Jiugu
But those who shout out of class often feel that they are carrying a certain emotion or following the trend. However, when I called Li Tie to leave class this time, it was completely the result of careful consideration, and my heart was very calm. The following is a one-sided approach, talking about several reasons for Li Tie's dismissal, and related remedies. If these two steps are done well, I think there is still hope for the top 12 of the national football team.
First, the three reasons for Li Tie's dismissal and the "three questions"
1. Insufficient tactical preparation. In the first four matches of the round of 12, the starting formation of the national football team was 4 sets, which were 442, 532, 4231 and 532. On the surface, the coaching staff of the national football team responds flexibly and adopts different tactical playing styles according to different opponents. In fact, this reflects the low level of training of the national football team and the lack of preparation before Li Tie.
In 2020, due to the epidemic, the national team only conducted a few league interval training camps, and played several teaching games with several Chinese Super League and Chinese League A teams, such as 4-1 Harbor, 4-0 Shenhua, etc. Judging from the actual situation at that time, the tactics of the national football team were not too obvious, at least they had not yet formed distinctive characteristics. However, since the Haikou winter training at the beginning of this year, the tactical playing style of the national football team has basically taken shape. In particular, with Hebei team, Yatai, Henan Songshan Longmen, Taishan team and other Chinese Super League teams and in addition to the 5-1 win with Hebei team, the others are more than 2 goals wins and clean sheets. In the 8 warm-up matches before the Round of 40, the national football team scored 29 goals and conceded only 2 goals.
In this process, there are two players who have performed very prominently, one is Zhang Xizhe and the other is Wu Xinghan. In particular, in the warm-up match with Changchun Yatai on February 9 this year, Wu Xinghan and Zhang Yuning scored goals successively, and the national football team won 2-0 against the opponent. The starting lineup (442 formation) arranged by Li Tie in this game is:
Forwards: Axon, Tan Long,
Midfielders: Wu Xinghan, Kim Kyung-do, Jang Si-jeol, Wu Xi
Defenders: Wang Shenchao, Li Ang, Yu Dabao, Wang Gang
Goalkeeper: Liu Dianzuo
This 442 diamond-shaped position is the main formation of Li Tie's warm-up match before the entire Top 40. Moreover, it is very likely (all warm-up matches are not open) that Li Tie has already determined this tactic at that time. Even earlier in haikou winter training, Li Tie's tactical thinking had been basically fixed.
It can now be seen that in addition to Wu Lei replacing Tan Long, Jiang Guangtai and Zhang Linpeng replacing the center-back combination of Li Ang and Yu Dabao (or Yu Yang), plus Yan Junling replacing Liu Dianzuo, this has basically become the main lineup of the Top 40. In other words, there are 4 games in the round of 40, including the first match of the round of 12 against Australia, a total of 5 official matches, and the starting midfield of the national football team has not changed much.
As a result, the battle against Australia was just a good goal of more than 20 minutes, that is, the whole line was passive, and it was already 0-2 before the first half 25 minutes ago. At the beginning of the second half, Wang Gang had to replace Yu Dabao and play as a right-back, and Zhang Linpeng returned to the center back to play with Jiang Guangtai in the center back. The defeated midfielder also replaced Zhang Xizhe with Arthur Junmin in the 45th minute; Wei Shihao in the 5nd minute after replacing Wu Xinghan; and Yin Hongbo in the 62nd minute to replace Jin Jingdao. But it was too late, and in the 68th minute, Yan Junling's goal was again lost, and finally lost 0-3.
This "stuffy stick" completely woke up Li Tie: the intensity of the round of 12 is not the same as the warm-up race and the round of 40. The previously painstakingly trained 442-formation diamond-shaped midfielder was simply vulnerable to a strong opponent. His most important midfielder became the biggest failure.
In addition to the 442, the national football team does not seem to have trained other tactical playing styles. The next 3 games, as mentioned above, "change" with the opponent. This is exactly what fans are most dissatisfied with the national football team: after more than a year of training, the national football team has practiced a 442 (diamond-shaped midfield), a trick!
So prepared for the round of 12, how can Li Tie take on the responsibility of the national team to impact the World Cup?
