square meters?
If the 190 flat price is limited, and the 200 flat price is not limited, won't the whole world grab 190?
The same logic, if 140 square meters is regarded as a luxury house, then what is 135 square meters? In the end, 135 will become the highest upside-down chicken leg in the city, attracting thousands of people to rob.
Even if you judge by the community, there will be a big problem, this community is a mansion, it is just needed in the community next door, the price difference is 3 times, so who does not grab the next community?
It is not okay to divide by plate, because there will always be adjacent sections, as well as real estate located between two sections, and eventually there will still be the house stuck on the critical line, and it will become a robbery hit.
If you don't understand it, let me give you an example.
Suppose we empty the fourth phase of Jiangwan City in Nanjing (100,000 second-hand), the third phase (second-hand 80,000), and the second phase (second-hand 60,000) and sell it as a new house.
There is no doubt that the fourth phase must be a luxury house, unlimited price, directly sold for 100,000.
What are those three phases?
If the third phase is just needed to limit the price of 50,000, guess what will happen?
The answer is that almost no one will buy the fourth phase, but because the fourth phase directly raises market expectations, everyone will flock to the third phase, and finally the third phase is robbed, and the second-hand price is all the way to 100,000.
If the third phase is regarded as a mansion and sold for 80,000 yuan at an unlimited price, then what is the second phase?
If the second phase is just needed to limit the price of 50,000, there will still be many people flocking to the second phase.
If the second phase is also a mansion, what is the first phase?
In the same way, no matter how you define the standard of the mansion, there will always be a real estate stuck at the critical point, both enjoying the discount of the limit price, and infinitely close to the luxury house, and the real estate will not only become extremely hot, but its second-hand price will also soar with the unlimited price of the mansion.
More exaggerated times, if Jiangwan City opened another five phases to sell 150,000 directly, it is embarrassing, the expectations of the entire plate will be pulled up, and all second-hand houses will increase in price.
This is the most core problem of just needing to limit the price, the price of luxury houses is not limited, the market has a transmission mechanism, it is not only the old and broken and the top hao so simple, but there are a variety of different levels of houses, flooding the entire property chain, but where there is a point of fluctuation, it will continue to be transmitted.
If the luxury house is not limited in price, this transmission mechanism will eventually lead to an increase in all house prices.
Then some friends will ask, if I conduct in-depth research and accurately limit the price of each property, can I?
For example, while I raise the record price of luxury houses, I still limit the price, so that they only have 80% of the price of second-hand houses, so that the price of luxury houses is limited, and the land can also be sold at a high price.
The answer is yes, but do a good job of anticipating guidance.
First of all, when each real estate is consistent and not very high, there will be no hot scene of tens of thousands of people shaking the number, but due to the reduction of the number of applicants, the second-hand house price will gradually fall back until it is consistent with the limit price.
In other words, doing so is conducive to regulating house prices in the long run.
However, when we raise the filing price, we must do a good job of explaining the work, so that the public has a stable psychological expectation, so that everyone knows that the price increase is for better regulation, and will not continue to soar like this.
On the other hand, if we suddenly raise the filing price without any reason or greeting, and even refuse to answer the reason when the outside world asks, it will give the people a very bad expectation, so that everyone thinks that house prices can rise without reason. This kind of expected guidance is very unfavorable to house prices, and once everyone feels that they will rise, house prices will be uncontrollable.
Therefore, if you really want to do a good job in house price regulation, the graded price limit is necessary, but you need to pay a lot and make sufficient preparations; and if there is a place where the price increase is just to save the market, then when I did not say...
That's it for today