The underlying logic that must be known before the short-term play is enlightened

No matter what model or technology or method you are a shareholder, it comes down to judging the relationship between the potential buying and selling funds of individual stocks according to your model or method, that is, the gap between the strength of bulls and bears. Rather than just knowing that certain methods or techniques are correlated with the final result.

For example, if so-and-so vote is the current hot spot, he should rise or say that so-and-so technical indicators are very good, he should rise, so one-sided to understand, often unstable. It's not that hotspots or technologies are wrong, but think deeper. How much money do these hotspots or technologies bring? Whether these funds are enough to pull up or pull up the limit. At this step, we must further think about how the future will go if it is pulled up, and what characteristics or behavior habits these funds have. Only by studying behavioral habits can we further understand how they will behave tomorrow or in the future. Then think about what we would do if the money went this way. Just like playing chess, knowing the habit of money is like you already know where the opponent's next move is, and you also know whether the opponent wants to be a general or a horse, and then make the corresponding strategy or step according to this judgment, whether it is defensive or offensive.

The above is the underlying logic of short-term operations, but seeing here many people may be blinded, how do you know this? There are always more solutions than problems. The next step is to crack it step by step.

The first step, how much money is playing short-term or playing boards or participating in the limit? 1 billion, 10 billion, 100 billion? This can not be guessed, with the statistical method of their own statistics, or some software directly shown above. The amount of transactions on the board is maintained at about 20 billion yuan every day, and the amount of up-and-down orders is basically maintained at about 20 billion. There is no particularly large or particularly small, every day is very stable, whether the market soars or plummets, whether it is hundreds or dozens of up and down, this data gap is not large. Surprised or surprised? This shows that there are so many people who play the board in the short term every day, and there are so many funds, which are just upside down. This data is not to exclude a bunch of votes, if you play a short-term to engage in tens of billions of free circulation market value of the vote, this logic is not right. The whole market plays short money all give you a ticket, is it enough? Obviously this is not possible.

In the second step, you will find that the amount of funds involved in the tickets with different market values is also different, for example, a ticket with a market value of two billion cannot be traded 2 billion a day, so how much should be traded to be normal? Of course, this can also be counted, directly on the conclusion, when the free circulation market value is less than 2 billion, and is the obvious leader, there will generally be five or six billion funds willing to pick up, the top sky is seven or eight billion, and then there is an abnormality, this abnormality is either completely changing hands The main force has fled, or the special theme market divergence is too large. And when the free circulation market value is greater than 2 billion and less than 5 billion and absolutely leading, then there will be about 1 billion funds willing to pick up. The above is only through the market value and the leader of the two dimensions to judge the relay of this kind of play, in fact, there are many other factors that need to be taken into account in actual combat. If you like to do anti-package teachers will also find that the funds of the first yin anti-package and the second yin anti-package are also different.

The third step is to conduct a comprehensive assessment of the funds of individual stocks according to a series of parameters such as the number of position plates, correlation characteristics, market value size, plate type characteristics, k-line position characteristics, degree of hot topics, and market sentiment status of leading stocks.

The fourth step, according to a series of characteristics after the discovery of certain fixed behavioral characteristics, the development of quantifiable or reference frame of the way to set a fixed pattern, because others also operate in this way, so that you can find that these votes with common characteristics will have a common trend, this is the behavior of this batch of funds, or the behavior of floating funds.

The fifth step is to calculate the relationship between his success probability and the return ratio according to the behavior habits of the floating capital. When the return-to-risk ratio is high, you can directly get off the glove, and when the return-to-risk ratio is very low, you can choose to wait and see or leave the market.

The sixth step, according to the behavior habits of floating capital, predict the possible trend in advance, and then verify the judgment according to the trend of the market, when the market trend and judgment are consistent, you can make a decision, and when the market and the prejudgment are inconsistent, then make corresponding adjustments according to the size of the impact and the quality of the judgment.

The seventh step, after mastering all the technical elements, is to control the mentality and train repeatedly until you can achieve the unity of heart and hand.

Stock trading is like playing chess, when the paragraph is very high, you can see through the low level at a glance, and when the low paragraph looks at the high paragraph, it is entirely possible to see, or even not understand, which is very normal.

The 0-level band basically does not believe that short-term money can be made, and is suspicious of everything. Basically, the threshold has not even been passed.

Level 1 dan, is to believe that technology or hot spots can make money, but know that it does not know why, of course, it is also occasionally earned occasionally, a little more advanced like to do technical model statistical backtesting, backtesting is often very beautiful, but often can not do.

Level 2 segment, know that the short-term is the game of funds, like to see the flow of funds, but the specific amount of funds in the market and the law of flow is not very good. Usually a little bit of money.

Level 3 dan, like the dragon head tactics, vaguely found that the dragon head to the capital attraction is very large, it seems to be able to make money, non-dragon seems not to be able to feel, such people often performance fluctuations, big money and big losses.

Level 4 segment, like to do related party transactions, already know the correlation between the leader and the non-leader, and the correlation between the plates. At this level, many teachers have already realized the Tao or made money.

Level 5, knowing the overall amount of money, and has begun to do some kind of technique is very familiar, and began to do some pre-judgmental actions, basically can do most of the correct situations.

Level 6 dan, familiar with various techniques, familiar with the behavior habits of various funds, and ambushed and fled in advance.

The 7-level level, which is basically a god of more than ten million levels, has reached the point where it is impossible or difficult to use this model to make money, and has begun to use other methods to diversify the investment model to reduce the position.

The 8-level dan can't see these small fights, because his volume exceeds the short-term capacity of the market, and he is sealed as soon as he shoots, so they can only change their strategy. Generally speaking, they play more than 10 billion votes, and the mode is completely different, and the operation is completely different. That's the way to play games with institutions.

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