2. How to employ people? Here are just two examples. In the Sino-Japanese battle, in the 62nd minute, in addition to Alain and Luo Guofu, the situation on the field has been greatly improved. At least Luo Guo has made several attempts to break through from the flanks, and has also attracted a number of defenders on the other side, and Alain is also able to create some offensive threats in the middle. Not to mention the battle between China and Saudi Arabia, all fans still remember this game vividly.
(1) In fact, in the 532 formation of the Sino-Japanese Battle, the three midfielders from left to right were Yin Hongbo, Wu Xi and Jin Jingdao, and Li Tie's platoon deployment was really very incomprehensible.
Yin Hongbo has always been a right winger (forward) at the club and has the impression that he has never played a defensive left midfielder. Kim Kyung-do is only because of the special reasons of individual games (limited substitutions, no one available, etc.), and in recent seasons, he has never played a defensive midfielder in a proper manner. It's just that he's physically fit and can run, and he often makes cameos back to the back to help defend. Such an important game, such a mess of Mandarin ducks, is there any reason to be undefeated?
The use of Alain and Luo Guofu, until now, there are still some people who defend Li Tie, believing that the physical strength of these two naturalized players is insufficient. Some reporters even said that he knew the reason, but it was not convenient to say at present. But in fact, in the battle between China and Saudi Arabia, everyone (except for the above-mentioned media people), including the opponent, almost unanimously agreed that the performance of the national football team in the first and second halves of this game was "judged by two teams".
Wu Xinghan has not appeared in any game of the national team since he was replaced in the battle with Australia, which at least proves that Li Tie's previous "looking at people" and employing people have made mistakes. As the club's iron right forward, Jin Jingdao has hardly played a real right forward under Li Tie, either a "free man in midfield" or a back; Zhang Xizhe has hardly played as a front back in recent seasons, to be precise, since 18 seasons, why has he served as the core of the national team's offensive organization again and again? And Wu Xi, who should be the most in the front waist, was pressed in the back position in 4 games.
(2) Li Tie should change the way of thinking about employing people. In the first stage of this season's Chinese Super League (similar in previous seasons), only from the data point of view, the strongest defensive ability at the back is Chi Zhongguo and Yang Shiyuan. The two players' average of steals, interceptions, clearances, blocking shots, and blocking passes is the data comparison of a defensive midfielder: 3.1-2.8, 1.6-2.1, 0.4-0.9, 0.1-0.1, 0.8-0.7. The five data of Wu Xi are 1.3, 1.0, 0.6, 0.1, and 0.4 respectively; slightly inferior to Wu Xi is Wang Qiuming, who is 1.4, 1.5, 0.9, 0.4, and 0.3. But in terms of pure defensive ability, Wang Qiuming is stronger than Wu Xi.
What does this mean?
Wu Xi should not be the back waist, let alone the single back waist. He is the most ideal front waist of the national football team at present, and the back waist should be handed over to Chi Zhongguo and Yang Shiyuan, or the combination of Chi Zhongguo and Wang Qiuming's double back.
Some people may say that Wu Xi is not in the back, and there is no one in tandem after the entire midfield of the national football team, and there is a lack of transition.
This is actually a self-made and clever pseudo-proposition. It is precisely because Li Tie is too pursuing the so-called tandem of the midfield, resulting in the national football team's midfield has no offensive organizers, in the face of the strong offensive pressure of the other side, Wu Xi is not only tired of running, but also very inefficient. If you use two defensive midfielders as backs, you don't need them to make too many transitions, you just need to be able to hand the ball to the front, why not?
Knowing that the original style of play has not worked, or even can be said to be a very failure, why must it be stuck to the rules and unchanged? Without the support of the midfield, the striker cannot get a good chance to score goals or even put pressure on the opponent. In turn, the opponent's midfield can be freed up to put more pressure on the national football team. The dialectical relationship between attack and defense in this football game, the fans do not understand, does Not Li Tie understand?
Why has such a coach always been able to sit firmly in the position of coach?
