This one is actually a continuation of the previous "NFL Tactical Revolution Era Is Far From Coming", although the reality makes the existing NFL offensive model not too forward for a short time, but with the advancement of the times, the world is always moving forward. Many times, we are also pushed forward by the torrent of the times, and the same is true of the NFL. And from the current trend of development in the new era, we can also see some clues, so what will the future NFL offensive tactics evolve into? Let me make a bold guess – double quarterback!
Pocket quarterbacks are dying out
In the previous article, I also talked about this topic in a light way, and most of the new quarterbacks in the league today have good athletic ability, which makes it difficult for teams to develop tactical systems without considering the athleticism of quarterbacks. As a quick-to-use method, some teams today choose to let quarterbacks run out of their pockets to pass the ball, and even develop a lot of quarterback rushing tactics, which is a flexible treatment of the way quarterbacks are used. But as the defensive team is able to respond to these moves, it is not difficult to find that simply letting the quarterback run is no longer a long-term solution for sports quarters.
So some fans may wonder, running out is easy to be limited, so stay in the pocket is not OK? It's not impossible, and it turns out that brady, who can move with textbook steps in his pocket to avoid pressure and then complete accurate passes, can still be popular in this league. However, as the use of quarterback athleticism in the high school college arena gradually increases, those standing pile quarterbacks are likely to fade from the vision of the major coaching teams in high school.
Friends who have played domestic games may be deeply touched, due to the limitations of the receiver's ability, a quarterback who can run is much better than a quarterback with accurate passing in low-level games. So by the time of the NFL draft, most of the material that can be owned by the major players is a quarterback with excellent mobility, just to see who has more stable passes and who has better arm strength; cruelly speaking, maybe when Brady and Rogers retire, the kung fu of dodging grappling by foot movement in the pocket is probably going to disappear in the NFL!
The theoretical conception of the double quarterback
When I came up with the idea for this article, the teacher of the A version of the famous NFL author in China keenly pointed out that the saints are now doing this. Indeed, if hill hadn't been injured early this season and Winston had been reimbursed halfway through the season, the Saints might have played some offense that surprised us. We can be bold in speculating — Payton might have two quarterbacks on the floor for a long time at the same time!
Does this remind many anime fans of a scene from a famous football anime? Two quarterbacks are present at the same time, and the jianghu people call them "double flying dragons"! While it seemed like a wild thing to do at the time, with the young quarterback's athleticism and the lack of pocket dodge ability, this arrangement did not seem impossible.
Theoretically, after the kick-off, the receiver as a whole has an advantage over the defensive group, they can choose the route they need, and the defensive group can not block them, with the strengthening of the effectiveness of the route combination, they will have a peak in the probability of successful catch at some time after the kick-off, let's set this time to 4 seconds. After 4 seconds, their chances of catching the ball may decrease slightly as the combination of routes fails, but overall it remains at a high level, but in simple terms, it must be longer and more likely to catch the ball.
But cruelly, the passing time of the quarterback in the pocket is inversely proportional to the running of the receiver, and the longer the quarterback spends in the pocket, the greater the pressure they face and the higher the passing risk. So the current practice is to let the quarterback and the receiver achieve an optimal value in time, usually in 2-3 seconds, or let the quarterback run out of the pocket, but after the quarterback runs out of the pocket, his reading will be limited, and few people can do what Mahomes did.
However, either way, there is no way to break the fact that the quarterback's holding time is inversely proportional to the receiver's running route time, and if there is a way to break this law, then it is possible to lead the change of the times! Maybe a double quarterback is one of them!
A guess of the simple operation of a double quarterback
Yesterday in the comments section, it was mentioned that if Lamar Jackson and Tetsom Hill formed a double quarterback, it seemed that this idea could be completed. Indeed, the basis of my conjecture about the double quarterback is that both quarterbacks can run and have a certain passing ability. If the combination of route runs gives the first quarterback space to pass to the second quarterback, and then the second quarterback reads again to complete the pass, then the time the quarterback holds the ball is increased. It's a bit similar to this week's Rams receiver Bey Jr. passing the ball to runback Ax, but the idea of the double quarterback is to normalize the ball again.
Boldly assume that although the position of running backs today is still irreplaceable, if this model can be formed, then in future NFL games, it is likely that there will be no running backs, and most quarterbacks can run, forming multiple passing dual energy points after the offensive front. This may make the defensive area more extensive and open up more opportunities for the receiving group. Of course, this will also make the model of the quarterback as the absolute core no longer exist, because the quarterback will also become a more replaceable functional position.
Guess here first! Fans are also welcome to leave a message in the comments section to share your imagination of the future development trend of the NFL.
(Aibao)