Today's ghost market is really a wailing, Tiantong shares in the morning rush high and weak, high hopes of semiconductor to pure technology, Changdian technology simply to a high open low go, Changdian afternoon actually turned green, Mingyang intelligence also turned green You say that you are not angry. People's semiconductor stocks in the United States are soaring, and the exposure rate of semiconductors in a share these days is also high, and the result is that today it is such a scene. There are hearts that vomit blood.
Other stocks with larger gains basically fell by about 4 points, which I was prepared for, and the more it rose, it would be adjusted. It's down 2.8% today.
Some time ago sold to Shengtun Mining, Anhui Wei High-tech, Xinjiang Zhonghe, Hubei Yihua, Huachang Chemical, Kibing Group, CNNC titanium dioxide these cyclical stocks after the sale of these cyclical stocks are very large, you must not think about to read the bottom, the cycle stocks rose up very strong, fell up is also very strong, this round of removal of the petrochemical sector of the resource cycle stocks rising momentum has passed, now began to enter the downward channel, may last for more than a year, the middle will certainly have a rebound of different magnitudes, do not be deceived, this time still can not enter, Wait until more than a year later.
Under normal circumstances, resource cyclical stocks can directly judge the rise and fall of stocks from the price rise and fall of commodities. See figure below
The yellow line is the stock price, the blue line is the price of the corresponding commodity, and it is obvious that the two lines are basically the same in the chart.
Resource cycle stocks generally a rise and fall cycle of 4-6 years, may also be longer, up will continue to rise, lasting more than a year, the middle will not have a large decline, falling up is also like this, will continue to fall, lasting one or two years, the rebound will not be very large, and then the bottom oscillation for a period of time and then turn upwards.
Look at it clearly, you will find that it is really simple to speculate in cyclical stocks, and it is good to look at the corresponding commodity prices, buy at the bottom, hold firmly, and sell when the price of commodities rises wildly. Remember the word "crazy rise", many commodity prices rise when the early stage is slowly rising, the back rise faster and faster, and finally crazy rise, at this time selling is the most ideal.
It's that simple.
Writing here today, originally I wanted to write about the stock of Mingyang Intelligence, remembering that many people have suffered a lot of losses in nonferrous metals, chemicals, and coal in the past few days, I simply summarized my own experience of speculating in cycle stocks today, and remember to add attention after reading it, there are many other stock analysis ideas in the number, and the random of what is like and forward.
Soldier Actual Combat Record, WeChat public account, today's headline number is the same number.