What is the chance that Algeria will be out of the group stage? In the last edition, Algeria beat Nigeria 2:1 in the final four, and finally won the African Cup of Nations with a small victory over Senegal. With the aura of a defending champion, it seems that everyone does not think that Algeria will be eliminated. Don't forget, in the 2015-2017 Africa Cup of Nations, Algeria also did not break through the group stage.
In international competitions, there are also many cases of defending champions stopping the group stage. For example, Germany in the 2018 World Cup in Russia lost 0:2 to South Korea in the last round, such as the 2014 World Cup in Brazil, Spain stopped in the group stage. Wait a minute.
Because you are the defending champion, your opponent will have to swing the bus when facing them. In front of the bus, Algeria broke the goal and was not skilled, because of the tactical system, basically understood, and played a defensive counterattack with you. How to break the bus-style dense defense is a problem for the whole world. Equatorial Guinea, which is even more than 40 times lower than the national football team, was able to beat Algeria, which is ranked 29th in the world, by relying on the bus to counterattack and pick up the leak.
Then there is their own mentality is not correct, we outsiders know that they have a champion aura, this aura, in their hearts, is obviously also a burden, he can make you light enemies, but also let you break the door when the mentality collapses.
In the end, the international footballers are counted as stars or half stars, just returned from Europe or around the world, physical pressure, out of their own habit of the system, to the national team, there is little run-in, but more unaccustomed. Mahrez, for example, only had 2 appearances against Equatorial Guinea in the last round. For example, Benacell, who played at the back of Milan, lost the ball four times in one game. Fegouli, who is in good shape in the Turkish Super League, under the pressure of Algeria, did not have a single kick that was within the right goal. All kinds of signs show that Algeria 2 years ago and 2 years later, they have undergone earth-shaking changes.
And we all know the problems in Algeria, doesn't manager Bermadi know?
Of course, as long as they beat Côte d'Ivoire, there is still a theoretical possibility of qualifying, and if Nigeria loses 3 points, they also have the possibility of going out, but 1 point in Côte d'Ivoire is also acceptable, so it should be Algeria that is in a hurry. With the will to fight, coupled with the identity of the defending champion, as well as the advantages of value, strength and fame, the market's expectations for the defending champion will not be low.
Côte d'Ivoire is more aware that there are Nikolai Pepe, Zaha, Alai and other good attackers in the squad, and they don't even have to rush with you, fight back, and copy the template of Equatorial Guinea.
Off-topic, Côte d'Ivoire has failed to qualify for the Qatar World Cup, the next African Cup of Nations, is held in Côte d'Ivoire, as for this year's African Cup, for them, the results are particularly important. This is also something that Drogba attaches great importance to.
The current concession is still Algeria's concession of 0.25, and 2 years ago, it is still the same concession, because the personnel is still that group of people, and even more players like BenRahma, who are all in the same position, and there is more promotion pressure, Algeria's concession is already the end of the crossbow.
I will watch Côte d'Ivoire unbeaten, with a high probability of a draw.
The above content is only a personal opinion, interest and is not intended as any investment advice.
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