At the end of 2021, the epidemic has not yet seen the dawn, the financial situation and future policy direction in 2022 are full of uncertainty, and some investors are worried that inflationary pressure will drag down the stock market weakness, often on Twitter (Twitter) Tesla founder Elon Musk (Elon Musk), this challenge predicts the macro economy, he believes that the next financial crisis will occur in the spring and summer of 2022, and 2023 at the latest.
A Twitter user lists 936 unicorns with a market capitalization of more than $1 billion in the world today, "What will happen to these startups in the next 5 years?"
After the post was exposed, Musk responded on the 31st, "If you look at history, few can survive the next financial crisis", and then some users asked Musk when do you think the next financial crisis will occur? Musk bluntly said that forecasting the macro economy is very challenging, and in his opinion, "intuition may occur in the spring and summer of 2022, and no later than 2023."
Musk, who rarely commented on the macroeconomic situation, suddenly made a prediction, and many netizens felt very fresh after reading it, curious about what basis Musk came up with this argument, "It is indeed difficult to accurately predict the time point of the next recession, is there any precursor that makes you feel that the economic situation is worrying?" "Intuitively, it is possible that the economy will decline sometime in 2022-2023?" How much will the decline be then?".
In addition, according to the latest CNBC survey, more than half of the respondents believe that the biggest hidden worry of the economy in 2022 comes from the pressure of high inflation, worried about affecting the return on investment in the stock market, while other respondents believe that the US Federal Reserve will raise interest rates at the wrong time is the most worrying, and only a small number of people are worried that the epidemic is difficult to slow down, which is the biggest crisis in the economy.
It is worth mentioning that Musk's "intuitive" prediction of the timing of the possibility of a financial crisis overlaps with the coincidence of the Indian prodigy who has made many accurate predictions. Indian prodigies have previously predicted that due to the impact of the epidemic, governments will implement lockdown measures again, the economy will be hit hard from March to April 2022, and Omicron will repeat the history of past outbreaks, plunging the economy into the abyss, and this time point has a surprising coincidence with the time of Musk's recession next spring and summer.
Hopefully, none of this will happen.