3. Limited reading ability. In the battle with Australia, even the CCTV live commentator and even the fans saw that the national football team could not keep up with the rhythm of the opponent, and after more than 20 minutes of the game, it was completely led by the opponent's nose, why didn't Li Tie adjust in time? In the battle with the Japanese team, the first 60 minutes were completely allowed to let the opponent suppress himself, and there was no counterattack. Is the balance of power between China and Japan really so great? Wouldn't the result have been better if Alain and Lo Had been replaced at the beginning of the second half?
In the Sino-Vietnamese battle, the national football team took a 2-0 lead in the first 75 minutes and then retreated across the line, and as a result, the opponent scored two goals in succession, almost maintaining the score of 2-2 until the end. In fact, using Zhang Yuning for Chi Zhongguo in the 72nd minute was a big loss, resulting in a huge gap in the defense of the national football midfield. As a result, the defensive duties of the entire midfield were very chaotic, allowing the opponent to easily score the ball in the own half, and conceded both goals.
In the Battle of Zhongsha, Kim Kyung-do was pulled to the back of the back for defense. As a result, his mistake with Chi Zhongguo led to the first goal conceded. In the 60th minute, using Zhang Xizhe to replace Chi Zhongguo was also a big loss - this is called overcorrection, and poor Wu Xi once again became the "background board" of the goal.
During the Lippi period, whether it is the Chinese Super League or the national team, there are often some "divine strokes" substitutions. No matter how passive the game is, it seems that he can't see his mistakes, or the feeling that he has no way to deal with it. But in the national football team under Li Tie, except for the Battle of Zhongsha, this kind of "divine stroke" seems to have no connection with him. What is even more speechless is that Wei Shihao also had a brilliant performance after coming on the bench in the Sino-Japanese war, including the Sino-Australian war, but was later shelved.
How can such a ability to read the game be worthy of the position of national team coach?
Second, is it too late to change the coach?
The answer is yes. Far from it, let's talk about the last World Cup Round of 12. After Lippi took over, he scored 11 points in six games and almost finished in the play-offs.
So, who can succeed Li Tie? I'm still the same point: Lecco.
The reason is very simple: First, he has been coaching for more than half a season and has a very intuitive understanding of Chinese Super League players and Chinese football. Second, he is currently the most capable candidate in the Chinese Super League to take over the head coach of the national team. This season, Harbour has almost changed its style of play under his leadership. If you think his 3-centre-back tactics are too exciting, you can also switch to 4-back, not necessarily 4231, 433 is also an ideal choice.
In Lecco's tactical system, the most prominent feature is the assist of the wing-back. This feature can precisely solve Wu Xi's pseudo-problem of "having to be behind the waist".
(1) If it is a 433 formation, that is, chi Zhongguo or Yang Shiyuan is used as a rear midfielder (back), and the attack is launched on both sides. The 3 forwards are mainly Axon, Alan and Luo Guofu, with Wu Lei, Wei Shihao, Zhang Yuning and so on as substitutes. That is, the starting lineup is:
Forwards: Axon, Alain, Lowe
Midfielders: Wu Xi, Chi Zhongguo, Yang Shiyuan
Defenders: Gao Zhunyi, Jiang Guangtai, Zhang Linpeng, Wang Shenchao
Goalkeeper: Yan Junling
(2) If it is a 4231 formation, the starting lineup is:
Forward: Axon
Avant-garde: Alain, Wu Xi, Luo Guofu
Back: Chi Zhongguo, Yang Shiyuan
(3) You can even play the 343 formation that Leco is best at:
Midfielders: Wu Xi, Chi Zhongguo, Yang Shiyuan, Wang Shenchao
Defenders: Gao Zhunyi, Jiang Guangtai, Zhang Linpeng
It should be noted that the above-mentioned Wu Xi's forward waist position can be replaced by Arthur Junmin, and Wu Xi's position is more flexible.
Personally, I think that if there is no change of coach, the two games of the national football team in November will be very dangerous, and the so-called "4 points" is just wishful thinking. And even if the battle with Oman is lost, the hope of the national football team should have been shattered.
Therefore, it is imperative to change the coach, and ask Chen Shuyuan to consider it.
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