Taiwan's leader, Tsai Ing-wen, will expire in three years' time, and a new leadership election will be held in 2024. At present, the electoral "outpost war" has begun. In the report, some Taiwan media analyzed the next leader candidates who are most likely to succeed Tsai Ing-wen on the basis of Taiwan's latest poll data, namely Lai Ching-te, deputy leader of the Taiwan authorities, Hou Youyi, mayor of New Taipei, Ko Wen-che, mayor of Taipei, Zhu Lilun, chairman of the Chinese Kuomintang, and Zheng Wencan, mayor of Taoyuan, a member of the Democratic Progressive Party.
According to the Global Network reported on November 1, according to a number of Taiwan media sources, among the candidates who are expected to participate in the 2024 election, Lai Qingde (25.5%), Hou Youyi (23.0%), and Ke Wenzhe (14.2%), followed by Zhu Lilun, chairman of the Kuomintang (9.0%), and Zheng Wencan, mayor of Taoyuan of the Democratic Progressive Party (6.4%), in order. After reading the poll, Wu Zijia, a veteran media person in Taiwan, made an analysis and asserted that "Su Zhenchang, head of the administrative department, is afraid that he will step down."
Wu Zijia pointed out that Tsai Ing-wen is now a first two big, because this poll reveals a message, that is, to tell everyone that su Zhenchang must be replaced, but Zheng Wencan must also be the head of the administrative agency, "Regardless of the 'referendum' result, Tsai Ing-wen will definitely be killed on December 18." ”
Since becoming the leader of the Taiwan authorities, Tsai Ing-wen has escalated the so-called "official contacts" with the United States and has constantly touched the core bottom line of the Chinese mainland on the cross-strait issue. Hong Xiuzhu, former chairman of the Chinese Kuomintang, said in an interview that it is difficult for the two sides of the strait to be brought into this way by the DPP, and it is now very difficult to clean up the situation, and it really depends on whether the common people will wake up, otherwise it will be Taiwan's common cause, and everyone must bear it together.
Hong Xiuzhu said: The people of Taiwan are very optimistic and believe that there will be no war between the two sides of the strait, and about 50 percent or even more than 60 percent of all kinds of polls think so; of course, the mainland has also said that Chinese will not fight Chinese. But what is interesting is that most of the young people in Taiwan are evasive about the problem of really going to the battlefield, and only a small number of people say that they will definitely go to the battlefield when the time comes, but it is not a good thing, that is another matter.
Regarding the current situation in the Taiwan Strait, the website of Hong Kong's "South China Morning Post" published an editorial on October 29 pointing out that the collusion between the United States and Taiwan has pushed up the tension in the Taiwan Strait. The South China Morning Post reported that Taiwan is an inseparable part of China. The Biden administration's move has further undermined relations with Beijing and brought false "hope" to the "Taiwan independence" separatist forces. Such a dangerous approach could lead to conflict.